Vila Velha vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2012

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 73-81

21-19 17-26 16-14 19-22

Position#15

Record1-12

FormLLLLL

Points / game62.2

Allowed / game86.4

Vila Velha

Brasilia 🏆

Position#2

Record8-5

FormLLWWW

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game83.2

NBBRound 11

Other2011-12

Meetings · Vila Velha v Brasilia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vila Velha winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brasilia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vila Velha Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#11

64-88

-24

A29/11

NBB

Sao Jose

47-87

-40

A01/12

NBB

Joinville

72-76 OT

-4

A03/12

NBB

Pinheiros

54-86

-32

H08/12

NBB

Paulistano

78-81

-3

H10/12

NBB

Tijuca

#13

64-76

-12

A15/12

NBB

Flamengo

41-103

103

-62

A17/12

NBB

Minas

#12

78-84

-6

H07/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

63-100

100

-37

A12/01

NBB

Franca

#10

44-79

-35

A14/01

NBB

16-22

19-23

11-19

18-24

9-18

13-18

22-29

3-22

17-20

15-9

15-18

17-17

9-19

15-23

15-25

15-19

16-18

21-17

23-20

18-26

24-14

15-19

21-19

4-24

8-30

5-30

11-20

17-23

21-19

15-16

18-20

24-29

16-23

17-22

12-35

18-20

–

146.5Avg total

60.5Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	62.2	86.4	148.5	-24.2	8%
Season at home (5)	67.2	84.6	151.8	-17.4	20%
Season away (8)	59.0	87.5	146.5	-28.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	60.5	86.0	146.5	-25.5	0%
Last 5 (5)	58.0	88.4	146.4	-30.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	64.8	85.8	150.6	-21.0	11%
vs Similar (3)	77.7	79.7	157.3	-2.0	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unitri Universo

73-84

-11

A01/12

NBB

Franca

#10

104-95

104

A03/12

NBB

Lupo Araraquara

#14

97-79

+18

H08/12

NBB

Limeira

82-76

H10/12

NBB

Sao Jose

78-87

-9

A13/12

NBB

Pinheiros

68-70

-2

A15/12

NBB

Paulistano

93-120

120

-27

A17/12

NBB

Sorocabana

#11

68-63

H12/01

NBB

Bauru

88-81

H14/01

NBB

Minas

#12

81-69

+12

A19/01

NBB

19-20

17-22

20-20

17-22

24-20

17-18

27-27

36-30

27-10

24-21

26-30

20-18

22-24

19-16

18-23

23-13

18-31

13-21

22-18

25-17

20-12

22-19

14-16

12-23

31-36

18-20

25-35

19-29

13-6

17-23

21-19

17-15

16-26

21-12

31-24

20-19

22-21

18-18

18-20

23-10

165.6Avg total

83.2Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	84.2	83.2	167.5	+1.0	62%
Season at home (5)	88.8	75.4	164.2	+13.4	100%
Season away (8)	81.4	88.1	169.5	-6.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	82.4	165.6	+0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	80.6	160.2	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (20)	84.4	83.2	167.6	+1.2	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	92.5	82.8	175.3	+9.7	90%

This opponent (Vila Velha) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Vila VelhaBrasilia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	16.1	21.0	37.1	-4.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	15.4	21.7	37.1	-6.2	11%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.1	20.3	35.4	-5.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	15.7	21.2	36.9	-5.5	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.4	46%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	22.0	16.6	38.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (8)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	17.8	23.3	41.2	-5.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	16.6	20.1	36.7	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	17.7	20.8	38.5	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	15.9	19.7	35.6	-3.8	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.0	19.7	34.7	-4.7	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	20.8	35.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.2	20.1	36.4	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	20.5	19.5	40.1	+1.0	46%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.2	20.2	39.5	-1.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	43%	-

Vila VelhaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sorocabana

#11

35-45

-10

A29/11

NBB

Sao Jose

22-36

-14

A01/12

NBB

Joinville

32-29

A03/12

NBB

Pinheiros

24-42

-18

H08/12

NBB

Paulistano

37-35

H10/12

NBB

Tijuca

#13

39-33

A15/12

NBB

Flamengo

13-60

-47

A17/12

NBB

Minas

#12

36-35

H07/01

NBB

Unitri Universo

33-45

-12

A12/01

NBB

70.1Avg total

30.1Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	32.7	41.1	73.8	-8.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	34.7	40.8	75.5	-6.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	31.3	41.3	72.7	-10.0	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	30.1	40.0	70.1	-9.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	41.6	73.2	-10.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	31.9	41.4	73.3	-9.4	36%	-
vs Similar (1)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unitri Universo

