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Vanderbilt vs Prairie View A&M Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 93-63
Projected total 156.4
Final 89-62
46-17 43-45
Position#16
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game59.7
Vs
99%
■ VAND 99%■ PRAI 1%
Pythia win probability
Position#266
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Vanderbilt faces Prairie View A&M on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the Commodores at 99% versus 1% for the Aggies, a rating driven by Vanderbilt's perfect 3-0 season, 90.7 points per game and 59.7 allowed per game, and their 21st league position. The Commodores have won all three of their games, scoring 90.7 and allowing 59.7, and have won every home outing with a 3-0 home record, including recent victories over Memphis 105-81, Wake Forest 74-51 and Bellarmine 93-47. Prairie View A&M, meanwhile, sits 2-2 overall with 78.8 points scored and 80.2 allowed, and have struggled on the road, losing both of their two away games 63-98 to SMU and 63-68 to UTRGV. The last time the teams met was not recorded. Pythia projects a 93-63 win for Vanderbilt, 156.4 total points, and a 60% chance of the over on the 152.5 line, with a 0% overtime probability. The Commodores' recent form and defensive strength suggest they will comfortably cover the spread.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vanderbilt winWon
99.2%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prairie View A&M winLost
0.8%fair 127.71
Best odds51.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VanderbiltUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A14/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A15/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H19/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A22/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
93-47
93
47
+46
H03/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#114
W
74-51
74
51
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Memphis
#172
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
43-39
32-22
54-60
31-31
44-37
47-34
44-40
39-41
36-45
38-35
40-33
32-39
40-35
44-17
49-30
39-27
35-24
47-42
58-39
155.5Avg total
83.8Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.759.7150.3+31.0100%
Season at home (3)90.759.7150.3+31.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.871.7155.5+12.180%
Last 5 (5)84.464.2148.6+20.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.586.0178.5+6.550%
vs Similar (10)78.577.9156.4+0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.370.6154.8+13.778%
This opponent (Prairie View A&M) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Prairie View A&MUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#348
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A11/03
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A13/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A14/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A18/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
55-114
55
114
-59
A21/03
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#384
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H03/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#414
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H06/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#211
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A07/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
63-98
63
98
-35
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-26
43-30
32-32
39-35
36-21
38-34
41-28
31-38
27-29
40-26
21-60
34-54
43-33
43-32
57-33
46-57
29-30
34-38
36-52
27-46
145.3Avg total
71.9Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.880.2159.0-1.550%
Season at home (2)94.577.5172.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)63.083.0146.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)71.973.4145.3-1.570%
Last 5 (5)74.087.0161.0-13.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.897.8163.5-32.00%
vs Similar (11)74.674.5149.2+0.155%
vs Weaker (14)79.074.2153.2+4.864%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Over 147.5
Over 147.5
71.0%
@ 1.47+8.0pp
Under 147.5
29.0%
@ 2.50-8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.50
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
59.5%
@ 1.90+9.3pp
Under 152.5
40.5%
@ 1.91-9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
47.2%
@ 2.47+9.9pp
Under 157.5
52.8%
@ 1.47-9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Vanderbilt total 91.5Actual: Vanderbilt under 91.5
Over 91.5
57.4%
@ 1.35-9.4pp
Under 91.5
42.6%
@ 2.72+9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Under
Betano
2.72
Vanderbilt total 95.5 · main lineActual: Vanderbilt under 95.5
Over 95.5
41.4%
@ 1.85-9.4pp
Under 95.5
58.6%
@ 1.95+9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Vanderbilt total 99.5Actual: Vanderbilt under 99.5
Over 99.5
26.7%
@ 2.40-10.9pp
Under 99.5
73.3%
@ 1.45+10.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.45
Prairie View A&M total 53.5Actual: Prairie View A&M over 53.5
Over 53.5
83.1%
@ 1.45+20.7pp
Under 53.5
16.9%
@ 2.40-20.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Under
Betano
2.40
Prairie View A&M total 57.5 · main lineActual: Prairie View A&M over 57.5
Over 57.5
71.1%
@ 2.05+21.9pp
Under 57.5
28.9%
@ 1.85-21.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.70
Prairie View A&M total 61.5Actual: Prairie View A&M over 61.5
Over 61.5
56.0%
@ 3.05+26.3pp
Under 61.5
44.0%
@ 1.29-26.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.29

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Vanderbilt -42.5Actual: Prairie View A&M +42.5
VAND -42.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
PRAI +42.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
VAND
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.20
PRAI
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.55
Spread Vanderbilt -39.5 · main lineActual: Prairie View A&M +39.5
VAND -39.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
PRAI +39.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
Best 5 market prices
VAND
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
PRAI
Marathon Be
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.80
Spread Vanderbilt -36.5Actual: Prairie View A&M +36.5
VAND -36.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
PRAI +36.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
Best 5 market prices
VAND
Marathon Be
1.74
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.53
PRAI
Betano
2.32
Bet365
2.20

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +6.1+6.12nd half: -1.5-1.5
VanderbiltPrairie View A&M
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VanderbiltLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#259
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H13/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A14/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A15/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H19/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A22/03
NCAA
Bellarmine
#341
W
44-17
44
17
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#114
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H05/11
NCAA
Memphis
#172
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H11/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
38.2Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)39.634.173.7+5.467%53%
