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Keflavik W vs Valur W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 79-65
32-17 9-14 7-18 31-16
Position#4
Record7-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game80.9
Keflavik W 🏆
Iceland
vs
Valur W
Iceland
Position#6
Record4-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game73.2
IcelandPremier League WRound 12· Blue-hollin
Women2024-25
Meetings · Keflavik W v Valur W
25 Jan 2027
KEFL v VALU
upcoming
01 Oct 2025
KEFL79
VALU88
26 Feb 2025
KEFL73
VALU77
05 Jan 2025
KEFL79
VALU65
19 Nov 2023
KEFL70
VALU50
25 Apr 2023
KEFL78
VALU66
19 Apr 2023
KEFL66
VALU69
15 Mar 2023
KEFL70
VALU55
04 Dec 2022
KEFL75
VALU84
23 Mar 2022
KEFL74
VALU72
08 Dec 2021
KEFL74
VALU79
08 May 2021
KEFL68
VALU81
23 Jan 2021
KEFL87
VALU83
11 Mar 2020
KEFL94
VALU85
04 Dec 2019
KEFL92
VALU90
24 Apr 2019
KEFL96
VALU100
06 Feb 2019
KEFL75
VALU94
24 Oct 2018
KEFL77
VALU69
10 Apr 2018
KEFL95
VALU79
03 Apr 2018
KEFL77
VALU88
17 Jan 2018
KEFL82
VALU71
07 Oct 2017
KEFL85
VALU93
18 Mar 2017
KEFL99
VALU75
26 Oct 2016
KEFL84
VALU81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keflavik WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#3
W
99-79
99
79
+20
89avg 78
H09/10
Premier League W
Valur W
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
69avg 78
A16/10
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
97-93
97
93
+4
82avg 78
H23/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
L
67-68
67
68
-1
57avg 78
A29/10
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
103-74
103
74
+29
no box
A16/11
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
90-89
90
89
+1
87avg 78
H20/11
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
83-100
83
100
-17
74avg 78
A27/11
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
W
74-59
74
59
+15
70avg 78
H03/12
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
105-86
105
86
+19
99avg 78
H11/12
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 78
A15/12
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
21-19
14-20
32-14
30-16
22-29
13-16
14-12
25-24
38-32
12-21
22-16
12-25
23-15
18-16
14-12
25-21
30-17
23-16
25-20
21-27
18-22
25-15
26-25
22-21
20-26
21-24
20-29
19-17
20-22
18-10
17-10
29-24
29-16
17-24
30-22
17-25
26-17
22-28
23-28
170.4Avg total
88.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.380.9167.2+5.464%
Season at home (5)93.081.2174.2+11.8100%
Season away (6)80.780.7161.3+0.033%
Last 10 (10)88.581.9170.4+6.670%
Last 5 (5)88.086.4174.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.0100.0183.0-17.00%
vs Similar (3)94.790.0184.7+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)83.271.9155.1+11.381%
This opponent (Valur W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Grindavik W
#8
L
61-67
61
67
-6
46avg 59
A08/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
70avg 59
H16/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
86-65
86
65
+21
80avg 59
A22/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
69-84
69
84
-15
51avg 59
H30/10
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
L
64-70
64
70
-6
43avg 59
A17/11
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
66-81
66
81
-15
43avg 59
H20/11
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 59
A26/11
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
82-59
82
59
+23
72avg 59
H04/12
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
74-79
74
79
-5
58avg 59
A10/12
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
61avg 59
H18/12
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
16-13
14-18
18-15
16-30
29-22
16-13
12-14
15-17
22-16
22-19
27-13
16-14
12-26
21-31
20-13
23-20
14-25
12-14
15-11
10-29
34-15
10-19
12-18
17-17
18-20
14-19
18-21
24-19
18-14
19-16
21-10
14-15
13-18
24-20
23-26
22-18
17-20
12-15
18-14
143.9Avg total
71.1Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.173.2145.3-1.136%
Season at home (6)73.574.5148.0-1.050%
Season away (5)70.471.6142.0-1.220%
Last 10 (10)71.172.8143.9-1.730%
Last 5 (5)71.672.6144.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.682.7153.2-12.125%
vs Similar (10)72.173.3145.4-1.240%
vs Weaker (8)76.259.0135.2+17.275%
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
Keflavik WValur W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keflavik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H09/10
Premier League W
Valur W
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A16/10
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H23/10
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A29/10
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A16/11
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H20/11
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A27/11
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H03/12
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H11/12
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A15/12
