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Virginia vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 57-54
31-24 26-30
Position#43
Record18-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game56.8
Allowed / game54.1
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
Louisville
USA
Position#41
Record19-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Virginia v Louisville
04 Jan 2025
VIRG50
LOUI70
03 Jan 2024
VIRG77
LOUI53
04 Mar 2023
VIRG75
LOUI60
09 Mar 2022
VIRG51
LOUI50
24 Jan 2022
VIRG64
LOUI52
06 Feb 2021
VIRG v LOUI
upcoming
07 Mar 2020
VIRG57
LOUI54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#12
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
50-49 OT
50
49
+1
H12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H20/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A27/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
34-28
26-14
25-30
30-44
43-36
22-26
25-21
28-28
36-34
35-23
43-42
31-29
28-27
26-11
30-42
25-25
27-25
24-23
22-21
114.9Avg total
59.0Scored
55.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)56.854.1110.9+2.772%
Season at home (14)56.650.5107.1+6.179%
Season away (11)57.058.6115.6-1.664%
Last 10 (10)59.055.9114.9+3.190%
Last 5 (5)58.253.6111.8+4.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)59.060.0119.0-1.050%
vs Similar (12)55.156.8111.9-1.858%
vs Weaker (11)59.550.5110.0+9.191%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#295
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A30/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A01/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A13/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H20/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A25/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-43
41-26
41-26
36-31
34-46
52-30
44-30
36-43
26-31
32-33
14-31
48-46
41-34
49-32
36-23
36-32
40-32
27-50
27-27
41-25
141.7Avg total
74.6Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)72.964.7137.6+8.276%
Season at home (15)74.262.1136.3+12.187%
Season away (10)71.068.6139.6+2.460%
Last 10 (10)74.667.1141.7+7.570%
Last 5 (5)71.866.4138.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.570.5152.0+11.0100%
vs Similar (9)68.070.7138.7-2.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)74.261.8136.0+12.588%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +5.0+5.0
VirginiaLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#12
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
26-14
26
14
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A08/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H20/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
26-11
26
11
+15
A27/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H29/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A05/03
NCAA
52.5Avg total
27.4Scored
25.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)27.025.052.0+2.054%-
Last 30 at home (17)27.122.949.9+4.259%-
Last 30 away (11)26.928.455.3-1.545%-
Last 10 (10)27.425.152.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)28.222.250.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)26.532.058.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (12)26.526.152.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker (11)27.822.250.0+5.673%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#295
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A30/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A01/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H06/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A13/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
14-31
14
31
-17
A15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A25/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H01/03
NCAA
67.1Avg total
34.8Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.930.365.2+4.661%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.830.265.9+5.661%-
Last 30 away (10)33.330.563.8+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)34.832.367.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)31.629.461.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.529.070.5+12.5100%-
vs Similar (9)33.831.164.9+2.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)35.430.065.4+5.462%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
1
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
08/02/20Louisville v Virginia80-73
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/20AMiami (FL)46-44
29/02/20HDuke52-50
27/02/20AVirginia Tech56-53
22/02/20APittsburgh59-56
20/02/20HBoston College78-65
16/02/20ANorth Carolina64-62
12/02/20HNotre Dame50-49 OT
08/02/20ALouisville73-80
06/02/20HClemson51-44
29/01/20HFlorida State61-56
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/20HVirginia Tech68-52
25/02/20AFlorida State67-82
22/02/20HNorth Carolina72-55
20/02/20HSyracuse90-66
15/02/20AClemson62-77
13/02/20AGeorgia Tech58-64
08/02/20HVirginia80-73
06/02/20HWake Forest86-76
01/02/20ANC State77-57
30/01/20ABoston College86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %72%79%64%
Points / game56.856.657.0
Allowed / game54.150.558.6
Point differential+2.7+6.1-1.6
Avg total110.9107.1115.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (12)80% (5)86% (7)
Overtime %12%14%9%
Louisville
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %76%87%60%
Points / game72.974.271.0
Allowed / game64.762.168.6
Point differential+8.2+12.1+2.4
Avg total137.6136.3139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State2622485%75.566.7+8.8
2 Duke2620677%82.069.0+13.1
3 Louisville2519676%72.964.7+8.2
4 Virginia2518772%56.854.1+2.7
5 Stanford25151060%68.762.6+6.2
6 SMU Mustangs25151060%73.569.8+3.8
7 Notre Dame26151158%74.070.7+3.2
8 NC State26151158%72.470.0+2.3
9 Syracuse26141254%75.772.0+3.7
10 Georgia Tech28151354%67.966.2+1.7
11 Clemson26121446%64.864.6+0.3
12 Pittsburgh26121446%65.165.9-0.8
13 Virginia Tech26111542%66.868.2-1.4
14 Wake Forest26111542%73.375.2-1.8
15 Miami (FL)24101442%70.574.9-4.3
16 Boston College2591636%63.270.8-7.6
17 North Carolina2691735%71.974.2-2.2
18 California2691735%61.670.3-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia312657
Louisville243054
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