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Vardar vs TFT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 64-88
8-27 19-23 22-22 15-16
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game77.0
Vardar
Macedonia
vs
TFT Skopje 🏆
Macedonia
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game69.5
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 3· SRC Kale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vardar v TFT Skopje
14 Oct 2023
VARD64
TSK88
05 Dec 2020
VARD99
TSK100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TFT Skopje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#6
L
105-106
105
106
-1
no box
H24/03
Superleague
Tikvesh
#3
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
A27/03
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#4
L
67-92
67
92
-25
no box
H01/04
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
no box
A17/04
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#4
L
72-92
72
92
-20
no box
A21/04
Superleague
Kumanovo
#5
L
78-112
78
112
-34
no box
A07/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A11/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
H13/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 77
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
68avg 77
A09/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
30-21
22-27
29-29
15-20
20-23
26-25
18-28
11-22
20-13
13-28
23-29
17-21
14-21
13-13
22-27
19-18
19-20
19-29
15-25
27-22
25-23
17-30
9-37
20-27
23-19
17-21
18-18
–
–
–
–
13-21
21-21
22-20
34-21
12-18
20-14
23-18
25-21
155.4Avg total
71.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)90.083.0173.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.583.9155.4-12.420%
Last 5 (5)65.274.2139.4-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)75.388.9164.1-13.615%
vs Similar (3)82.374.3156.7+8.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TFT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TFT SkopjeMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
Kumanovo
#11
W
107-70
107
70
+37
no box
H22/04
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#6
L
62-70
62
70
-8
no box
H29/04
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#6
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
A03/05
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#6
W
73-59
73
59
+14
no box
H06/05
Prva Liga
Pelister
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
no box
A14/05
Prva Liga
Pelister
#2
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H18/05
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
56-73
56
73
-17
13avg 52
A27/09
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
77-66
77
66
+11
69avg 52
H07/10
Prva Liga
Zlatibor
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 52
H09/10
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
66-85
66
85
-19
60avg 52
A11/10
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
31-7
27-17
23-27
23-23
17-17
12-13
10-17
22-24
25-18
15-21
14-9
8-14
18-15
25-20
22-10
18-34
25-28
25-24
12-14
27-34
18-16
20-18
17-16
9-24
17-16
11-22
19-11
24-15
14-19
20-21
19-11
22-33
18-18
21-21
13-21
17-32
10-17
19-19
20-17
152.5Avg total
75.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)66.569.5136.0-3.050%
Season at home (1)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)56.073.0129.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)75.377.2152.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)71.080.2151.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.388.9156.2-21.60%
vs Similar (9)81.282.1163.3-0.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.571.9152.5+8.682%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
VardarTFT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H24/03
Superleague
Tikvesh
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/03
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H01/04
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/04
Superleague
Rabotnicki
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/04
Superleague
Kumanovo
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A07/05
Superleague
MZT Skopje 2
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/05
Superleague
Ohrid
#12
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H30/09
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/10
Prva Liga
80.3Avg total
38.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.743.082.8-3.338%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.543.484.9-1.950%-
Last 30 away (15)38.142.780.8-4.727%-
Last 10 (9)38.941.480.3-2.622%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.680.4-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.843.583.3-3.838%-
vs Similar (3)39.338.778.0+0.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (TFT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TFT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumanovo
#11
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H22/04
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H29/04
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#6
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A03/05
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H06/05
Prva Liga
Pelister
#2
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A14/05
Prva Liga
Pelister
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H18/05
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A27/09
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/10
Prva Liga
Zlatibor
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H09/10
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A11/10
ABA League 2
81.2Avg total
38.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.083.0-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.739.683.3+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.444.382.7-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.381.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.244.880.0-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.846.182.9-9.311%-
vs Similar (9)42.744.186.8-1.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.236.980.1+6.355%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.0
53.3%
53.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
32.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.518.5
75.5%
70.3%18.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
TFT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

TFT Skopje: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.4
52.3%
53.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.6
30.2%
32.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws13.69.6
70.6%
70.3%9.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/5 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vardar
WWLLLLLLLL
TFT Skopje
LLWLLLWWLW
#10
League position
#6
+9.5
Net rating
-18.0
99.6
Offensive rating
93.0
90.2
Defensive rating
111.0
51.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
40.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
20.8%
Turnover %
19.6%
19.5%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.7%
3-point %
30.2%
56.1%
Assist %
55.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 93.0Defence90.2 · 111.0Shooting51.6% · 49.3%3-point %32.7% · 30.2%Ball care20.8% · 19.6%Off. rebounds19.5% · 21.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Vardar   ■ TFT Skopje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vardar wins
2
TFT Skopje wins
DateGameScore
13/03/21TFT Skopje v Vardar94-71
05/12/20Vardar v TFT Skopje99-100
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/23AFeniks 201080-71
30/09/23HOhrid90-83
13/05/21HMZT Skopje 20-20
11/05/21AMZT Skopje 278-85
07/05/21AKumanovo78-112
21/04/21ARabotnicki72-92
17/04/21AMZT Skopje66-82
01/04/21HRabotnicki67-92
27/03/21ATikvesh79-96
24/03/21HGostivar105-106
TFT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23ASiroki Brijeg66-85
09/10/23HZlatibor74-93
07/10/23HCair 203077-66
27/09/23ARabotnicki56-73
18/05/23HPelister82-84
14/05/23APelister80-100
06/05/23HTikvesh73-59
03/05/23ATikvesh76-72
29/04/23HTikvesh62-70
22/04/23HKumanovo107-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.090.080.0
Allowed / game77.083.071.0
Point differential+8.0+7.0+9.0
Avg total162.0173.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
TFT Skopje
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game66.577.056.0
Allowed / game69.566.073.0
Point differential-3.0+11.0-17.0
Avg total136.0143.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tikvesh220100%97.065.5+31.5
2 MZT Skopje220100%85.561.5+24.0
3 Rabotnicki220100%82.572.5+10.0
4 Vardar220100%85.077.0+8.0
5 Cair 203021150%79.574.5+5.0
6 Ohrid21150%82.578.0+4.5
7 TFT Skopje21150%66.569.5-3.0
8 Gostivar21150%67.076.5-9.5
9 Pelister2020%78.583.5-5.0
10 Kozuv2020%68.583.0-14.5
11 Feniks 20102020%71.586.5-15.0
12 FMP Akademija2020%62.098.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vardar819221564
TFT Skopje2723221688
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