Premier League W
92.0Avg total
47.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.383.2+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.939.582.4+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)42.841.284.0+1.643%-
Last 10 (10)47.944.192.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.487.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (3)53.047.7100.7+5.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.739.280.9+2.546%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik W
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A08/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H16/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H30/10
Premier League W
Athena W
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A17/11
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/11
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A26/11
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H04/12
Premier League W
Thor AK Akureyri W
#5
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A10/12
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H18/12
Premier League W
75.2Avg total
36.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.937.973.8-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.238.474.6-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)35.537.472.9-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.975.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.074.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.643.278.8-7.725%-
vs Similar (10)36.836.573.3+0.340%-
vs Weaker (8)35.131.866.9+3.475%-
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflavik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik W: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.0
50.8%
48.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.8
33.0%
31.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.611.6
79.5%
74.0%11.6
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.117.2
41.8%
48.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.47.1
25.0%
31.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.014.4
68.6%
74.0%14.4
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik W
LWWLWWLWWW
Valur W
WLWLLLLWLL
#4
League position
#6
+3.4
Net rating
-1.4
103.4
Offensive rating
90.6
99.9
Defensive rating
92.0
50.3%
Effective FG%
40.1%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.0%
3-point %
25.0%
55.3%
Assist %
59.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 90.6Defence99.9 · 92.0Shooting50.3% · 40.1%3-point %33.0% · 25.0%Ball care15.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds24.6% · 32.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Keflavik W   ■ Valur W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Keflavik W wins
6
Valur W wins
DateGameScore
16/10/24Valur W v Keflavik W73-79
24/01/24Valur W v Keflavik W79-77
19/11/23Keflavik W v Valur W70-50
28/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W72-68
25/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W78-66
22/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W77-70 OT
19/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W66-69
15/03/23Keflavik W v Valur W70-55
29/01/23Valur W v Keflavik W81-74
04/12/22Keflavik W v Valur W75-84
Keflavik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ANjardvik W88-98
11/12/24HStjarnan W105-86
03/12/24HAthena W74-59
27/11/24AHaukar W83-100
20/11/24HTindastoll W90-89
16/11/24AHamar W103-74
29/10/24AGrindavik W67-68
23/10/24HThor AK Akureyri W97-93
16/10/24AValur W79-73
09/10/24HNjardvik W99-79
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HGrindavik W69-67
10/12/24AThor AK Akureyri W74-79
04/12/24HHamar W82-59
26/11/24ANjardvik W67-77
20/11/24HStjarnan W66-81
17/11/24AAthena W64-70
30/10/24HHaukar W69-84
22/10/24ATindastoll W86-65
16/10/24HKeflavik W73-79
08/10/24AGrindavik W61-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik W
Premier League W 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%100%33%
Points / game86.393.080.7
Allowed / game80.981.280.7
Point differential+5.4+11.8+0.0
Avg total167.2174.2161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur W
Premier League W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game72.173.570.4
Allowed / game73.274.571.6
Point differential-1.1-1.0-1.2
Avg total145.3148.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Haukar W1210283%88.274.2+14.0
2 Thor AK Akureyri W128467%88.082.2+5.8
3 Njardvik W128467%78.874.5+4.3
4 Tindastoll W128467%82.078.5+3.5
5 Keflavik W117464%86.380.9+5.4
6 Valur W114736%72.173.2-1.1
7 Stjarnan W124833%75.086.1-11.1
8 Hamar W124833%79.591.8-12.2
9 Grindavik W123925%66.969.3-2.4
10 Athena W123925%71.977.8-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik W32973179
Valur W1714181665
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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