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Vermont vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 66-59
30-21 36-38
Position#85
Record6-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game75.3
Vermont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#66
Record6-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vermont v Merrimack Warriors
14 Dec 2025
VERM66
MERR59
06 Nov 2023
VERM67
MERR55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plattsburgh
#633
W
113-62
113
62
+51
H06/11
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
A09/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A15/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A18/11
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H24/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H25/11
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H30/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-31
69-31
24-32
41-33
30-33
55-41
43-40
47-54
32-40
41-39
30-35
35-45
43-26
36-48
31-35
43-42
24-42
34-38
26-28
39-28
155.1Avg total
79.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.775.3154.0+3.555%
Season at home (5)80.073.2153.2+6.840%
Season away (6)77.777.0154.7+0.767%
Last 10 (10)79.176.0155.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)68.273.4141.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.068.3130.3-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.268.8138.1+0.458%
vs Weaker (12)71.865.7137.5+6.283%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A12/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
91-79
91
79
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
45-80
45
80
-35
A22/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A28/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A29/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H05/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H07/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
31-42
48-34
43-45
34-27
38-38
17-44
28-36
30-35
35-42
30-43
28-35
42-36
24-24
37-33
31-33
39-30
35-33
32-29
27-27
136.0Avg total
66.0Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)65.272.5137.8-7.250%
Season at home (4)70.067.2137.2+2.875%
Season away (8)62.975.1138.0-12.238%
Last 10 (10)66.070.0136.0-4.060%
Last 5 (5)65.064.6129.6+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.579.0130.5-27.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)66.867.1133.9-0.247%
vs Weaker (9)68.662.0130.6+6.689%
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -3.5-3.5
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -3.5-3.5
VermontMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plattsburgh
#633
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/11
NCAA
Brown
#319
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A09/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A18/11
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A06/12
NCAA
66.9Avg total
32.7Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.131.564.6+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.730.765.4+4.056%-
Last 30 away (14)31.332.563.8-1.243%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.266.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.833.264.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.335.065.3-4.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.132.764.8-0.658%-
vs Weaker (12)31.430.461.8+1.042%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#255
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A15/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
17-44
17
44
-27
A22/11
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A28/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/11
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H07/12
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A10/12
NCAA
68.5Avg total
34.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.364.6-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.430.261.6+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)33.134.467.5-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)34.034.568.5-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.270.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)23.543.567.0-20.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)31.331.763.1-0.442%-
vs Weaker (9)36.231.067.2+5.278%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vermont wins
1
Merrimack Warriors wins
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25APepperdine65-56
04/12/25AOregon State58-80
30/11/25HYale74-77
26/11/25APrinceton79-74
25/11/25HRhode Island65-80
24/11/25HLiberty73-79
18/11/25ABuffalo90-94
15/11/25ANortheastern85-74
09/11/25ABrown89-84 OT
06/11/25HPlattsburgh113-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25APrinceton59-56
07/12/25HFairfield74-63
05/12/25HRider68-66
30/11/25ALa Salle66-60
29/11/25AHofstra58-78
28/11/25APenn65-77
22/11/25AFlorida45-80
20/11/25HMaine Black Bears72-65
15/11/25ABoston University91-79
12/11/25ATarleton62-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%40%67%
Points / game78.780.077.7
Allowed / game75.373.277.0
Point differential+3.5+6.8+0.7
Avg total154.0153.2154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %50%75%38%
Points / game65.270.062.9
Allowed / game72.567.275.1
Point differential-7.2+2.8-12.2
Avg total137.8137.2138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont116555%78.775.3+3.5
2 UMBC Retrievers116555%74.170.8+3.3
3 UMass Lowell124833%77.478.9-1.5
4 NJIT124833%63.177.5-14.4
5 Binghamton113827%65.573.6-8.1
6 Bryant University123925%63.671.4-7.8
7 Maine Black Bears131128%58.570.3-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena119282%70.561.4+9.1
2 Marist97278%73.861.9+11.9
3 Quinnipiac118373%79.473.3+6.1
4 Iona128467%80.278.5+1.8
5 Fairfield105550%73.476.5-3.1
6 Merrimack Warriors126650%65.272.5-7.2
7 Canisius115645%61.568.0-6.5
8 St. Peters94544%67.972.0-4.1
9 Sacred Heart104640%77.278.7-1.5
10 Manhattan114736%78.384.4-6.1
11 Mount St. Mary's113827%68.379.2-10.9
12 Niagara102820%61.475.8-14.4
13 Rider91811%58.874.6-15.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont303666
Merrimack Warriors213859
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