Vanderbilt faces Prairie View A&M on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the Commodores at 99% versus 1% for the Aggies, a rating driven by Vanderbilt's perfect 3-0 season, 90.7 points per game and 59.7 allowed per game, and their 21st league position. The Commodores have won all three of their games, scoring 90.7 and allowing 59.7, and have won every home outing with a 3-0 home record, including recent victories over Memphis 105-81, Wake Forest 74-51 and Bellarmine 93-47. Prairie View A&M, meanwhile, sits 2-2 overall with 78.8 points scored and 80.2 allowed, and have struggled on the road, losing both of their two away games 63-98 to SMU and 63-68 to UTRGV. The last time the teams met was not recorded. Pythia projects a 93-63 win for Vanderbilt, 156.4 total points, and a 60% chance of the over on the 152.5 line, with a 0% overtime probability. The Commodores' recent form and defensive strength suggest they will comfortably cover the spread.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vanderbilt winWon
99.2%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prairie View A&M winLost
0.8%fair 127.71
Best odds51.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Prairie View A&M over 56
76.8%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
-
-
-
+26.3pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 56.5
74.4%
1.85
Betano
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
+24.4pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 57
73.5%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+23.7pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 55.5
77.5%
1.72
Betano
1.72
-
-
-
-
+23.5pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 54.5
80.4%
1.55
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
-
+22.0pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 57.5
71.1%
1.92
Betano
2.05
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
+21.9pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 53.5
83.1%
1.45
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
-
+20.7pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 58
70.0%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+20.0pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 52.5
85.5%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+19.4pp
Won
Prairie View A&M over 51.5
87.6%
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Won
Vanderbilt under 99.5
73.3%
1.45
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
-
+10.9pp
Won
Over 147.5
71.0%
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Over 146.5
73.1%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Over 145.5
75.1%
1.36
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
-
+7.4pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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