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Viimsi vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-95
15-19 14-22 19-23 27-31
Position#15
Record5-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#16
Record2-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game89.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Forus Spordikeskus (Viimsi)
Other2023
Meetings · Viimsi v Tallinna Kalev
28 Jan 2024
VIIM75
TALL95
23 Oct 2022
VIIM71
TALL69
03 Oct 2021
VIIM87
TALL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Viimsi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ViimsiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormViimsi
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
71avg 61
H22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
91avg 61
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
96-82
96
82
+14
99avg 61
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
61-82
61
82
-21
48avg 61
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
80-82
80
82
-2
72avg 61
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
64-85
64
85
-21
46avg 61
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
70-88
70
88
-18
57avg 61
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
57-83
57
83
-26
49avg 61
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
24-76
24
76
-52
8avg 61
A18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
73avg 61
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
17-21
20-17
22-8
19-13
27-16
21-19
17-23
24-17
26-23
25-32
21-10
20-21
15-22
15-19
11-20
28-23
15-15
21-25
16-19
19-21
19-20
13-17
13-27
23-20
15-31
24-22
8-15
8-27
17-19
18-20
14-17
2-17
6-24
8-14
8-21
12-19
21-25
25-17
18-26
150.1Avg total
69.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)66.984.9151.8-18.023%
Season at home (12)72.885.1157.9-12.233%
Season away (10)59.884.6144.4-24.810%
Last 10 (10)69.181.0150.1-11.930%
Last 5 (5)58.283.8142.0-25.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)66.586.6153.1-20.113%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.476.4155.9+3.057%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
75-83
75
83
-8
61avg 54
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
73-101
73
101
-28
61avg 54
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 54
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
91-101
91
101
-10
89avg 54
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
64-94
64
94
-30
43avg 54
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
62-107
62
107
-45
47avg 54
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
63-104
63
104
-41
43avg 54
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
52-110
52
110
-58
38avg 54
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
64-89
64
89
-25
61avg 54
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
66-92
66
92
-26
38avg 54
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
20-17
16-14
19-30
21-25
15-22
20-29
17-25
15-20
18-24
23-13
20-25
18-17
18-32
33-30
22-22
18-25
12-16
13-29
21-24
19-30
12-26
14-23
17-28
12-31
17-22
21-30
13-21
8-25
12-31
21-24
11-30
18-22
20-24
14-19
12-24
12-33
17-19
17-19
20-21
164.9Avg total
68.6Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.089.4156.4-22.411%
Season at home (10)70.386.4156.7-16.110%
Season away (9)63.392.7156.0-29.311%
Last 10 (10)68.696.3164.9-27.70%
Last 5 (5)61.4100.4161.8-39.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)68.090.6158.5-22.612%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.579.2156.8-1.825%
vs Weaker (2)91.085.0176.0+6.050%
This opponent (Viimsi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -8.9-8.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -7.8-7.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -8.9-8.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -7.2-7.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -7.8-7.8
ViimsiTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ViimsiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
8-41
8
41
-33
A18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
77.5Avg total
35.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.342.277.4-6.930%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.342.878.1-7.525%-
Last 30 away (14)35.241.476.6-6.236%-
Last 10 (10)35.342.277.5-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)28.444.673.0-16.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)33.944.578.4-10.713%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.934.474.3+5.486%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
20-56
20
56
-36
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
80.5Avg total
32.2Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.143.577.5-9.420%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.642.978.5-7.229%-
Last 30 away (16)32.744.076.7-11.312%-
Last 10 (10)32.248.380.5-16.110%-
Last 5 (5)29.452.682.0-23.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)32.244.576.8-12.312%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.036.076.0+4.050%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Viimsi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Viimsitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Viimsi: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.5
47.0%
50.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.2
29.5%
32.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.312.0
73.6%
70.5%12.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.317.2
43.8%
50.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.3
27.0%
32.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.914.5
69.4%
70.5%14.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Viimsi
LLLLLLLWWW
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLLLLLLL
#15
League position
#16
-15.0
Net rating
-35.5
87.8
Offensive rating
86.8
102.8
Defensive rating
122.3
45.9%
Effective FG%
42.6%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
22.1%
Turnover %
21.0%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.5%
3-point %
27.0%
67.2%
Assist %
54.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence87.8 · 86.8Defence102.8 · 122.3Shooting45.9% · 42.6%3-point %29.5% · 27.0%Ball care22.1% · 21.0%Off. rebounds20.3% · 25.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ Viimsi   ■ Tallinna Kalev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Viimsi wins
1
Tallinna Kalev wins
Viimsilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HParnu76-87
18/01/24ATartu Ulikool24-76
14/01/24HVEF Riga57-83
10/01/24HTal Tech70-88
06/01/24ARapla64-85
22/12/23AKeila KK80-82
16/12/23ABC Kalev/Cramo61-82
10/12/23HValmiera Glass Via96-82
03/12/23HLatvijas Universitate84-71
22/11/23HRigas Zelli79-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HVEF Riga66-92
10/01/24HRigas Zelli64-89
05/01/24HPrometey52-110
23/12/23AParnu63-104
16/12/23APrometey62-107
10/12/23AVEF Riga64-94
03/12/23HKeila KK91-101
28/11/23HRapla76-82
25/11/23ABK Ogre73-101
19/11/23HLatvijas Universitate75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Viimsi
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %23%33%10%
Points / game66.972.859.8
Allowed / game84.985.184.6
Point differential-18.0-12.2-24.8
Avg total151.8157.9144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %11%10%11%
Points / game67.070.363.3
Allowed / game89.486.492.7
Point differential-22.4-16.1-29.3
Avg total156.4156.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2221195%87.169.0+18.1
2 Prometey1917289%92.168.2+23.9
3 VEF Riga2116576%86.370.5+15.8
4 Tartu Ulikool1913668%77.770.1+7.6
5 Ventspils1913668%92.685.3+7.3
6 Rigas Zelli2215768%80.372.1+8.1
7 BK Ogre2011955%79.076.6+2.4
8 Tal Tech21101148%77.579.3-1.9
9 BK Liepaja1991047%79.180.3-1.3
10 Parnu2091145%77.078.0-0.9
11 Keila KK2281436%80.386.0-5.6
12 Rapla2171433%74.078.0-4.0
13 Viimsi2251723%66.984.9-18.0
14 Valmiera Glass Via1941521%74.585.3-10.8
15 Latvijas Universitate2131814%67.785.8-18.1
16 Tallinna Kalev1921711%67.089.4-22.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Viimsi1514192775
Tallinna Kalev1922233195
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