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Virginia vs Gonzaga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 75-98
31-44 44-54
Position#43
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game54.0
vs
Gonzaga 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gonzaga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#222
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A27/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#41
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Towson
#341
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H25/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#224
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A27/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#317
W
76-51
76
51
+25
H01/12
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
71-64 OT
71
64
+7
H04/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#241
W
76-40
76
40
+36
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
28-27
26-11
30-42
25-25
27-25
24-23
22-21
31-24
26-30
42-19
47-35
24-21
36-40
45-13
31-38
29-22
33-40
36-14
40-26
116.9Avg total
64.2Scored
52.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.454.0128.4+20.480%
Season at home (4)78.052.2130.2+25.8100%
Season away (1)60.061.0121.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)64.252.7116.9+11.590%
Last 5 (5)74.454.0128.4+20.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)58.658.8117.4-0.260%
vs Similar (12)55.755.9111.6-0.267%
vs Weaker (13)63.851.2115.0+12.785%
This opponent (Gonzaga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GonzagaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#20
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A23/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#319
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H28/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#33
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H01/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#123
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H10/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#33
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H11/03
NCAA
Kansas
#55
W
102-90
102
90
+12
H26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
90-67
90
67
+23
A27/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#81
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
99-88
99
88
+11
H19/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-46
40-45
46-34
48-25
34-34
52-42
40-35
41-42
42-41
42-25
54-46
48-44
49-35
41-32
34-39
53-43
51-37
48-51
43-30
52-27
164.9Avg total
89.6Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.676.8171.4+17.8100%
Season at home (4)95.879.2175.0+16.5100%
Season away (1)90.067.0157.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.675.3164.9+14.390%
Last 5 (5)94.676.8171.4+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)88.770.9159.6+17.893%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +8.9+8.9
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: +5.4+5.42nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: +8.9+8.9
VirginiaGonzaga
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#222
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
26-11
26
11
+15
A27/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H29/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#41
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Towson
#341
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H25/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#224
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A27/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#317
W
45-13
45
13
+32
H01/12
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H04/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#241
W
36-14
36
14
+22
H22/12
NCAA
51.4Avg total
31.3Scored
20.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.324.152.3+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (19)29.321.751.1+7.668%-
Last 30 away (11)26.528.154.5-1.645%-
Last 10 (10)31.320.151.4+11.290%-
Last 5 (5)35.217.853.0+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)27.430.457.8-3.020%-
vs Similar (12)26.625.351.9+1.258%-
vs Weaker (13)30.220.550.6+9.777%-
This opponent (Gonzaga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GonzagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#20
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#319
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H28/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#33
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H01/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#123
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#33
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/03
NCAA
Kansas
#55
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A27/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#81
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H19/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H22/12
NCAA
80.8Avg total
43.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.734.377.0+8.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.434.378.7+10.178%-
Last 30 away (12)40.234.274.4+5.967%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.780.8+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.237.483.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)42.734.377.0+8.473%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
0
Gonzaga wins
No previous meetings.
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/20HWilliam & Mary76-40
04/12/20HKent State71-64 OT
01/12/20HSt. Francis (PA)76-51
27/11/20ASan Francisco60-61
25/11/20HTowson89-54
07/03/20HLouisville57-54
05/03/20AMiami (FL)46-44
29/02/20HDuke52-50
27/02/20AVirginia Tech56-53
22/02/20APittsburgh59-56
Gonzagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/20HNorthwestern St.95-57
19/12/20HIowa99-88
03/12/20HWest Virginia87-82
27/11/20AAuburn90-67
26/11/20HKansas102-90
11/03/20HSt. Marys (CA)84-66
10/03/20HSan Francisco81-77
01/03/20HSt. Marys (CA)86-76
28/02/20HSan Diego Toreros94-59
23/02/20ABrigham Young78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game74.478.060.0
Allowed / game54.052.261.0
Point differential+20.4+25.8-1.0
Avg total128.4130.2121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%25%0%
Gonzaga
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.695.890.0
Allowed / game76.879.267.0
Point differential+17.8+16.5+23.0
Avg total171.4175.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest220100%91.055.5+35.5
2 SMU Mustangs550100%85.263.0+22.2
3 Virginia Tech87188%75.062.5+12.5
4 Syracuse76186%83.767.9+15.9
5 Clemson76186%66.653.4+13.1
6 Louisville76186%69.361.4+7.9
7 NC State65183%81.362.8+18.5
8 Florida State65183%76.367.0+9.3
9 Virginia54180%74.454.0+20.4
10 Stanford75271%72.764.6+8.1
11 Pittsburgh75271%72.064.6+7.4
12 Miami (FL)64267%67.862.2+5.7
13 North Carolina85362%74.468.1+6.2
14 Duke53260%73.869.6+4.2
15 Georgia Tech74357%82.777.0+5.7
16 California95456%68.765.8+2.9
17 Notre Dame73443%74.476.6-2.1
18 Boston College72529%74.382.1-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga550100%94.676.8+17.8
2 Washington State880100%68.857.6+11.1
3 Santa Clara76186%67.960.0+7.9
4 St. Marys (CA)108280%70.062.0+8.0
5 Pacific43175%72.566.0+6.5
6 Portland86275%74.174.8-0.6
7 San Francisco106460%76.168.1+8.0
8 Oregon State74357%77.064.3+12.7
9 Seattle105550%68.964.1+4.8
10 Pepperdine94544%77.973.6+4.3
11 San Diego Toreros41325%62.877.0-14.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia314475
Gonzaga445498
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