PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga Femenina Women
Velez Sarsfield W will host Boca W on 12 November 2026 in the Liga Femenina Women, with the model favouring Boca W at 58% to win over Velez Sarsfield W's 42% chance, a narrow edge that reflects the two teams' recent performances. Velez Sarsfield W has gone 4-2 in all six games this season, averaging 60.2 points scored and 54.8 allowed, while staying 8th in the league; at home they are unbeaten 3-0, scoring 60.7 points and conceding only 43.0, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 63-41 win over Union Bahia W on 5 November. Boca W is stronger overall, 6-1 in seven games, with 75.3 points per game and 56.4 points allowed, sitting 2nd in the standings; they are 3-0 on the road, averaging 72.3 points and 50.0 allowed, and also won four of their last five, highlighted by a 77-42 victory over Union Bahia W on 6 November. In their only prior encounter Boca W won 95-72 on 10 October, a result that echoes the current projected score of 66-68 and a total of 134.0 points, with a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 60.2 | 54.8 | 115.0 | +5.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 60.7 | 43.0 | 103.7 | +17.7 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 59.7 | 66.7 | 126.3 | -7.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (6) | 60.2 | 54.8 | 115.0 | +5.3 | 67% |
| Last 5 (5) | 57.8 | 46.8 | 104.6 | +11.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 72.0 | 95.0 | 167.0 | -23.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (2) | 55.5 | 56.5 | 112.0 | -1.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 59.3 | 40.3 | 99.7 | +19.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 75.3 | 56.4 | 131.7 | +18.9 | 86% |
| Season at home (4) | 77.5 | 61.2 | 138.8 | +16.2 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 72.3 | 50.0 | 122.3 | +22.3 | 100% |
| Last 10 (7) | 75.3 | 56.4 | 131.7 | +18.9 | 86% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.0 | 57.0 | 130.0 | +16.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 75.3 | 56.4 | 131.7 | +18.9 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (6) | 27.5 | 29.5 | 57.0 | -2.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (3) | 27.7 | 24.3 | 52.0 | +3.3 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 away (3) | 27.3 | 34.7 | 62.0 | -7.3 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (6) | 27.5 | 29.5 | 57.0 | -2.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 28.0 | 25.2 | 53.2 | +2.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 25.0 | 51.0 | 76.0 | -26.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 24.5 | 26.5 | 51.0 | -2.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 30.3 | 24.3 | 54.7 | +6.0 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (7) | 40.7 | 25.0 | 65.7 | +15.7 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 at home (4) | 43.5 | 26.5 | 70.0 | +17.0 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 away (3) | 37.0 | 23.0 | 60.0 | +14.0 | 100% | - |
| Last 10 (7) | 40.7 | 25.0 | 65.7 | +15.7 | 100% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.6 | 25.8 | 65.4 | +13.8 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 40.7 | 25.0 | 65.7 | +15.7 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/10/26 | Boca W v Velez Sarsfield W | 95-72 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | H | Union Bahia W | 63-41 |
| 30/10/26 | H | El Bigua W | 62-45 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Independiente Neuquen W | 57-43 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Quilmes W | 54-70 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Penarol W | 53-35 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Boca W | 72-95 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Union Bahia W | 77-42 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Independiente Neuquen W | 69-72 |
| 29/10/26 | H | El Bigua W | 69-59 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Penarol W | 76-47 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Quilmes W | 74-65 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Union Bahia W | 67-38 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Velez Sarsfield W | 95-72 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 67% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 60.2 | 60.7 | 59.7 |
| Allowed / game | 54.8 | 43.0 | 66.7 |
| Point differential | +5.3 | +17.7 | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 115.0 | 103.7 | 126.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 86% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Points / game | 75.3 | 77.5 | 72.3 |
| Allowed / game | 56.4 | 61.2 | 50.0 |
| Point differential | +18.9 | +16.2 | +22.3 |
| Avg total | 131.7 | 138.8 | 122.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rocamora W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 74.2 | 54.8 | +19.4 |
| 2 | Boca W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 75.3 | 56.4 | +18.9 |
| 3 |  Obras Sanitarias W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 73.6 | 68.7 | +4.9 |
| 4 | Independiente Neuquen W | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 63.7 | 59.0 | +4.7 |
| 5 |  El Talar W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 72.0 | 58.0 | +14.0 |
| 6 | Hindu W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 69.3 | 54.4 | +14.9 |
| 7 |  Berazategui W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 77.0 | 62.8 | +14.2 |
| 8 | Quilmes W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 67.2 | 60.0 | +7.2 |
| 9 | Velez Sarsfield W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 60.2 | 54.8 | +5.3 |
| 10 |  Instituto W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 67.2 | 62.5 | +4.7 |
| 11 |  Union Florida W | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 63.3 | 59.3 | +4.0 |
| 12 |  Ferro W | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 72.1 | 62.2 | +9.9 |
| 13 |  San Jose W | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 55.8 | 54.8 | +1.0 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Chanares W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 63.2 | 65.2 | -2.0 |
| 15 | Penarol W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 53.2 | 64.3 | -11.2 |
| 16 | El Bigua W | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 58.6 | 67.9 | -9.3 |
| 17 | Union Bahia W | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 51.1 | 66.6 | -15.4 |
| 18 |  Avellaneda W | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 57.8 | 69.8 | -12.0 |
| 19 | Regatas San Nicolas W | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 52.0 | 78.8 | -26.8 |
| 20 | Sociedad Espanola W | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 26.5 | 82.2 | -55.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield W | 25 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 76 |
| Boca W | 19 | 16 | 20 | 17 | 72 |
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