PythiaBasketballBETA
NKLRound 15· Sakiu sporto centras
Vytis VDU will host BC Olimpas Palanga on 19 November 2026 in the NKL, with the model favouring Vytis at 58% to win against 42% for Olimpas. Vytis has gone 8-3 in the competition, scoring 97.4 points per game and allowing 90.4, while Olimpas sits 3rd with an 11-3 record, 96.3 points per game and 84.6 allowed. At home Vytis is 5-1, averaging 97.0 to 90.0, and has won four of its last five, including a 107-98 victory over Kretinga and a 98-90 win over Kedainiai. Olimpas on the road is 5-3, 90.1 to 81.6, and also won four of its last five, highlighted by a 125-124 win over Omega-Tauras. Historically the teams have met ten times, with Olimpas leading 6-4 and the last encounter ending 84-76 in favour of Vytis. Pythia projects a close 93-91 score, with a total of 183.6 points and a 5% chance of overtime; the home team's line is 0-point spread and the model sees a 58% probability that Vytis will cover it. The game will likely hinge on the defensive battle that has characterised their recent clashes.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 97.4 | 90.4 | 187.7 | +7.0 | 73% |
| Season at home (6) | 97.0 | 90.0 | 187.0 | +7.0 | 83% |
| Season away (5) | 97.8 | 90.8 | 188.6 | +7.0 | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 98.1 | 90.5 | 188.6 | +7.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 100.2 | 87.4 | 187.6 | +12.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 89.5 | 94.5 | 184.0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (13) | 87.7 | 86.9 | 174.6 | +0.8 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 97.3 | 89.7 | 187.0 | +7.5 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 96.3 | 84.6 | 180.9 | +11.6 | 79% |
| Season at home (6) | 104.5 | 88.7 | 193.2 | +15.8 | 100% |
| Season away (8) | 90.1 | 81.6 | 171.8 | +8.5 | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 98.7 | 87.1 | 185.8 | +11.6 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 106.0 | 95.8 | 201.8 | +10.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 77.9 | 81.6 | 159.4 | -3.7 | 29% |
| vs Similar (10) | 80.1 | 83.1 | 163.2 | -3.0 | 30% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 98.9 | 85.1 | 184.0 | +13.8 | 85% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.7 | 43.8 | 89.5 | +1.8 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 47.2 | 43.5 | 90.7 | +3.6 | 59% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 43.7 | 44.2 | 87.9 | -0.5 | 46% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.5 | 43.8 | 92.3 | +4.7 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.8 | 43.2 | 90.0 | +3.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 38.5 | 48.5 | 87.0 | -10.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 44.7 | 44.8 | 89.5 | -0.1 | 46% | - |
| vs Weaker (15) | 47.5 | 42.4 | 89.9 | +5.1 | 67% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.9 | 41.4 | 84.3 | +1.6 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 43.6 | 37.6 | 81.2 | +6.0 | 85% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 42.4 | 44.2 | 86.6 | -1.8 | 35% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.9 | 41.7 | 88.6 | +5.2 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 50.4 | 42.4 | 92.8 | +8.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 39.4 | 39.9 | 79.3 | -0.4 | 43% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 38.7 | 43.0 | 81.7 | -4.3 | 30% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 48.1 | 40.9 | 89.0 | +7.2 | 85% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.4 | 26.0 | 54.5% | 52.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.3 | 10.3 | 31.3% | 30.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.8 | 10.5 | 67.1% | 10.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.2 | 25.0 | 54.5% | 50.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.3 | 9.0 | 31.3% | 27.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.7 | 15.5 | 67.1% | 15.5 |
Vytis VDU
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 | Vytis VDU v BC Olimpas Palanga | 84-76 |
| 18/10/25 | BC Olimpas Palanga v Vytis VDU | 83-85 |
| 22/03/25 | BC Olimpas Palanga v Vytis VDU | 82-69 |
| 18/03/25 | BC Olimpas Palanga v Vytis VDU | 80-72 |