Last 30 at home (16)40.932.973.8+7.981%50%
Last 30 away (14)38.135.573.6+2.650%57%
Last 10 (10)38.232.570.7+5.760%30%
Last 5 (5)40.032.072.0+8.080%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.039.085.0+7.0100%100%
vs Similar (10)36.335.571.8+0.850%40%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.732.873.5+7.872%56%
This opponent (Prairie View A&M) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Prairie View A&MLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#348
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H10/03
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A11/03
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A13/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#210
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A14/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A18/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
21-60
21
60
-39
A21/03
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#384
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H03/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#414
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H06/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#211
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A07/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A11/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73.5
Last 30 (30)36.838.174.9-1.340%53%
Last 30 at home (12)37.435.372.8+2.150%50%
Last 30 away (18)36.440.076.4-3.633%56%
Last 10 (10)34.434.468.8+0.040%40%
Last 5 (5)37.241.678.8-4.440%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)31.250.581.8-19.20%75%
vs Similar (11)37.635.473.0+2.355%36%
vs Weaker (14)37.337.174.4+0.136%57%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Vanderbilt -19.5 · main lineActual: Vanderbilt -19.5
VAND -19.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
PRAI +19.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half Over/Under 73.5 · main lineActual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Vanderbilt 1st half total 46 · main linePush
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Prairie View A&M 1st half total 26.5 · main lineActual: Prairie View A&M under 26.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.20
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Spread Vanderbilt -20.5Actual: Vanderbilt -20.5
VAND -20.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
PRAI +20.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Spread Vanderbilt -18.5Actual: Vanderbilt -18.5
VAND -18.5
no forecast
@ 1.37
PRAI +18.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.65
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Vanderbilt -21.5Actual: Vanderbilt -21.5
VAND -21.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
PRAI +21.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.45
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.65
Under
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Vanderbilt -22.5Actual: Vanderbilt -22.5
VAND -22.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
PRAI +22.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Spread Vanderbilt -23.5Actual: Vanderbilt -23.5
VAND -23.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
PRAI +23.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Vanderbilt -24.5Actual: Vanderbilt -24.5
VAND -24.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
PRAI +24.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Spread Vanderbilt -25.5Actual: Vanderbilt -25.5
VAND -25.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
PRAI +25.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Vanderbilt (regulation)
VAND
no forecast
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
PRAI
no forecast
@ 13.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
VAND win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
PRAI win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VAND leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Prairie View A&M over 5676.8%1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
---+26.3ppWon
Prairie View A&M over 56.574.4%1.85
Betano
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
+24.4ppWon
Prairie View A&M over 5773.5%1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
---+23.7ppWon
Prairie View A&M over 55.577.5%1.72
Betano
1.72
----+23.5ppWon
Prairie View A&M over 54.580.4%1.55
Betano
1.55
----+22.0ppWon
Prairie View A&M over 57.571.1%1.92
Betano
2.05
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-+21.9ppWon
Prairie View A&M over 53.583.1%1.45
Betano
1.45
----+20.7ppWon
Prairie View A&M over 5870.0%1.85
BetVictor
1.85
----+20.0ppWon
Prairie View A&M over 52.585.5%1.37
Betano
1.37
----+19.4ppWon
Prairie View A&M over 51.587.6%1.30
Betano
1.30
----+17.9ppWon
Vanderbilt under 99.573.3%1.45
Betano
1.45
----+10.9ppWon
Over 147.571.0%1.47
Betano
1.47
----+8.0ppWon
Over 146.573.1%1.42
Betano
1.42
----+8.0ppWon
Over 145.575.1%1.36
Betano
1.36
----+7.4ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vanderbilt wins
0
Prairie View A&M wins
No previous meetings.
Vanderbiltlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HMemphis105-81
05/11/26HWake Forest74-51
03/11/26HBellarmine93-47
22/03/26ANebraska72-74
19/03/26HMcNeese State78-68
15/03/26AArkansas75-86
14/03/26AFlorida91-74
13/03/26HTennessee75-68
07/03/26ATennessee86-82
04/03/26AOle Miss89-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ASMU Mustangs63-98
07/11/26AUTRGV63-68
06/11/26HCBS Ambassadors103-90
03/11/26HPaul Quinn86-65
21/03/26AFlorida55-114
18/03/26ALehigh67-55
14/03/26ASouthern Univ.72-66
13/03/26AAlabama A&M Bulldogs74-55
11/03/26ABethune-Cookman71-67
10/03/26HAlcorn State65-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vanderbilt
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.790.7-
Allowed / game59.759.7-
Point differential+31.0+31.0-
Avg total150.3150.3-
Over 152.533%33%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Prairie View A&M
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.894.563.0
Allowed / game80.277.583.0
Point differential-1.5+17.0-20.0
Avg total159.0172.0146.0
Over 152.550%50%50%
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 LSU330100%94.052.7+41.3
3 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
4 Mississippi St.330100%95.363.0+32.3
5 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
6 Vanderbilt330100%90.759.7+31.0
7 Auburn220100%83.556.0+27.5
8 Tennessee220100%80.053.0+27.0
9 Alabama330100%102.076.0+26.0
10 South Carolina330100%78.754.7+24.0
11 Florida330100%82.065.3+16.7
12 Georgia330100%83.070.3+12.7
13 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
14 Arkansas32167%84.768.3+16.3
15 Oklahoma32167%76.365.7+10.7
16 Kentucky32167%81.075.3+5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%81.267.8+13.5
2 Prairie View A&M42250%78.880.2-1.5
3 Grambling St.21150%75.590.0-14.5
4 Alabama State31233%69.778.7-9.0
5 Texas Southern31233%76.091.0-15.0
6 Florida A&M41325%77.880.8-3.0
7 Jackson State41325%66.585.8-19.2
8 Bethune-Cookman4040%71.085.5-14.5
9 Miss. Valley St.3030%62.387.0-24.7
10 Southern Univ.5050%60.488.2-27.8
11 Alcorn State3030%66.095.7-29.7
12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff3030%50.3107.0-56.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vanderbilt464389
Prairie View A&M174562
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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