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Vardar vs MZT Skopje Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Postponed
Position#9
Record3-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#1
Record14-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game73.2
MacedoniaSuperleagueRound 18
Other2019-20
Meetings · Vardar v MZT Skopje
02 Dec 2023
VARD61
MSK96
12 Jan 2021
VARD67
MSK100
14 Mar 2020
VARD v MSK
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
VARD72
MSK102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vardar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
MZT Skopje win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#2
L
55-103
55
103
-48
H30/11
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A07/12
Superleague
Tikvesh
#5
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A14/12
Superleague
Kozuv
#4
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A21/12
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H19/01
Superleague
Gostivar
#3
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A25/01
Superleague
Kumanovo
#6
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H02/02
Superleague
Pelister
#7
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A08/02
Superleague
FMP Akademija
#8
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H01/03
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A07/03
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
12-19
8-33
16-29
22-31
24-20
13-23
21-23
15-17
27-27
9-19
15-19
13-23
9-23
18-25
25-16
16-15
20-16
19-28
27-18
17-21
16-14
21-24
14-18
22-21
26-19
20-28
17-21
30-18
22-24
14-26
15-28
24-19
18-20
18-21
19-17
13-18
24-26
13-19
26-18
160.3Avg total
73.7Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.986.8159.7-13.818%
Season at home (8)71.688.0159.6-16.425%
Season away (9)74.185.7159.8-11.611%
Last 10 (10)73.786.6160.3-12.920%
Last 5 (5)77.884.0161.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.887.9156.7-19.15%
vs Similar (6)77.878.3156.2-0.567%
vs Weaker (4)95.270.0165.2+25.2100%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tikvesh
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A01/12
Superleague
Vardar
#9
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H07/12
Superleague
Kozuv
#4
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H15/12
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A21/12
Superleague
Gostivar
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H17/01
Superleague
Kumanovo
#6
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A25/01
Superleague
Pelister
#7
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H02/02
Superleague
FMP Akademija
#8
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A09/02
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#2
W
92-90
92
90
+2
H01/03
Superleague
Tikvesh
#5
W
93-60
93
60
+33
H08/03
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
16-32
17-23
21-17
31-22
20-24
23-13
23-21
28-22
19-26
13-14
16-12
28-23
15-24
28-18
22-15
21-23
14-15
15-17
22-23
23-21
21-16
17-9
12-14
29-10
19-15
20-21
15-13
15-14
19-19
24-15
13-18
21-22
25-33
24-18
22-17
20-13
23-18
29-10
21-19
156.7Avg total
82.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.973.2157.1+10.882%
Season at home (9)86.070.9156.9+15.189%
Season away (8)81.675.8157.4+5.975%
Last 10 (10)82.873.9156.7+8.980%
Last 5 (5)82.467.0149.4+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)82.977.8160.6+5.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.375.2161.6+11.186%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -9.3-9.3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.8+1.8
VardarMZT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H30/11
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A07/12
Superleague
Tikvesh
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/12
Superleague
Kozuv
#4
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A21/12
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H19/01
Superleague
Gostivar
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A25/01
Superleague
Kumanovo
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H02/02
Superleague
Pelister
#7
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A08/02
Superleague
FMP Akademija
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/03
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A07/03
Superleague
80.2Avg total
38.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.478.5-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.477.3-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)36.343.479.7-7.113%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.380.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.082.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.744.178.8-9.415%-
vs Similar (6)38.739.578.2-0.833%-
vs Weaker (4)46.830.877.5+16.075%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tikvesh
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A01/12
Superleague
Vardar
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H07/12
Superleague
Kozuv
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/12
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/12
Superleague
Gostivar
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H17/01
Superleague
Kumanovo
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A25/01
Superleague
Pelister
#7
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H02/02
Superleague
FMP Akademija
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A09/02
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#2
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H01/03
Superleague
Tikvesh
#5
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H08/03
Superleague
84.3Avg total
43.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.183.1+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.537.683.1+7.975%-
Last 30 away (14)42.240.883.0+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.284.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.279.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)42.240.983.1+1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.839.183.9+5.776%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.2
45.4%
54.3%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.7
35.8%
33.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.415.4
79.4%
72.0%15.4
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vardar wins
3
MZT Skopje wins
DateGameScore
07/12/19MZT Skopje v Vardar97-80
02/02/19MZT Skopje v Vardar102-67
20/10/18Vardar v MZT Skopje72-102
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20ARabotnicki76-81
01/03/20HFMP Akademija79-77
08/02/20APelister81-96
02/02/20HKumanovo85-89
25/01/20AGostivar68-77
19/01/20HMZT Skopje 282-77
21/12/19AKozuv65-87
14/12/19ATikvesh66-82
07/12/19AMZT Skopje80-97
30/11/19HRabotnicki55-103
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20HTikvesh93-60
01/03/20HRabotnicki92-90
09/02/20AFMP Akademija71-66
02/02/20HPelister83-59
25/01/20AKumanovo73-60
17/01/20HGostivar72-78
21/12/19AMZT Skopje 293-80
15/12/19HKozuv76-74
07/12/19HVardar97-80
01/12/19ATikvesh78-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vardar
Superleague 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLLWLW25%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%25%11%
Points / game72.971.674.1
Allowed / game86.888.085.7
Point differential-13.8-16.4-11.6
Avg total159.7159.6159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
MZT Skopje
Superleague 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %82%89%75%
Points / game83.986.081.6
Allowed / game73.270.975.8
Point differential+10.8+15.1+5.9
Avg total157.1156.9157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MZT Skopje1714382%83.973.2+10.8
2 Rabotnicki1712571%86.478.3+8.1
3 Gostivar1712571%84.176.6+7.5
4 Kozuv1711665%84.574.1+10.4
5 Tikvesh1711665%80.676.6+4.0
6 Kumanovo1710759%78.876.4+2.5
7 Pelister178947%81.882.1-0.3
8 FMP Akademija1741324%72.980.5-7.6
9 Vardar1731418%72.986.8-13.8
10 MZT Skopje 2170170%71.593.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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