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Vermont vs Maine Black Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-62
32-30 35-32
Position#85
Record10-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game72.6
Vermont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#355
Record3-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game61.6
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vermont v Maine Black Bears
15 Jan 2026
VERM67
MAIN62
11 Mar 2025
VERM42
MAIN57
01 Feb 2025
VERM55
MAIN49
06 Jan 2024
VERM65
MAIN58
19 Jan 2023
VERM66
MAIN45
29 Jan 2022
VERM81
MAIN68
17 Jan 2021
VERM88
MAIN60
16 Jan 2021
VERM65
MAIN30
07 Mar 2020
VERM61
MAIN50
05 Feb 2020
VERM77
MAIN52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maine Black Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#337
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H30/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H20/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
69-75 OT
69
75
-6
A30/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A03/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-26
36-48
31-35
43-42
24-42
34-38
26-28
39-28
30-21
36-38
41-27
42-42
40-36
38-47
32-36
31-27
39-31
41-30
31-36
29-23
140.5Avg total
71.2Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.672.6149.2+4.059%
Season at home (9)76.370.7147.0+5.756%
Season away (8)76.974.8151.6+2.162%
Last 10 (10)71.269.3140.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)74.069.4143.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.566.0132.5+0.550%
vs Similar (13)70.268.5138.8+1.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)73.069.1142.1+3.969%
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A04/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-93
61
93
-32
A06/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A11/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
43-70
43
70
-27
H13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A21/12
NCAA
Maine-Fort Kent
#537
W
104-66
104
66
+38
H30/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H03/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A08/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-36
35-28
23-38
34-41
30-48
31-45
33-24
36-35
17-39
26-31
28-37
28-37
54-32
50-34
17-26
34-30
20-32
42-37
37-29
37-41
133.7Avg total
63.7Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)61.669.4130.9-7.817%
Season at home (6)62.564.0126.5-1.517%
Season away (12)61.172.1133.2-11.017%
Last 10 (10)63.770.0133.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)69.467.0136.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)59.770.4130.1-10.78%
vs Similar (12)61.864.2126.1-2.442%
vs Weaker (4)72.072.5144.5-0.550%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -0.6-0.6
VermontMaine Black Bears
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#337
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A06/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Siena
#78
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/01
NCAA
65.5Avg total
33.7Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.265.3+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.431.464.8+1.953%-
Last 30 away (13)32.833.266.0-0.346%-
Last 10 (10)33.731.865.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.269.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.534.064.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (13)32.931.564.4+1.569%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)32.633.165.7-0.531%-
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H30/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A04/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A06/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A11/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
17-39
17
39
-22
H13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Maine-Fort Kent
#537
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H30/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H03/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A08/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/01
NCAA
62.5Avg total
28.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.432.161.5-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.230.760.8-0.550%-
Last 30 away (18)28.833.161.9-4.228%-
Last 10 (10)28.434.162.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.231.262.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)27.534.261.7-6.815%-
vs Similar (12)27.229.656.8-2.342%-
vs Weaker (4)35.832.868.5+3.075%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Vermont wins
1
Maine Black Bears wins
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HBinghamton60-59
03/01/26ANew Hampshire Wildcats80-61
30/12/25APrinceton69-75 OT
20/12/25HIona78-83
18/12/25HSiena83-69
14/12/25HMerrimack Warriors66-59
06/12/25APepperdine65-56
04/12/25AOregon State58-80
30/11/25HYale74-77
26/11/25APrinceton79-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ANJIT74-70
08/01/26AUMBC Retrievers62-69
03/01/26HBryant University51-56
30/12/25HMaine-Fort Kent104-66
21/12/25ADrexel56-74
13/12/25HCanisius43-70
11/12/25ABoston University69-59
06/12/25AMiami (Ohio)61-93
04/12/25AOhio57-79
30/11/25HSiena60-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%56%62%
Points / game76.676.376.9
Allowed / game72.670.774.8
Point differential+4.0+5.7+2.1
Avg total149.2147.0151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%22%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Maine Black Bears
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW17%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLWLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18612
Win %17%17%17%
Points / game61.662.561.1
Allowed / game69.464.072.1
Point differential-7.8-1.5-11.0
Avg total130.9126.5133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont1710759%76.672.6+4.0
2 UMBC Retrievers169756%74.771.7+3.0
3 UMass Lowell1981142%76.478.0-1.6
4 NJIT1981142%66.476.3-9.9
5 Bryant University1861233%63.871.2-7.4
6 Binghamton1941521%67.175.0-7.9
7 Maine Black Bears1831517%61.669.4-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont323567
Maine Black Bears303262
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