| 15/03/25 | Vytis VDU v BC Olimpas Palanga | 103-91 |
| 12/03/25 | BC Olimpas Palanga v Vytis VDU | 91-71 |
| 20/02/25 | Vytis VDU v BC Olimpas Palanga | 72-89 |
| 04/01/25 | BC Olimpas Palanga v Vytis VDU | 88-73 |
| 05/10/24 | Vytis VDU v BC Olimpas Palanga | 90-85 |
| 24/02/24 | BC Olimpas Palanga v Vytis VDU | 95-92 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Kretinga | 107-98 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Kedainiai BC | 98-90 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Mazeikiai | 101-77 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Vilkaviskis | 107-81 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Telsiai | 88-91 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Silute | 86-97 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Kauno Atletas | 97-85 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 104-92 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Alytaus Patriotai | 105-110 OT |
| 06/10/26 | H | Neptunas 2 | 88-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Kauno Atletas | 115-81 |
| 12/11/26 | A | Suduva-Mantinga | 78-88 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Omega-Tauras | 125-124 OT |
| 05/11/26 | A | Kretinga | 100-86 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 112-100 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Alytaus Patriotai | 84-81 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Vilkaviskis | 87-81 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Neptunas 2 | 77-78 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Ukmerges Stekas | 107-76 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Plunges Olimpas | 102-76 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 73% |
| Home | WWLWW | 83% |
| Away | WLLWW | 60% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Win % | 73% | 83% | 60% |
| Points / game | 97.4 | 97.0 | 97.8 |
| Allowed / game | 90.4 | 90.0 | 90.8 |
| Point differential | +7.0 | +7.0 | +7.0 |
| Avg total | 187.7 | 187.0 | 188.6 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (4) | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 18% | 0% | 40% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 79% |
| Home | WWWWW | 100% |
| Away | WLWWL | 62% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 6 | 8 |
| Win % | 79% | 100% | 62% |
| Points / game | 96.3 | 104.5 | 90.1 |
| Allowed / game | 84.6 | 88.7 | 81.6 |
| Point differential | +11.6 | +15.8 | +8.5 |
| Avg total | 180.9 | 193.2 | 171.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 7% | 17% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Telsiai | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 90.5 | 73.6 | +16.9 |
| 2 | Jurbarkas | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 88.6 | 78.3 | +10.3 |
| 3 | BC Olimpas Palanga | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 96.3 | 84.6 | +11.6 |
| 4 |  Suduva-Mantinga | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 91.5 | 77.8 | +13.8 |
| 5 | Vytis VDU | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 97.4 | 90.4 | +7.0 |
| 6 |  Neptunas 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 71% | 78.4 | 74.1 | +4.2 |
| 7 |  Silute | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 84.3 | 82.2 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Alytaus Patriotai | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57% | 83.8 | 84.9 | -1.1 |
| 9 | Omega-Tauras | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 90.5 | 86.2 | +4.2 |
| 10 | Plunges Olimpas | 14 | 7 | 7 | 50% | 83.1 | 81.1 | +2.1 |
| 11 |  Vilkaviskis | 14 | 6 | 8 | 43% | 83.1 | 86.1 | -3.0 |
| 12 |  Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 94.2 | 96.8 | -2.7 |
| 13 | Ukmerges Stekas | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 78.9 | 88.1 | -9.2 |
| 14 | Kedainiai BC | 14 | 4 | 10 | 29% | 76.8 | 85.0 | -8.2 |
| 15 |  Mazeikiai | 14 | 3 | 11 | 21% | 78.9 | 88.9 | -10.0 |
| 16 | Kretinga | 13 | 2 | 11 | 15% | 81.5 | 90.7 | -9.2 |
| 17 |  Kauno Atletas | 14 | 2 | 12 | 14% | 79.1 | 94.4 | -15.3 |
| 18 |  Rytas 2 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 7% | 77.1 | 86.9 | -9.7 |
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