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Virtus Bologna W vs Brixia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-53
21-14 23-14 17-20 16-5
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.0
Virtus Bologna W 🏆
Italy
vs
Brixia W
Italy
Position#10
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game55.0
ItalySerie A1 WRound 2· Segafredo Arena
Women2023-24
Meetings · Virtus Bologna W v Brixia W
07 Oct 2023
VIRT77
BRIX53
26 Mar 2023
VIRT90
BRIX51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brixia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Bologna WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Basket Crema W
#8
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H06/04
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
A11/04
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
64-49
64
49
+15
no box
H18/04
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
75-67
75
67
+8
no box
A22/04
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
H29/04
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A02/05
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#4
W
74-65
74
65
+9
68avg 61
A22/09
Super Cup Women
Schio W
#2
W
70-65
70
65
+5
65avg 61
A23/09
Super Cup Women
Ragusa W
#6
W
73-67
73
67
+6
72avg 61
A01/10
Serie A1 W
Polkowice W
#11
W
90-69
90
69
+21
37avg 61
H04/10
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
21-23
27-11
23-17
16-19
21-12
12-11
26-20
18-13
19-15
12-8
15-13
21-23
23-15
20-7
11-22
23-27
17-15
24-22
20-22
19-23
22-23
19-16
19-22
17-26
25-9
17-14
15-16
21-19
15-13
17-19
17-14
22-17
16-13
10-21
25-16
23-20
22-19
31-19
14-11
146.3Avg total
77.9Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.067.0140.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)73.067.0140.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.968.4146.3+9.580%
Last 5 (5)77.270.0147.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.583.0144.5-21.50%
vs Similar (7)81.978.9160.7+3.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.460.1139.4+19.3100%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Valdarno W
#13
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
50-78
50
78
-28
no box
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
54-96
54
96
-42
no box
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
A19/02
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H26/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
51-59
51
59
-8
no box
A04/03
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Lucca W
#12
L
50-77
50
77
-27
no box
H19/03
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
51-90
51
90
-39
no box
A26/03
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
61-55
61
55
+6
51avg 51
H01/10
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
14-17
16-27
22-20
11-24
10-28
2-16
27-10
8-27
15-36
13-15
18-18
23-26
14-20
17-16
22-16
20-13
16-14
10-24
18-18
16-13
14-15
14-18
7-13
22-24
11-22
17-24
14-14
13-15
4-17
15-25
18-20
13-22
11-18
20-19
7-31
10-11
12-13
8-14
31-17
136.8Avg total
60.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)61.055.0116.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)61.055.0116.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)60.076.8136.8-16.810%
Last 5 (5)55.473.0128.4-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)59.078.0137.0-19.14%
vs Similar (5)65.267.2132.4-2.040%
vs Weaker (1)75.071.0146.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
Virtus Bologna WBrixia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus Bologna WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Crema W
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H06/04
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/04
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H18/04
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A22/04
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/04
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A02/05
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A22/09
Super Cup Women
Schio W
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A23/09
Super Cup Women
Ragusa W
#6
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A01/10
Serie A1 W
Polkowice W
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/10
Euroleague Women
76.8Avg total
40.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.834.174.8+6.780%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.134.676.7+7.686%-
Last 30 away (16)39.633.673.2+5.975%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.376.8+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.476.8+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.042.072.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (7)42.638.380.9+4.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.831.372.1+9.689%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valdarno W
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
21-52
21
52
-31
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
23-63
23
63
-40
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/02
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H26/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A04/03
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H08/03
Serie A1 W
Lucca W
#12
L
17-32
17
32
-15
H19/03
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A26/03
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
22-24
22
24
-2
H01/10
Serie A1 W
67.7Avg total
28.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.640.771.2-10.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.039.569.5-9.520%-
Last 30 away (15)31.141.973.0-10.720%-
Last 10 (10)28.439.367.7-10.930%-
Last 5 (5)25.234.059.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.941.671.5-11.817%-
vs Similar (5)31.035.866.8-4.820%-
vs Weaker (1)45.042.087.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bologna Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna W: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.0
53.1%
45.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.0
39.1%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws13.810.8
78.2%
74.9%10.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 61.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.014.0
33.3%
45.7%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.0
28.0%
32.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws13.012.0
92.3%
74.9%12.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/1 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna W
WWWWLLWWWW
Brixia W
WLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#10
+13.7
Net rating
+10.8
106.6
Offensive rating
82.5
92.8
Defensive rating
71.7
55.3%
Effective FG%
36.6%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
36.7%
20.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.19
39.1%
3-point %
28.0%
60.7%
Assist %
76.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 82.5Defence92.8 · 71.7Shooting55.3% · 36.6%3-point %39.1% · 28.0%Ball care20.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds29.2% · 23.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Virtus Bologna W   ■ Brixia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virtus Bologna W wins
0
Brixia W wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Virtus Bologna W v Brixia W90-51
28/12/22Brixia W v Virtus Bologna W69-88
Virtus Bologna Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23HPolkowice W90-69
01/10/23ARagusa W73-67
23/09/23ASchio W70-65
22/09/23AVenezia W74-65
02/05/23ASchio W79-84
29/04/23HSchio W84-86
22/04/23ASan Giovanni W75-67
18/04/23HSan Giovanni W64-49
11/04/23ABasket Crema W75-62
06/04/23HBasket Crema W95-70
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HFaenza W61-55
26/03/23AVirtus Bologna W51-90
19/03/23HLucca W50-77
08/03/23HBasket Crema W64-84
04/03/23ASan Martino W51-59
26/02/23HLibertas Moncalieri W64-69
19/02/23ACampobasso W76-78
15/02/23ASchio W54-96
04/02/23HVenezia W50-78
28/01/23AValdarno W79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game73.0-73.0
Allowed / game67.0-67.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total140.0-140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game61.061.0-
Allowed / game55.055.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total116.0116.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W110100%81.043.0+38.0
2 Venezia W110100%85.052.0+33.0
3 Campobasso W110100%79.057.0+22.0
4 San Martino W110100%82.068.0+14.0
5 Brixia W110100%61.055.0+6.0
6 Virtus Bologna W110100%73.067.0+6.0
7 Faenza W1010%55.061.0-6.0
8 Ragusa W1010%67.073.0-6.0
9 Sanga Milano W1010%68.082.0-14.0
10 Sassari W1010%57.079.0-22.0
11 Battipaglia W1010%52.085.0-33.0
12 San Giovanni W1010%43.081.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna W2123171677
Brixia W141420553
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