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Waverley W vs Geelong W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 56-77
9-21 15-31 15-16 17-9
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game66.5
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Waverley W v Geelong W
11 Apr 2025
WAVE56
GEEL77
16 Jul 2023
WAVE66
GEEL75
09 May 2021
WAVE64
GEEL61
05 May 2019
WAVE54
GEEL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Waverley WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#7
W
95-69
95
69
+26
A20/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A27/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A03/08
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A10/08
NBL1 South Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#5
W
99-85
99
85
+14
A16/08
NBL 1 W
Rockingham Flames W
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
H17/08
NBL 1 W
Bendigo Braves W
#2
W
97-49
97
49
+48
A18/08
NBL 1 W
Nunawading W
#12
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
16-17
25-20
28-18
18-19
31-26
27-20
20-21
27-23
19-14
28-18
18-18
21-29
29-19
20-13
17-21
32-22
23-25
28-22
16-16
25-27
32-14
15-19
25-14
25-10
30-12
15-9
27-18
29-14
20-18
16-14
19-17
19-16
24-17
22-15
11-7
30-14
17-18
18-29
14-30
162.9Avg total
90.2Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.769.7149.3+10.067%
Season at home (2)80.059.0139.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)79.091.0170.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)90.272.7162.9+17.590%
Last 5 (5)86.666.4153.0+20.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.683.4158.0-8.929%
vs Similar (6)92.877.8170.7+15.0100%
vs Weaker (17)83.569.4152.8+14.182%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
106-73
106
73
+33
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
102-120
102
120
-18
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
112-72
112
72
+40
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
94-61
94
61
+33
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
22-25
20-15
26-11
15-18
24-15
20-11
17-13
32-24
16-18
24-14
34-17
24-19
34-19
17-23
17-19
22-37
19-19
18-20
20-21
29-27
24-29
12-25
25-16
21-27
30-18
26-43
25-32
17-33
23-19
23-23
21-20
27-15
21-18
31-15
33-24
27-14
17-27
26-14
24-6
175.5Avg total
92.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)103.066.5169.5+36.5100%
Season at home (2)103.066.5169.5+36.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.682.9175.5+9.760%
Last 5 (5)96.489.0185.4+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.688.6169.1-8.029%
vs Similar (11)80.580.8161.4-0.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.372.6159.9+14.883%
This opponent (Waverley W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +6.3+6.3
Waverley WGeelong W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Waverley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#7
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A20/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A03/08
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A10/08
NBL1 South Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#5
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A16/08
NBL 1 W
Rockingham Flames W
#6
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/08
NBL 1 W
Bendigo Braves W
#2
W
55-22
55
22
+33
A18/08
NBL 1 W
Nunawading W
#12
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A08/04
NBL1 South Women
86.1Avg total
49.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.337.782.0+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.037.878.8+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)46.837.684.4+9.176%-
Last 10 (10)49.336.886.1+12.5100%-
Last 5 (5)50.232.082.2+18.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.443.086.4+0.457%-
vs Similar (6)43.340.083.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker (17)44.934.879.7+10.276%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#19
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/04
NBL1 South Women
91.4Avg total
46.7Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.082.5+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.584.9+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)39.540.479.9-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)46.744.791.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.492.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.648.088.6-7.414%-
vs Similar (11)40.336.977.2+3.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.340.683.9+2.858%-
This opponent (Waverley W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Waverley W wins
4
Geelong W wins
DateGameScore
12/07/24Geelong W v Waverley W102-120
05/08/23Geelong W v Waverley W74-85
16/07/23Waverley W v Geelong W66-75 OT
09/07/22Geelong W v Waverley W109-90
09/05/21Waverley W v Geelong W64-61
01/05/21Geelong W v Waverley W92-49
05/05/19Waverley W v Geelong W54-83
Waverley Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/25AKnox W79-91
05/04/25HLaunceston W76-55
29/03/25HNunawading W84-63
18/08/24ABendigo Braves W97-49
17/08/24HRockingham Flames W97-74
16/08/24ANewcastle Falcons W99-85
10/08/24AKeilor Thunder W87-82
03/08/24AMt. Gambier W92-73
27/07/24ADandenong Rangers W96-86
20/07/24ASandringham W95-69
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HBallarat W94-61
29/03/25HMt. Gambier W112-72
13/07/24ADiamond Valley W84-95
12/07/24HWaverley W102-120
07/07/24AKnox W90-97
06/07/24HDandenong Rangers W79-97
28/06/24HCasey Cavaliers W92-80
23/06/24ANunawading W106-73
22/06/24HHobart Chargers W76-57
15/06/24HMelbourne Tigers W91-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game79.780.079.0
Allowed / game69.759.091.0
Point differential+10.0+21.0-12.0
Avg total149.3139.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game103.0103.0-
Allowed / game66.566.5-
Point differential+36.5+36.5-
Avg total169.5169.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W220100%103.066.5+36.5
2 Dandenong Rangers W330100%91.763.3+28.3
3 Knox W330100%87.366.3+21.0
4 Keilor Thunder W330100%91.373.7+17.7
5 Sandringham W330100%77.370.3+7.0
6 Waverley W32167%79.769.7+10.0
7 Bendigo Braves W32167%80.779.0+1.7
8 Nunawading W32167%64.770.0-5.3
9 Casey Cavaliers W32167%70.777.0-6.3
10 Frankston W21150%68.571.0-2.5
11 Melbourne Tigers W31233%81.781.7+0.0
12 Ringwood W31233%69.770.3-0.7
13 Hobart Chargers W41325%70.572.0-1.5
14 Kilsyth W41325%63.273.5-10.2
15 Diamond Valley W41325%77.591.0-13.5
16 Launceston W3030%66.778.3-11.7
17 Eltham W2020%68.080.5-12.5
18 Ballarat W2020%67.588.0-20.5
19 Mt. Gambier W3030%67.396.0-28.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waverley W915151756
Geelong W213116977
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