VCU Rams will host UALR on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model rates the Rams as the clear favourite, giving them an 88% chance to win versus 12% for the Anteaters; the Rams' projected 80-67 score reflects their dominant 20-point spread and the model's confidence that they will cover the -20.0 line, though the probability of covering is only 26%. The Rams are projected to score 80 points and the Anteaters 67, for a total of 147.5, just below the 148.0 over-under line where the over probability is 48%. The Rams' last five games include a 82-78 win over North Carolina away, a 70-62 win at home over Dayton, and a 55-76 loss to Illinois away, while the Anteaters' recent five feature a 89-70 home win over Southern Indiana, a 70-76 loss to Morehead State at home, and a 62-72 loss to Lindenwood away. The Pythia model also notes a 3% chance of overtime, and the final projected score of 80-67 sets the tone for a decisive Rams victory.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 73.9 | 69.9 | 143.8 | +4.0 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 71.0 | 69.2 | 140.2 | +1.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 64.0 | 78.3 | 142.3 | -14.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 78.8 | 79.0 | 157.8 | -0.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 82.3 | 69.1 | 151.4 | +13.2 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 68.9 | 69.4 | 138.3 | -0.5 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.6 | 70.6 | 141.2 | +0.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 65.7 | 75.1 | 140.8 | -9.4 | 16% |
| vs Similar (8) | 72.9 | 71.1 | 144.0 | +1.8 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 81.5 | 68.5 | 150.0 | +13.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 72.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.6 | 33.1 | 72.7 | +6.5 | 80% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (19) | 40.8 | 33.5 | 74.3 | +7.3 | 84% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (11) | 37.6 | 32.4 | 70.0 | +5.3 | 73% | 45% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.7 | 31.9 | 69.6 | +5.8 | 80% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 29.8 | 65.6 | +6.0 | 60% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 30.7 | 32.7 | 63.3 | -2.0 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Similar (6) | 39.0 | 40.0 | 79.0 | -1.0 | 50% | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 41.1 | 31.2 | 72.3 | +9.9 | 95% | 43% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 72.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.2 | 35.8 | 67.0 | -4.5 | 30% | 23% |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 34.0 | 35.0 | 69.0 | -1.0 | 33% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (18) | 29.4 | 36.3 | 65.7 | -6.9 | 28% | 17% |
| Last 10 (10) | 29.5 | 31.0 | 60.5 | -1.5 | 30% | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.2 | 33.0 | 64.2 | -1.8 | 40% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 28.3 | 35.8 | 64.1 | -7.5 | 21% | 11% |
| vs Similar (8) | 34.0 | 35.9 | 69.9 | -1.9 | 25% | 38% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 42.5 | 32.5 | 75.0 | +10.0 | 100% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams under 87 | 75.7% | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | - | +25.7pp | Won |
| VCU Rams under 87.5 | 76.5% | 1.79 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.70 | - | +25.6pp | Won |
| UALR +20 | 73.6% | 1.84 | 1.93 | 1.87 | 1.71 | - | - | +23.6pp | Won |
| VCU Rams under 86.5 | 73.2% | 1.84 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.83 | - | +23.1pp | Won |
| UALR +20.5 | 74.3% | 1.75 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.67 | 1.66 | +22.8pp | Won |
| VCU Rams under 86 | 72.3% | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | - | +22.3pp | Won |
| VCU Rams under 88.5 | 79.5% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +21.7pp | Won |
| VCU Rams under 89.5 | 82.2% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +20.7pp | Won |
| VCU Rams under 90.5 | 84.7% | 1.44 | 1.47 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +20.6pp | Won |
| UALR +19.5 | 71.4% | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 | +19.9pp | Won |
| UALR +19 | 70.5% | 1.83 | 1.86 | 1.80 | - | - | - | +19.8pp | Won |
| VCU Rams under 91.5 | 86.9% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +19.0pp | Won |
| UALR +21 | 76.4% | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | +18.5pp | Won |
| UALR +21.5 | 77.0% | 1.62 | 1.72 | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | +18.5pp | Won |
| UALR +22.5 | 79.6% | 1.55 | 1.64 | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | +18.0pp | Won |
| UALR +22 | 79.0% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +17.8pp | Won |
| UALR +23 | 81.5% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +17.3pp | Won |
| UALR +23.5 | 81.9% | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.42 | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| UALR +24 | 83.7% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +16.7pp | Won |
| UALR +24.5 | 84.0% | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +16.3pp | Won |
| UALR +25 | 85.7% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +15.2pp | Won |
| Under 156.5 | 71.2% | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | +15.2pp | Won |
| Under 157.5 | 73.2% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | +14.7pp | Won |
| Under 158.5 | 75.2% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +14.5pp | Won |
| Under 159.5 | 77.1% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +13.6pp | Won |
| Under 160.5 | 78.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Won |
| Under 161.5 | 80.6% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 83.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 94.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| UALR over 59.5 | 77.4% | 1.28 | 1.36 | 1.20 | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| UALR over 58.5 | 80.3% | 1.22 | 1.31 | 1.13 | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| UALR over 60.5 | 74.2% | 1.32 | 1.44 | 1.20 | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| UALR under 72.5 | 70.5% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| UALR under 83.5 | 94.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| UALR under 81.5 | 91.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| UALR over 61.5 | 70.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| UALR over 55.5 | 87.5% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Won |
| UALR under 79.5 | 88.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| UALR over 57.5 | 82.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| UALR over 56.5 | 85.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| UALR under 77.5 | 84.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -2.1pp | Won |
| UALR under 73.5 | 73.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -2.4pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 67.5 | 90.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -2.6pp | Won |
| UALR under 75.5 | 79.6% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | -2.7pp | Won |
| UALR under 76.5 | 82.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
| VCU Rams (regulation) | 85.9% | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 1.02 | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 68.5 | 88.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.9pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 69.5 | 86.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -4.9pp | Won |
| VCU Rams +1.5 | 88.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -4.9pp | Won |
| Over 128.5 | 87.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -4.9pp | Won |
| VCU Rams win | 87.6% | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 | -5.2pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 70.5 | 84.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -7.2pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 71.5 | 81.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -8.0pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -3.5 | 81.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -8.9pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 80.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -9.2pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 72.5 | 78.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -10.8pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -4.5 | 78.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -11.5pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 73.5 | 75.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -11.9pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 70.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -14.7pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 74.5 | 72.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -14.8pp | Won |
| Under 156 | 70.6% | 1.66 | 1.66 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 | A | Illinois | 55-76 |
| 19/03/26 | A | North Carolina | 82-78 OT |
| 15/03/26 | H | Dayton | 70-62 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Saint Josephs Hawks | 77-64 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Duquesne | 71-66 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Dayton | 68-62 |
| 04/03/26 | H | George Mason | 70-65 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Fordham | 82-63 |
| 21/02/26 | A | St. Louis Billikens | 75-88 |
| 18/02/26 | H | George Washington | 89-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 | A | Lindenwood | 62-72 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Southern Indiana | 89-70 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Morehead State | 70-76 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Southeast Missouri State | 65-70 |
| 20/02/26 | H | UT Martin | 67-65 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Eastern Illinois | 72-78 |
| 13/02/26 | A | Western Illinois | 77-58 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Siu Edwardsville | 61-71 |
| 06/02/26 | H | Lindenwood | 74-79 |
| 04/02/26 | A | UT Martin | 52-55 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 148 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 148 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 54.0 | +28.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 94.0 | -30.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 45 | 82 | |
| 33 | 39 | 72 |
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