Ventspils vs Saldus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 97-60

29-23 24-7 23-17 21-13

Position#2

Record11-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game63.5

Ventspils 🏆

Saldus

Position#11

Record8-11

FormWLWLW

Points / game69.9

Allowed / game77.7

LBL

Other2013-14

Meetings · Ventspils v Saldus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Saldus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

84-72

+12

A30/11

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

63-81

-18

H03/12

EuroChallenge

VEF Riga

61-62

-1

H07/12

LBL

Sodertalje

#17

80-83

-3

A10/12

EuroChallenge

Atyrau

#13

96-66

+30

H13/12

Baltic League

Vienna Basket

#28

61-56

H17/12

EuroChallenge

Latvia U18

#13

100-60

100

+40

H22/12

LBL

Jelgava

#10

90-81

H28/12

LBL

Nevezis

57-75

-18

A05/01

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

84-59

+25

A08/01

LBL

26-21

22-11

16-19

20-21

21-18

16-28

9-15

17-20

15-13

18-18

19-18

9-13

21-17

18-19

20-20

21-27

24-8

21-22

27-17

24-19

11-17

16-9

20-15

14-15

39-18

15-12

21-13

25-17

31-22

21-20

18-25

20-14

13-16

14-20

13-25

17-14

25-12

23-16

18-16

18-15

147.1Avg total

77.6Scored

69.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	82.7	63.5	146.2	+19.2	92%
Season at home (6)	79.8	63.2	143.0	+16.7	83%
Season away (6)	85.5	63.8	149.3	+21.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	69.5	147.1	+8.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	66.2	144.6	+12.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.8	81.0	150.8	-11.2	25%
vs Similar (4)	72.8	68.2	141.0	+4.5	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	78.2	63.5	141.7	+14.6	82%

This opponent (Saldus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Saldus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

64-94

-30

A13/11

LBL

Barons Kvartals

73-60

+13

H16/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

75-86

-11

A24/11

LBL

Jekabpils

71-91

-20

A30/11

LBL

Jekabpils

71-81

-10

H04/12

LBL

Turiba

#12

64-63

A11/12

LBL

Jurmala

57-82

-25

A14/12

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

71-64

H18/12

LBL

VEF Riga

69-97

-28

H27/12

LBL

BK Liepaja

67-60

H08/01

LBL

15-24

22-14

12-24

15-32

21-16

10-9

17-24

25-11

22-18

23-16

11-28

19-24

14-21

16-29

22-25

19-16

22-20

19-18

14-26

16-17

25-13

9-19

16-11

14-20

16-19

22-23

15-21

4-19

15-14

13-20

24-16

19-14

18-19

19-25

20-25

12-28

19-10

21-10

10-22

17-18

146.0Avg total

68.2Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	69.9	77.7	147.7	-7.8	42%
Season at home (10)	68.1	74.8	142.9	-6.7	40%
Season away (9)	72.0	81.0	153.0	-9.0	44%
Last 10 (10)	68.2	77.8	146.0	-9.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	65.6	73.2	138.8	-7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	67.7	78.9	146.6	-11.1	36%
vs Similar (4)	72.5	75.0	147.5	-2.5	50%
vs Weaker (1)	91.0	73.0	164.0	+18.0	100%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VentspilsSaldus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	15.7	37.5	+6.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	14.3	36.6	+7.9	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	17.1	38.5	+4.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	16.2	38.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.2	14.4	37.6	+8.8	91%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	18.5	19.2	37.6	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	70%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.9	21.0	38.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	15.0	33.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	18.9	37.9	+0.2	57%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	17.5	36.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	7.0	30.0	37.0	-23.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	16.9	35.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	17.1	36.3	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	15.4	33.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	12.5	32.0	+7.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	18.8	16.7	35.5	+2.0	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.1	42%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	15.5	17.4	32.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.6	20.7	41.2	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.3	35.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.8	17.2	33.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	15.0	47.0	+17.0	100%	-

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

48-32

+16

A30/11

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

37-46

-9

H03/12

EuroChallenge

VEF Riga

33-31

H07/12

LBL

Sodertalje

#17

39-36

A10/12

EuroChallenge

Atyrau

#13

45-30

+15

H13/12

Baltic League

Vienna Basket

#28

27-26

H17/12

EuroChallenge

Latvia U18

#13

54-30

+24

H22/12

LBL

Jelgava

#10

52-42

+10

H28/12

LBL

Nevezis

27-36

-9

A05/01

Baltic League

Valmiera/ORDO

48-28

+20

A08/01

LBL

74.7Avg total

41.0Scored

33.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	32.6	73.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	30.9	71.2	+9.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	34.3	74.7	+6.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	33.7	74.7	+7.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	32.4	74.0	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.0	42.0	77.0	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.8	31.2	68.0	+5.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.0	31.1	73.1	+10.9	86%	-

