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Waverley vs Casey Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 90-95
27-27 26-27 18-25 19-16
Position#13
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game95.9
vs
Position#10
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game80.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Waverley v Casey Cavaliers
11 May 2025
WAVE90
CASE95
22 Jun 2024
WAVE87
CASE95
24 Jul 2022
WAVE87
CASE100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A11/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A12/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
104-88
104
88
+16
H05/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
79-110
79
110
-31
A08/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H11/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
73-105
73
105
-32
A25/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H27/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A03/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
104-103
104
103
+1
A10/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
12-26
18-27
16-15
14-31
23-36
19-16
18-19
31-18
31-20
20-24
16-21
28-15
28-20
26-19
22-34
18-26
15-30
30-29
16-25
22-18
25-18
28-32
21-20
16-17
16-30
23-27
18-31
22-25
24-20
18-25
23-20
23-31
21-27
22-23
24-19
25-21
29-34
25-27
25-21
183.3Avg total
87.6Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.495.9187.2-4.550%
Season at home (4)96.287.2183.5+9.075%
Season away (4)86.5104.5191.0-18.025%
Last 10 (10)87.695.7183.3-8.140%
Last 5 (5)90.097.2187.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.097.2179.2-15.225%
vs Similar (9)93.390.8184.1+2.667%
vs Weaker (13)93.886.8180.7+7.054%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A07/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H13/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A04/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H06/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A25/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
H26/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A03/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H10/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
14-34
24-23
17-10
16-21
27-24
12-15
16-13
23-16
26-24
16-17
22-23
22-26
20-13
21-19
18-22
18-17
17-20
18-20
22-21
19-28
23-19
23-19
29-17
25-17
20-25
19-12
21-19
26-11
25-26
11-25
23-23
28-16
25-8
16-16
13-21
23-23
22-28
21-30
25-12
164.7Avg total
83.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.180.6166.8+5.562%
Season at home (4)86.887.0173.8-0.225%
Season away (4)85.574.2159.8+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)83.581.2164.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)89.281.4170.6+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)79.888.9168.7-9.125%
vs Similar (8)80.683.9164.5-3.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)90.588.5179.0+2.050%
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
WaverleyCasey Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A11/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A12/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H29/03
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H05/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H11/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A25/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A03/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A10/05
NBL1 South
93.1Avg total
44.8Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.846.592.3-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.143.290.3+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)44.549.794.2-5.340%-
Last 10 (10)44.848.393.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.648.292.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.848.689.4-7.912%-
vs Similar (9)49.247.096.2+2.278%-
vs Weaker (13)46.544.891.3+1.862%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A07/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H26/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A03/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
86.2Avg total
43.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.385.6-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.145.785.8-5.527%-
Last 30 away (15)42.442.985.3-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.386.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.240.287.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)40.545.586.0-5.130%-
vs Similar (8)41.142.683.8-1.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)50.038.588.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Waverley wins
2
Casey Cavaliers wins
DateGameScore
22/06/24Waverley v Casey Cavaliers87-95
24/06/23Casey Cavaliers v Waverley54-90
24/07/22Waverley v Casey Cavaliers87-100
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ASandringham Sabres104-103
03/05/25ABallarat90-100
27/04/25HBendigo Braves87-90
25/04/25AMt Gambier73-105
11/04/25HGeelong96-88
08/04/25AKnox79-110
05/04/25HNW Tasmania104-88
29/03/25HNunawading98-83
12/07/24AGeelong74-102
11/07/24AMelbourne Tigers71-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HMt Gambier91-93
03/05/25AKilsyth82-61
26/04/25HDiamond Valley94-97 OT
25/04/25AKnox85-73
12/04/25ANunawading94-83
06/04/25HHobart Chargers75-78
04/04/25AMt Gambier81-80
29/03/25HDandenong87-80
13/07/24HMelbourne Tigers71-73
07/07/24ABallarat75-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game91.496.286.5
Allowed / game95.987.2104.5
Point differential-4.5+9.0-18.0
Avg total187.2183.5191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%25%100%
Points / game86.186.885.5
Allowed / game80.687.074.2
Point differential+5.5-0.2+11.2
Avg total166.8173.8159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox87188%90.877.1+13.6
2 Frankston75271%94.087.6+6.4
3 Mt Gambier96367%94.784.0+10.7
4 Bendigo Braves96367%90.292.2-2.0
5 Ballarat96367%87.889.9-2.1
6 Casey Cavaliers85362%86.180.6+5.5
7 Melbourne Tigers74357%86.977.0+9.9
8 Kilsyth95456%83.382.1+1.2
9 Nunawading95456%86.187.6-1.4
10 Eltham84450%88.587.2+1.2
11 Geelong84450%82.285.4-3.1
12 Waverley84450%91.495.9-4.5
13 Hobart Chargers94544%83.784.4-0.8
14 Ringwood83538%93.087.8+5.2
15 NW Tasmania93633%85.684.2+1.3
16 Diamond Valley93633%85.294.4-9.2
17 Keilor Thunder93633%82.992.4-9.6
18 Sandringham Sabres92722%83.092.2-9.2
19 Dandenong81712%86.995.4-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waverley2726181990
Casey Cavaliers2727251695
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