PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Vanderbilt faces Eastern Illinois on 17 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup, with the model designating Vanderbilt as the clear favourite thanks to a 3-0 season record, 90.7 points scored per game and only 59.7 points allowed, placing them 25th in the league, while Eastern Illinois sits 331st with a 1-3 record, 69.0 points per game and 80.0 points allowed. Vanderbilt's home slate remains flawless, 3-0, with an average of 90.7 points scored and 59.7 points allowed, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 105-81 victory over Memphis, a 74-51 win over Wake Forest and a 93-47 triumph over Bellarmine, all at home. Eastern Illinois has struggled on the road, 0-3, averaging 58.0 points scored and 92.0 points allowed, and has lost four of its last five, with defeats to Notre Dame 70-94 and Iowa 47-91 away and a home win over Blackburn 102-44. Pythia projects a 92-57 score, 149.2 total points, a 100% probability of a Vanderbilt win, and a 0% chance for Eastern Illinois, with no overtime expected.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 90.7 | 59.7 | 150.3 | +31.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 90.7 | 59.7 | 150.3 | +31.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 83.8 | 71.7 | 155.5 | +12.1 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.4 | 64.2 | 148.6 | +20.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 92.5 | 86.0 | 178.5 | +6.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar (10) | 78.5 | 77.9 | 156.4 | +0.6 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 84.3 | 70.6 | 154.8 | +13.7 | 78% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 69.0 | 80.0 | 149.0 | -11.0 | 25% |
| Season at home (1) | 102.0 | 44.0 | 146.0 | +58.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 58.0 | 92.0 | 150.0 | -34.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 67.5 | 74.4 | 141.9 | -6.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.8 | 77.2 | 145.0 | -9.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 64.2 | 76.4 | 140.6 | -12.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (9) | 66.2 | 66.2 | 132.4 | +0.0 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 79.0 | 63.3 | 142.3 | +15.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.6 | 34.1 | 73.7 | +5.4 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 40.9 | 32.9 | 73.8 | +7.9 | 81% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 38.1 | 35.5 | 73.6 | +2.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.2 | 32.5 | 70.7 | +5.7 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.0 | 32.0 | 72.0 | +8.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 46.0 | 39.0 | 85.0 | +7.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 36.3 | 35.5 | 71.8 | +0.8 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 40.7 | 32.8 | 73.5 | +7.8 | 72% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.3 | 32.5 | 65.9 | +0.8 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 36.1 | 30.9 | 67.0 | +5.3 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 30.9 | 34.0 | 64.9 | -3.1 | 38% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 30.1 | 34.2 | 64.3 | -4.1 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.2 | 36.4 | 66.6 | -6.2 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 32.1 | 35.5 | 67.6 | -3.4 | 38% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 30.0 | 30.3 | 60.3 | -0.3 | 44% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 37.0 | 28.3 | 65.3 | +8.7 | 67% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Memphis | 105-81 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Wake Forest | 74-51 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Bellarmine | 93-47 |
| 22/03/26 | A | Nebraska | 72-74 |
| 19/03/26 | H | McNeese State | 78-68 |
| 15/03/26 | A | Arkansas | 75-86 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Florida | 91-74 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Tennessee | 75-68 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Tennessee | 86-82 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Ole Miss | 89-86 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Blackburn | 102-44 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Notre Dame | 70-94 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Iowa | 47-91 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Indiana | 57-91 |
| 06/03/26 | A | UT Martin | 63-66 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Siu Edwardsville | 77-71 OT |
| 28/02/26 | A | Siu Edwardsville | 50-77 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Lindenwood | 71-67 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Southern Indiana | 68-70 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Morehead State | 70-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 90.7 | 90.7 | - |
| Allowed / game | 59.7 | 59.7 | - |
| Point differential | +31.0 | +31.0 | - |
| Avg total | 150.3 | 150.3 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLW | 25% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 69.0 | 102.0 | 58.0 |
| Allowed / game | 80.0 | 44.0 | 92.0 |
| Point differential | -11.0 | +58.0 | -34.0 |
| Avg total | 149.0 | 146.0 | 150.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Texas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 57.0 | +43.0 |
| 2 |  LSU | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 52.7 | +41.3 |
| 3 |  Ole Miss | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 56.3 | +37.7 |
| 4 |  Texas A&M | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 66.7 | +36.3 |
| 5 |  Mississippi St. | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.3 | 63.0 | +32.3 |
| 6 | Vanderbilt | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 59.7 | +31.0 |
| 7 |  Auburn | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.5 | 56.0 | +27.5 |
| 8 |  Tennessee | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 53.0 | +27.0 |
| 9 |  Alabama | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.0 | 76.0 | +26.0 |
| 10 |  South Carolina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 78.7 | 54.7 | +24.0 |
| 11 |  Florida | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 65.3 | +16.7 |
| 12 |  Georgia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 70.3 | +12.7 |
| 13 |  Missouri | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 97.0 | 66.0 | +31.0 |
| 14 |  Arkansas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 84.7 | 68.3 | +16.3 |
| 15 |  Oklahoma | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.3 | 65.7 | +10.7 |
| 16 |  Kentucky | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 75.3 | +5.7 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tennessee State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 104.7 | 76.0 | +28.7 |
| 2 |  Tennessee Tech | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 100.7 | 90.0 | +10.7 |
| 3 |  Southeast Missouri State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.3 | 74.0 | +7.3 |
| 4 |  Lindenwood | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 88.5 | 70.5 | +18.0 |
| 5 |  Siu Edwardsville | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 77.8 | 68.5 | +9.2 |
| 6 |  UT Martin | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 80.0 | +4.7 |
| 7 |  Western Illinois | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 71.7 | 67.3 | +4.3 |
| 8 |  Morehead State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.3 | 83.3 | -7.0 |
| 9 |  Southern Indiana | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 78.0 | 66.5 | +11.5 |
| 10 | Eastern Illinois | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 69.0 | 80.0 | -11.0 |
| 11 |  UALR | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 73.3 | 86.3 | -13.0 |
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