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Warwick Senators vs Rockingham Flames Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 99-97
29-19 23-23 24-33 23-22
Position#2
Record19-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#3
Record20-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game94.3
AustraliaNBL1 WestNBL1 West - Semi-finals
Other2025
Meetings · Warwick Senators v Rockingham Flames
16 Aug 2025
WARW99
ROCK97
12 Apr 2025
WARW134
ROCK109
21 Jul 2023
WARW87
ROCK110
29 Jul 2021
WARW86
ROCK88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Warwick Senators winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rockingham Flames winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Warwick SenatorsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
112-94
112
94
+18
H20/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
106-108
106
108
-2
A28/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
128-99
128
99
+29
H05/07
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
A12/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
98-118
98
118
-20
H13/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
125-96
125
96
+29
H18/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
130-79
130
79
+51
A19/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H26/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
115-80
115
80
+35
A01/08
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
W
115-84
115
84
+31
A09/08
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
30-20
23-19
29-30
31-35
23-20
16-22
36-31
40-19
32-25
29-25
27-30
26-28
28-20
29-22
27-30
23-26
22-32
30-32
23-28
32-11
35-32
29-17
29-36
33-20
34-22
33-20
30-17
17-21
30-22
24-29
30-15
32-23
27-18
36-16
20-23
26-20
26-28
36-21
27-15
208.5Avg total
114.0Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)109.992.0201.9+18.083%
Season at home (11)112.698.5211.2+14.182%
Season away (12)107.485.9193.3+21.583%
Last 10 (10)114.094.5208.5+19.580%
Last 5 (5)117.285.2202.4+32.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)97.696.1193.7+1.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)109.389.3198.7+20.087%
This opponent (Rockingham Flames) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rockingham FlamesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
92-105
92
105
-13
A27/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
108-106
108
106
+2
H28/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
L
88-91
88
91
-3
A04/07
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H12/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
110-95
110
95
+15
H15/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
H18/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A25/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
101-79
101
79
+22
H01/08
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
102-121
102
121
-19
H09/08
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
111-88
111
88
+23
H14/08
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
30-27
25-22
12-23
35-31
20-23
22-16
31-36
25-23
19-21
21-23
23-24
17-27
21-18
25-20
19-14
22-19
32-20
33-22
23-34
24-24
17-27
24-25
31-20
12-32
23-25
38-25
21-9
24-22
28-21
31-17
18-19
19-29
20-31
32-28
31-33
22-23
25-27
34-18
30-20
195.0Avg total
99.3Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)104.594.3198.9+10.283%
Season at home (13)105.292.5197.7+12.892%
Season away (11)103.796.5200.3+7.273%
Last 10 (10)99.395.7195.0+3.670%
Last 5 (5)102.696.2198.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)102.5104.5207.0-2.075%
vs Similar (3)106.391.7198.0+14.767%
vs Weaker (23)103.391.7195.0+11.683%
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
Warwick SenatorsRockingham Flames
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Warwick SenatorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H20/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A28/06
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
72-44
72
44
+28
H05/07
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A12/07
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H13/07
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H18/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A19/07
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H26/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A01/08
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A09/08
NBL1 West
104.4Avg total
57.7Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.745.5101.2+10.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.945.3101.2+10.587%-
Last 30 away (15)55.645.6101.2+10.067%-
Last 10 (10)57.746.7104.4+11.080%-
Last 5 (5)58.443.4101.8+15.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)49.749.699.3+0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)57.644.2101.8+13.387%-
This opponent (Rockingham Flames) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rockingham FlamesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A27/06
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H28/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/07
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H12/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H15/07
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H18/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A25/07
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H01/08
NBL1 West
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
H09/08
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H14/08
NBL1 West
96.3Avg total
46.0Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.648.298.8+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.846.996.7+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)51.449.2100.6+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)46.050.396.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.852.295.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)52.255.5107.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (3)54.041.395.3+12.7100%-
vs Weaker (23)49.947.897.7+2.152%-
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25AGeraldton Buccaneers115-84
01/08/25ABeeliar Boodjar115-80
26/07/25HJoondalup Wolves101-87
19/07/25ASouth West Slammers130-79
18/07/25HPerry Lakes Hawks125-96
13/07/25HGeraldton Buccaneers98-118
12/07/25AKalamunda Eastern Suns110-100
05/07/25HWilletton Tigers128-99
28/06/25ARockingham Flames106-108
20/06/25HKalamunda Eastern Suns112-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/08/25HEast Perth Eagles111-88
09/08/25HWilletton Tigers102-121
01/08/25HLakeside Lightning101-79
25/07/25ALakeside Lightning94-91
18/07/25HWilletton Tigers105-102 OT
15/07/25HMandurah Magic110-95
12/07/25HGoldfields Giants82-79
04/07/25AKalamunda Eastern Suns88-91
28/06/25HWarwick Senators108-106
27/06/25AJoondalup Wolves92-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Warwick Senators
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %83%82%83%
Points / game109.9112.6107.4
Allowed / game92.098.585.9
Point differential+18.0+14.1+21.5
Avg total201.9211.2193.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%73%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rockingham Flames
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWLW92%
AwayWWLLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %83%92%73%
Points / game104.5105.2103.7
Allowed / game94.392.596.5
Point differential+10.2+12.8+7.2
Avg total198.9197.7200.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%54%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %12%23%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rockingham Flames2420483%104.594.3+10.2
2 Warwick Senators2319483%109.992.0+18.0
3 Geraldton Buccaneers2419579%104.586.0+18.5
4 Willetton Tigers2317674%99.093.4+5.6
5 Joondalup Wolves2314961%94.989.8+5.1
6 Goldfields Giants24131154%93.192.0+1.1
7 Mandurah Magic23111248%94.498.6-4.1
8 East Perth Eagles24101442%90.095.8-5.8
9 Kalamunda Eastern Suns2291341%89.091.1-2.1
10 Lakeside Lightning2281436%90.394.0-3.7
11 Perry Lakes Hawks2271532%85.993.7-7.9
12 Beeliar Boodjar2261627%90.298.4-8.1
13 Perth Redbacks2261627%85.396.0-10.7
14 South West Slammers221215%82.7102.0-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Warwick Senators2923242399
Rockingham Flames1923332297
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