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Dayton vs VCU Rams Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 62-68
0-0 36-37 0-0 26-31
Position#65
Record21-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game70.2
Dayton
USA
vs
VCU Rams 🏆
USA
Position#27
Record23-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Dayton v VCU Rams
22 Jan 2027
DAYT v VCU
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
DAYT62
VCU 68
07 Feb 2025
DAYT68
VCU 73
08 Mar 2024
DAYT91
VCU 86
13 Jan 2023
DAYT62
VCU 63
05 Jan 2022
DAYT52
VCU 53
09 Feb 2021
DAYT67
VCU 76
14 Jan 2020
DAYT79
VCU 65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VCU Rams winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#209
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H28/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
71-102
71
102
-31
A31/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H04/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A07/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H15/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A19/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H25/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-31
0-0
25-33
0-0
29-46
0-0
42-56
0-0
41-30
0-0
31-40
0-0
27-50
0-0
46-49
0-0
34-26
0-0
36-33
0-0
43-36
0-0
39-31
0-0
42-39
0-0
36-27
0-0
44-28
0-0
33-34
0-0
34-31
0-0
34-35
0-0
40-32
0-0
25-28
146.4Avg total
73.2Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.570.2145.7+5.370%
Season at home (18)78.766.7145.3+12.083%
Season away (12)70.875.5146.3-4.750%
Last 10 (10)73.273.2146.4+0.070%
Last 5 (5)74.064.2138.2+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.284.0158.2-9.840%
vs Similar (17)74.669.6144.2+5.171%
vs Weaker (8)78.262.9141.1+15.488%
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A04/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H07/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A14/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H18/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H28/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-29
0-0
38-40
0-0
46-46
0-0
43-29
0-0
35-22
0-0
28-37
0-0
50-27
0-0
49-46
0-0
37-31
0-0
40-37
0-0
47-27
0-0
31-40
0-0
48-46
0-0
41-29
0-0
42-33
0-0
33-55
0-0
37-22
0-0
45-41
0-0
34-33
0-0
36-32
150.1Avg total
79.9Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.972.5155.4+10.477%
Season at home (19)85.771.2156.9+14.584%
Season away (11)78.174.8152.9+3.364%
Last 10 (10)79.970.2150.1+9.790%
Last 5 (5)78.871.6150.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.579.5148.0-11.00%
vs Similar (8)78.178.4156.5-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.269.5155.8+16.8100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +9.9+9.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +9.9+9.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
DaytonVCU Rams
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#209
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A31/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H04/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A07/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H25/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/03
NCAA
72.2Avg total
37.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.232.970.1+4.273%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.730.470.2+9.394%-
Last 30 away (12)33.336.770.0-3.342%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.972.2+2.480%-
Last 5 (5)40.633.273.8+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.839.674.4-4.840%-
vs Similar (17)36.831.668.4+5.182%-
vs Weaker (8)39.531.571.0+8.075%-
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H31/01
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A04/02
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H07/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A14/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H18/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H28/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H04/03
NCAA
73.1Avg total
41.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.275.0+6.780%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.034.876.8+7.284%-
Last 30 away (11)38.933.071.9+5.973%-
Last 10 (10)41.531.673.1+9.990%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.273.8+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.031.563.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (8)39.139.878.9-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.532.274.7+10.295%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dayton wins
6
VCU Rams wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26VCU Rams v Dayton99-73
08/03/25VCU Rams v Dayton76-79
08/02/25Dayton v VCU Rams68-73
09/03/24Dayton v VCU Rams91-86 OT
10/02/24VCU Rams v Dayton49-47
12/03/23VCU Rams v Dayton68-56
08/02/23VCU Rams v Dayton58-62
14/01/23Dayton v VCU Rams62-63
03/02/22VCU Rams v Dayton52-82
06/01/22Dayton v VCU Rams52-53
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26ARichmond Spiders65-60
28/02/26AGeorge Washington68-66
25/02/26HSt. Louis Billikens77-62
21/02/26HDuquesne78-66
19/02/26AGeorge Mason82-67
15/02/26HDavidson70-59
07/02/26AVCU Rams73-99
04/02/26HSt. Bonaventure72-70
31/01/26ASt. Louis Billikens71-102
28/01/26HRhode Island76-81 OT
VCU Ramslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HGeorge Mason70-65
28/02/26HFordham82-63
21/02/26ASt. Louis Billikens75-88
18/02/26HGeorge Washington89-75
14/02/26ARichmond Spiders78-67
11/02/26ALa Salle77-68
07/02/26HDayton99-73
04/02/26AFordham63-59
31/01/26HLoyola Chicago89-75
28/01/26HRichmond Spiders77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game75.578.770.8
Allowed / game70.266.775.5
Point differential+5.3+12.0-4.7
Avg total145.7145.3146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %10%11%8%
VCU Rams
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %77%84%64%
Points / game82.985.778.1
Allowed / game72.571.274.8
Point differential+10.4+14.5+3.3
Avg total155.4156.9152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%63%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens3027390%88.868.6+20.3
2 VCU Rams3023777%82.972.5+10.4
3 George Mason3022873%73.568.0+5.5
4 Dayton3021970%75.570.2+5.3
5 Saint Josephs Hawks30201067%73.269.8+3.4
6 Davidson30181260%72.667.8+4.8
7 George Washington30171357%83.373.8+9.5
8 Fordham30161453%70.466.0+4.4
9 Duquesne30161453%79.175.7+3.3
10 Rhode Island30161453%70.968.5+2.4
11 Richmond Spiders30151550%77.073.7+3.3
12 St. Bonaventure30151550%76.975.3+1.6
13 La Salle3092130%66.472.8-6.4
14 Loyola Chicago3072323%66.776.9-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dayton03602662
VCU Rams03703168
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