This opponent (Saldus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SaldusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

37-38

-1

A13/11

LBL

Barons Kvartals

31-25

H16/11

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

45-34

+11

A24/11

LBL

Jekabpils

30-50

-20

A30/11

LBL

Jekabpils

41-38

H04/12

LBL

Turiba

#12

34-32

A11/12

LBL

Jurmala

38-42

-4

A14/12

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

28-34

-6

H18/12

LBL

VEF Riga

37-44

-7

H27/12

LBL

BK Liepaja

40-20

+20

H08/01

LBL

71.8Avg total

36.1Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	36.4	38.1	74.5	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	34.5	34.9	69.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	38.4	41.7	80.1	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	35.7	71.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	34.4	69.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	36.6	38.6	75.1	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.0	34.8	69.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	45.0	84.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	16.8	34.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	17.3	34.2	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	16.3	34.6	+1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.8	19.0	33.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.2	16.2	34.5	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	16.1	21.2	37.3	-5.1	26%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	16.1	22.4	38.5	-6.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.1	19.8	35.9	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	22.2	38.3	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	15.5	22.3	37.8	-6.8	21%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	15.0	39.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	16.5	34.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	15.9	33.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	17.1	34.3	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.0	33.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	20.8	38.5	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	17.2	15.1	32.3	+2.1	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	17.5	18.5	35.9	-1.0	42%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	19.9	35.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.2	19.8	33.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	15.6	18.0	33.6	-2.4	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	21.5	42.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	13.0	41.0	+15.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	33.3	68.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.9	33.2	68.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	33.4	68.9	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	35.8	72.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	33.8	70.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.8	39.0	73.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.0	37.0	73.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	35.2	31.6	66.8	+3.6	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	33.6	39.6	73.2	-6.1	32%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	33.6	39.9	73.5	-6.3	30%	-
Last 30 away (9)	33.6	39.3	72.9	-5.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.1	42.1	74.2	-10.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	38.8	69.0	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	31.1	40.3	71.4	-9.1	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.5	40.2	77.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	52.0	28.0	80.0	+24.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ventspils wins

Saldus wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/13	Saldus v Ventspils	43-74

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/14	A	Valmiera/ORDO	84-59
05/01/14	A	Nevezis	57-75
28/12/13	H	Jelgava	90-81
22/12/13	H	Latvia U18	100-60
17/12/13	H	Vienna Basket	61-56
13/12/13	H	Atyrau	96-66
10/12/13	A	Sodertalje	80-83
07/12/13	H	VEF Riga	61-62
03/12/13	H	Tartu Ulikool	63-81
30/11/13	A	Latvijas Universitate	84-72

Salduslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/14	H	BK Liepaja	67-60
27/12/13	H	VEF Riga	69-97
18/12/13	H	Valmiera/ORDO	71-64
14/12/13	A	Jurmala	57-82
11/12/13	A	Turiba	64-63
04/12/13	H	Jekabpils	71-81
30/11/13	A	Jekabpils	71-91
24/11/13	A	Latvijas Universitate	75-86
16/11/13	H	Barons Kvartals	73-60
13/11/13	A	Valmiera/ORDO	64-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils

LBL 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	92%
Home	WWLWW	83%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	92%	83%	100%
Points / game	82.7	79.8	85.5
Allowed / game	63.5	63.2	63.8
Point differential	+19.2	+16.7	+21.7
Avg total	146.2	143.0	149.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	50%	83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

Saldus

LBL 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	42%
Home	WLWLW	40%
Away	LLLWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	42%	40%	44%
Points / game	69.9	68.1	72.0
Allowed / game	77.7	74.8	81.0
Point differential	-7.8	-6.7	-9.0
Avg total	147.7	142.9	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	20%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	-	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	VEF Riga	5	5	0	100%	84.6	65.2	+19.4
2	Ventspils	12	11	1	92%	82.7	63.5	+19.2
3	Jekabpils	18	13	5	72%	80.7	71.3	+9.3
4	Valmiera/ORDO	18	13	5	72%	77.4	73.2	+4.3
5	BK Liepaja	19	12	7	63%	76.5	71.1	+5.4
6	Jurmala	17	9	8	53%	74.7	69.7	+5.0
7	Barons Kvartals	18	8	10	44%	74.0	75.4	-1.4
8	Saldus	19	8	11	42%	69.9	77.7	-7.8
9	Jelgava	18	6	12	33%	78.1	79.4	-1.3
10	Turiba	19	6	13	32%	72.1	77.1	-4.9
11	Latvijas Universitate	18	4	14	22%	73.0	79.2	-6.2
12	Latvia U18	9	0	9	0%	55.8	95.3	-39.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ventspils	29	24	23	21	97
Saldus	23	7	17	13	60

← all games of the day

Ventspils vs Saldus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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