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Vardar vs Rabotnicki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 68-119
24-30 10-30 21-30 13-29
Position#10
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#2
Record2-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game75.2
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 5· SRC Kale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vardar v Rabotnicki
28 Oct 2023
VARD68
RABO119
01 Apr 2021
VARD67
RABO92
30 Nov 2019
VARD55
RABO103
16 Dec 2018
VARD89
RABO107
28 Jan 2017
VARD73
RABO82
12 Oct 2013
VARD62
RABO78
09 Mar 2013
VARD60
RABO98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rabotnicki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#4
L
67-92
67
92
-25
no box
H01/04
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
no box
A17/04
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#4
L
72-92
72
92
-20
no box
A21/04
Superleague
Kumanovo
#5
L
78-112
78
112
-34
no box
A07/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A11/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H13/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 65
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
68avg 65
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
64-88
64
88
-24
51avg 65
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
54avg 65
A21/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
20-13
13-28
23-29
17-21
14-21
13-13
22-27
19-18
19-20
19-29
15-25
27-22
25-23
17-30
9-37
20-27
23-19
17-21
18-18
–
–
–
–
13-21
21-21
22-20
34-21
12-18
20-14
23-18
25-21
8-27
19-23
22-22
15-16
19-20
18-31
20-31
19-18
149.6Avg total
67.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.585.5163.0-8.050%
Season at home (2)77.085.5162.5-8.550%
Season away (2)78.085.5163.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)67.182.5149.6-15.420%
Last 5 (5)62.072.4134.4-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.389.0163.3-14.715%
vs Similar (3)82.374.3156.7+8.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rabotnicki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RabotnickiMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRabotnicki
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#3
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
A07/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
H17/05
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
73-56
73
56
+17
45avg 54
H27/09
Prva Liga
Rapid Bucuresti
#9
L
57-87
57
87
-30
41avg 54
H02/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sabah Baku
#28
L
81-83
81
83
-2
75avg 54
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Donar Groningen
#31
L
62-65
62
65
-3
57avg 54
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Pelister
#3
W
92-89
92
89
+3
70avg 54
A07/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
47avg 54
A14/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 54
H21/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
17-21
11-17
24-12
16-13
14-21
20-22
21-26
18-18
16-24
20-11
8-20
24-9
16-17
22-11
11-19
20-21
21-24
14-21
2-21
25-15
22-22
13-27
21-19
18-17
7-15
10-12
27-21
21-28
30-18
25-18
16-25
15-30
24-17
22-17
21-19
14-14
11-18
19-23
15-18
147.0Avg total
71.6Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.575.2151.8+1.250%
Season at home (2)66.064.5130.5+1.550%
Season away (2)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)71.675.4147.0-3.830%
Last 5 (5)75.278.6153.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.080.2150.2-10.20%
vs Similar (3)75.784.3160.0-8.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.271.1156.3+14.180%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
VardarRabotnicki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H01/04
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/04
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/04
Superleague
Kumanovo
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A07/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H14/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/10
Prva Liga
78.4Avg total
36.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.543.782.2-5.231%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.044.184.1-4.143%-
Last 30 away (15)37.143.380.4-6.320%-
Last 10 (9)36.142.378.4-6.211%-
Last 5 (5)34.644.278.8-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.444.382.7-5.931%-
vs Similar (3)39.338.778.0+0.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rabotnicki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RabotnickiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A13/05
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H17/05
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H27/09
Prva Liga
Rapid Bucuresti
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H02/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sabah Baku
#28
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Donar Groningen
#31
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Pelister
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A07/10
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/10
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H21/10
Prva Liga
74.9Avg total
37.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.638.080.6+4.652%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.035.980.9+9.157%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.080.3+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.574.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.339.075.3-2.717%-
vs Similar (3)35.340.375.7-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.837.282.9+8.674%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.5
47.3%
53.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.0
28.3%
32.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.517.5
71.4%
70.3%17.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rabotnickitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rabotnicki: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.1
53.4%
53.9%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.4
27.4%
32.2%22.3
🏀 Free throws17.612.6
71.5%
70.3%12.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/7 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vardar
LLWWLLLLLL
Rabotnicki
LLWLLLWLLW
#10
League position
#2
-9.8
Net rating
-6.7
93.4
Offensive rating
97.9
103.2
Defensive rating
104.6
45.2%
Effective FG%
47.9%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.3%
3-point %
27.4%
56.9%
Assist %
56.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 97.9Defence103.2 · 104.6Shooting45.2% · 47.9%3-point %28.3% · 27.4%Ball care19.9% · 17.6%Off. rebounds24.7% · 26.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Vardar   ■ Rabotnicki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vardar wins
10
Rabotnicki wins
DateGameScore
21/04/21Rabotnicki v Vardar92-72
01/04/21Vardar v Rabotnicki67-92
07/03/20Rabotnicki v Vardar81-76
30/11/19Vardar v Rabotnicki55-103
27/03/19Rabotnicki v Vardar84-61
16/12/18Vardar v Rabotnicki89-107
28/01/17Vardar v Rabotnicki73-82
30/11/16Rabotnicki v Vardar92-65
05/12/13Rabotnicki v Vardar107-69
12/10/13Vardar v Rabotnicki62-78
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23ACair 203076-100
14/10/23HTFT Skopje64-88
09/10/23AFeniks 201080-71
30/09/23HOhrid90-83
13/05/21HMZT Skopje 20-20
11/05/21AMZT Skopje 278-85
07/05/21AKumanovo78-112
21/04/21ARabotnicki72-92
17/04/21AMZT Skopje66-82
01/04/21HRabotnicki67-92
Rabotnickilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HMZT Skopje59-73
14/10/23ACair 203082-83
07/10/23APelister92-89
05/10/23ADonar Groningen62-65
03/10/23ASabah Baku81-83
02/10/23HRapid Bucuresti57-87
27/09/23HTFT Skopje73-56
17/05/23HMZT Skopje62-73
13/05/23AMZT Skopje71-82
07/05/23AGostivar77-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.577.078.0
Allowed / game85.585.585.5
Point differential-8.0-8.5-7.5
Avg total163.0162.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rabotnicki
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.566.087.0
Allowed / game75.264.586.0
Point differential+1.2+1.5+1.0
Avg total151.8130.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tikvesh43175%90.066.0+24.0
2 MZT Skopje43175%78.865.8+13.0
3 Cair 203043175%85.576.8+8.8
4 TFT Skopje43175%73.566.8+6.8
5 Feniks 201042250%86.884.8+2.0
6 Pelister42250%76.074.5+1.5
7 Rabotnicki42250%76.575.2+1.2
8 Vardar42250%77.585.5-8.0
9 Gostivar42250%72.080.8-8.8
10 Kozuv41325%78.282.8-4.5
11 Ohrid41325%74.584.8-10.2
12 FMP Akademija4040%68.594.2-25.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vardar2410211368
Rabotnicki30303029119
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