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Duke vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:10
Final 64-47
34-29 30-18
Position#32
Record24-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game67.4
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#16
Record28-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H13/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A17/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
84-55
84
55
+29
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A24/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H29/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
73-48
73
48
+25
H02/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A05/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-32
44-33
29-27
48-42
44-34
32-33
40-23
44-32
38-36
41-47
36-23
48-36
40-18
33-30
33-30
46-34
31-40
48-44
32-35
37-39
144.8Avg total
78.0Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.867.4147.3+12.475%
Season at home (20)81.766.5148.2+15.280%
Season away (12)76.868.9145.7+7.867%
Last 10 (10)78.066.8144.8+11.270%
Last 5 (5)76.865.8142.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)80.382.3162.7-2.033%
vs Weaker (27)79.665.9145.5+13.781%
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMBC Retrievers
#312
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A10/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H16/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A17/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A23/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H25/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H02/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H09/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H12/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
45-35
29-27
41-27
36-29
32-28
47-41
47-39
25-27
40-21
38-18
36-44
25-24
43-40
31-37
44-35
31-24
35-35
29-32
37-29
134.5Avg total
71.8Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)72.363.0135.3+9.482%
Season at home (18)73.158.9132.1+14.294%
Season away (16)71.467.5138.9+3.969%
Last 10 (10)71.862.7134.5+9.1100%
Last 5 (5)69.863.6133.4+6.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)68.668.6137.1+0.057%
vs Weaker (23)72.662.3134.9+10.387%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +2.4+2.42nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +6.7+6.7
DukeVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#169
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
40-18
40
18
+22
H02/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A05/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H09/03
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/03
NCAA
65.7Avg total
35.9Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.067.7+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.731.167.8+5.672%-
Last 30 away (12)36.830.867.5+6.075%-
Last 10 (10)35.929.865.7+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.263.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.339.072.3-5.733%-
vs Weaker (27)37.130.167.1+7.078%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMBC Retrievers
#312
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A10/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A17/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A23/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H25/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H02/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A06/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#306
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H12/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H16/03
NCAA
61.2Avg total
31.8Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.229.862.0+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.027.560.5+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)31.532.163.5-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)31.829.461.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)30.827.057.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)30.729.460.1+1.343%-
vs Weaker (23)32.729.962.6+2.861%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Vermont wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HNC State69-74
09/03/24HNorth Carolina79-84
05/03/24ANC State79-64
02/03/24HVirginia73-48
29/02/24HLouisville84-59
24/02/24AWake Forest79-83
22/02/24AMiami (FL)84-55
17/02/24AFlorida State76-67
13/02/24HWake Forest77-69
10/02/24HBoston College80-65
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HUMass Lowell66-61
12/03/24HNew Hampshire Wildcats66-59
09/03/24HAlbany Great Danes75-72
06/03/24ANew Hampshire Wildcats68-64
02/03/24HUMass Lowell74-62
25/02/24HBryant University65-48
23/02/24AAlbany Great Danes94-80
17/02/24AMaine Black Bears68-57
16/02/24HNew Hampshire Wildcats70-54
10/02/24AUMBC Retrievers72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game79.881.776.8
Allowed / game67.466.568.9
Point differential+12.4+15.2+7.8
Avg total147.3148.2145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%60%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vermont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %82%94%69%
Points / game72.373.171.4
Allowed / game63.058.967.5
Point differential+9.4+14.2+3.9
Avg total135.3132.1138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina3528780%81.770.0+11.7
2 Duke3224875%79.867.4+12.4
3 Virginia34231168%62.959.8+3.1
4 Pittsburgh33221167%75.667.6+8.0
5 Clemson33221167%77.470.8+6.5
6 SMU Mustangs32201262%76.367.8+8.5
7 Syracuse32201262%76.375.6+0.7
8 NC State37231462%76.572.5+3.9
9 Wake Forest33201361%78.270.5+7.7
10 Virginia Tech32181456%75.071.1+3.9
11 Boston College34191556%74.672.1+2.5
12 Florida State33171652%76.576.3+0.2
13 Miami (FL)33151845%75.473.6+1.8
14 Stanford32141844%76.376.5-0.1
15 Georgia Tech32141844%71.075.2-4.2
16 California32131941%74.077.0-3.1
17 Notre Dame33132039%64.067.2-3.1
18 Louisville3282425%72.079.1-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont3428682%72.363.0+9.4
2 UMass Lowell32221069%80.070.7+9.4
3 New Hampshire85362%80.972.9+8.0
4 Bryant University33201361%78.775.4+3.3
5 Albany74357%76.675.7+0.9
6 Binghamton30151550%72.172.2-0.1
7 Maine Black Bears32141844%67.267.9-0.7
8 UMBC Retrievers32112134%78.780.7-2.1
9 NJIT2872125%67.975.0-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke343064
Vermont291847
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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