36-42

-6

A01/12

NBB

Franca

#10

41-38

A03/12

NBB

Lupo Araraquara

#14

51-31

+20

H08/12

NBB

Limeira

41-40

H10/12

NBB

Sao Jose

31-52

-21

A13/12

NBB

Pinheiros

42-31

+11

A15/12

NBB

Paulistano

49-56

-7

A17/12

NBB

Sorocabana

#11

30-29

H12/01

NBB

Bauru

37-38

-1

H14/01

NBB

Minas

#12

40-39

A19/01

NBB

79.4Avg total

39.8Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	41.4	40.0	81.4	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	44.6	35.0	79.6	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (8)	39.4	43.1	82.5	-3.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	39.6	79.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.6	78.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	36.7	42.8	79.5	-6.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	45.4	37.6	83.0	+7.9	86%	-

This opponent (Vila Velha) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	17.3	22.1	39.4	-4.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	16.9	22.7	39.6	-5.8	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.4	22.8	39.2	-6.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.8	39.8	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.2	22.7	39.9	-5.5	36%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	13.0	32.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	23.0	23.4	46.4	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	24.2	23.2	47.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (8)	22.2	23.5	45.8	-1.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	22.5	22.2	44.7	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.4	24.4	47.9	-1.0	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	14.3	23.5	37.9	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	15.2	24.2	39.3	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (9)	13.8	23.1	36.9	-9.3	0%	-
Last 10 (9)	14.9	22.7	37.6	-7.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	24.4	40.6	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	14.4	23.6	38.1	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	22.0	35.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	19.8	19.8	39.7	+0.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.8	21.5	41.2	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	17.7	19.7	37.3	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (15)	31.7	45.6	77.3	-13.9	7%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	33.2	45.3	78.5	-12.2	0%	-
Last 30 away (9)	30.7	45.8	76.4	-15.1	11%	-
Last 10 (9)	31.3	45.4	76.8	-14.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	47.2	80.4	-14.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	31.6	46.4	78.0	-14.7	7%	-
vs Similar (1)	32.0	35.0	67.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	42.8	43.2	86.1	-0.4	62%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	44.2	40.4	84.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (8)	42.0	45.0	87.0	-3.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	42.8	86.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	42.0	82.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	45.1	44.4	89.6	+0.7	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vila Velha wins

Brasilia wins

Date	Game	Score
18/02/11	Brasilia v Vila Velha	106-69
07/12/10	Vila Velha v Brasilia	68-80
10/04/09	Vila Velha v Brasilia	76-80
20/02/09	Brasilia v Vila Velha	103-78

Vila Velhalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/01/12	A	Franca	44-79
12/01/12	A	Unitri Universo	63-100
07/01/12	H	Minas	78-84
17/12/11	A	Flamengo	41-103
15/12/11	A	Tijuca	64-76
10/12/11	H	Paulistano	78-81
08/12/11	H	Pinheiros	54-86
03/12/11	A	Joinville	72-76 OT
01/12/11	A	Sao Jose	47-87
29/11/11	A	Sorocabana	64-88

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/12	A	Minas	81-69
14/01/12	H	Bauru	88-81
12/01/12	H	Sorocabana	68-63
17/12/11	A	Paulistano	93-120
15/12/11	A	Pinheiros	68-70
13/12/11	A	Sao Jose	78-87
10/12/11	H	Limeira	82-76
08/12/11	H	Lupo Araraquara	97-79
03/12/11	A	Franca	104-95
01/12/11	A	Unitri Universo	73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vila Velha

NBB 2011-12

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	8%
Home	WLLLL	20%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	5	8
Win %	8%	20%	0%
Points / game	62.2	67.2	59.0
Allowed / game	86.4	84.6	87.5
Point differential	-24.2	-17.4	-28.5
Avg total	148.5	151.8	146.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	0%	12%

Brasilia

NBB 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	62%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	5	8
Win %	62%	100%	38%
Points / game	84.2	88.8	81.4
Allowed / game	83.2	75.4	88.1
Point differential	+1.0	+13.4	-6.8
Avg total	167.5	164.2	169.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	40%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	14	12	2	86%	91.4	71.6	+19.7
2	Pinheiros	14	11	3	79%	89.1	79.4	+9.8
3	Unitri Universo	14	11	3	79%	89.4	79.9	+9.5
4	Sao Jose	14	10	4	71%	88.9	78.5	+10.4
5	Bauru	14	10	4	71%	84.7	75.9	+8.8
6	Paulistano	14	9	5	64%	87.1	83.2	+3.9
7	Brasilia	13	8	5	62%	84.2	83.2	+1.0
8	Limeira	14	7	7	50%	82.1	76.6	+5.5
9	Minas	14	5	9	36%	77.7	80.7	-3.0
10	Joinville	14	5	9	36%	74.1	77.9	-3.8
11	Franca	14	5	9	36%	82.0	86.5	-4.5
12	Sorocabana	14	5	9	36%	74.7	84.2	-9.5
13	Tijuca	14	4	10	29%	75.9	85.6	-9.8
14	Vila Velha	13	1	12	8%	62.2	86.4	-24.2
15	Lupo Araraquara	14	1	13	7%	73.2	88.6	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vila Velha	21	17	16	19	73
Brasilia	19	26	14	22	81

← all games of the day

Vila Velha vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature