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Vila Velha vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2014
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 84-99
23-26 17-22 22-29 22-22
Position#17
Record4-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#2
Record22-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game77.9
BrazilNBBRound 36
Other2013-14
Meetings · Vila Velha v Paulistano
29 Mar 2014
VILA84
PAUL99
23 Feb 2013
VILA120
PAUL126
10 Dec 2011
VILA78
PAUL81
30 Oct 2010
VILA60
PAUL63
17 Apr 2009
VILA85
PAUL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vila Velha winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vila VelhaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Macae
#13
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A13/02
NBB
Mogi
#10
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H25/02
NBB
Cearense
#12
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H27/02
NBB
Franca
#9
L
82-106
82
106
-24
A08/03
NBB
Unitri Universo
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A10/03
NBB
Brasilia
#4
L
66-110
66
110
-44
H13/03
NBB
Goiania
#16
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H15/03
NBB
Franca
#9
L
61-85
61
85
-24
H17/03
NBB
Unitri Universo
#7
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H25/03
NBB
Sorocabana
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H27/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
25-10
14-19
12-27
13-18
17-14
19-16
21-25
20-23
16-13
28-21
18-17
19-27
18-32
26-24
19-23
20-21
16-26
21-17
23-27
16-34
13-28
21-20
16-28
10-20
16-20
15-10
10-15
12-18
13-17
18-27
18-23
20-23
21-18
12-24
17-14
16-29
14-9
20-23
20-20
154.8Avg total
69.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.485.4155.8-15.014%
Season at home (15)70.583.9154.4-13.320%
Season away (14)70.287.0157.2-16.87%
Last 10 (10)69.984.9154.8-15.010%
Last 5 (5)63.684.0147.6-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)70.685.9156.5-15.413%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A13/02
NBB
Cearense
#12
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A15/02
NBB
Unitri Universo
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H25/02
NBB
Franca
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H27/02
NBB
Brasilia
#4
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A06/03
NBB
Goiania
#16
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A08/03
NBB
Palmeiras
#11
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H13/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H15/03
NBB
Sorocabana
#15
W
82-60
82
60
+22
A22/03
NBB
Minas
#14
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A27/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
28-14
12-19
16-10
19-7
22-15
18-13
18-19
24-10
17-15
20-24
29-30
27-24
18-26
23-19
28-17
17-22
18-27
23-29
19-22
30-15
14-26
13-18
19-15
25-19
17-21
13-14
21-13
30-24
27-13
21-15
22-29
20-19
31-7
18-13
13-21
9-16
19-17
18-22
19-20
156.0Avg total
81.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.477.9161.3+5.571%
Season at home (16)89.079.2168.2+9.881%
Season away (15)77.476.6154.0+0.860%
Last 10 (10)81.874.2156.0+7.680%
Last 5 (5)79.871.4151.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)83.482.5165.8+0.965%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.271.9156.2+12.385%
This opponent (Vila Velha) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.0-8.0Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Vila VelhaPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Vila VelhaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Macae
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A13/02
NBB
Mogi
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H25/02
NBB
Cearense
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/02
NBB
Franca
#9
L
37-59
37
59
-22
A08/03
NBB
Unitri Universo
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A10/03
NBB
Brasilia
#4
L
29-62
29
62
-33
H13/03
NBB
Goiania
#16
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H15/03
NBB
Franca
#9
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H17/03
NBB
Unitri Universo
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/03
NBB
Sorocabana
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H27/03
NBB
76.0Avg total
33.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.741.774.4-9.010%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.539.972.3-7.413%-
Last 30 away (15)33.043.576.5-10.57%-
Last 10 (10)33.142.976.0-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)30.243.273.4-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)32.741.774.4-9.010%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A13/02
NBB
Cearense
#12
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A15/02
NBB
Unitri Universo
#7
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H25/02
NBB
Franca
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H27/02
NBB
Brasilia
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A06/03
NBB
Goiania
#16
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A08/03
NBB
Palmeiras
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H13/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H15/03
NBB
Sorocabana
#15
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A22/03
NBB
Minas
#14
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/03
NBB
79.5Avg total
43.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.579.3+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.938.481.3+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)40.436.677.0+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)43.536.079.5+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.479.8+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)40.939.980.8+1.159%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.834.577.3+8.477%-
This opponent (Vila Velha) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vila Velha wins
6
Paulistano wins
Vila Velhalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/14HSorocabana70-81
25/03/14HUnitri Universo70-79
17/03/14HFranca61-85
15/03/14HGoiania51-65
13/03/14HBrasilia66-110
10/03/14AUnitri Universo80-91
08/03/14AFranca82-106
27/02/14HCearense82-74
25/02/14HMogi70-73
13/02/14AMacae67-85
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/14AMinas65-75
22/03/14ASorocabana82-60
15/03/14HPinheiros100-81
13/03/14HPalmeiras76-67
08/03/14AGoiania76-74
06/03/14ABrasilia77-100
27/02/14HFranca96-86
25/02/14HUnitri Universo90-79
15/02/14ACearense77-54
13/02/14AMogi79-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vila Velha
NBB 2013-14
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %14%20%7%
Points / game70.470.570.2
Allowed / game85.483.987.0
Point differential-15.0-13.3-16.8
Avg total155.8154.4157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2013-14
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWW81%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %71%81%60%
Points / game83.489.077.4
Allowed / game77.979.276.6
Point differential+5.5+9.8+0.8
Avg total161.3168.2154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2823582%83.974.8+9.0
2 Paulistano3122971%83.477.9+5.5
3 Brasilia32211166%86.677.8+8.8
4 Limeira32211166%78.173.4+4.6
5 Unitri Universo31191261%83.380.4+2.9
6 Sao Jose31191261%82.981.1+1.8
7 Pinheiros30181260%82.681.7+0.9
8 Bauru32181456%82.681.3+1.2
9 Cearense30151550%77.278.2-0.9
10 Franca31151648%79.978.1+1.8
11 Palmeiras30131743%79.582.1-2.6
12 Mogi30121840%80.078.8+1.3
13 Macae31121939%80.681.9-1.4
14 Minas29101934%70.475.0-4.6
15 Sorocabana3192229%75.984.5-8.7
16 Goiania3292328%77.282.6-5.4
17 Vila Velha2942514%70.485.4-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vila Velha2317222284
Paulistano2622292299
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