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Geelong W vs Waverley W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 74-85
15-17 21-24 19-23 19-21
Position#3
Record17-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game71.9
Geelong W
Australia
vs
Waverley W 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record17-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game71.2
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenNBL1 South Women - Semi-finals
Women2023
Meetings · Geelong W v Waverley W
12 Jul 2024
GEEL102
WAVE120
05 Aug 2023
GEEL74
WAVE85
09 Jul 2022
GEEL109
WAVE90
01 May 2021
GEEL92
WAVE49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waverley W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H17/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
59-94
59
94
-35
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
103-64
103
64
+39
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H08/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
75-66 OT
75
66
+9
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A21/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
24-28
22-16
21-25
23-32
13-23
13-21
10-18
25-19
31-19
21-15
26-11
24-17
20-12
23-12
17-15
18-19
21-16
16-5
23-29
12-21
21-14
20-19
18-18
21-21
24-21
23-15
16-22
19-13
25-19
16-17
16-23
12-14
16-14
17-20
20-17
31-20
17-13
22-20
16-23
154.0Avg total
80.8Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.071.9151.9+8.174%
Season at home (11)85.372.9158.2+12.482%
Season away (12)75.270.9146.1+4.267%
Last 10 (10)80.873.2154.0+7.680%
Last 5 (5)78.473.0151.4+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.590.5171.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.977.0149.9-4.150%
vs Weaker (20)79.166.4145.5+12.780%
This opponent (Waverley W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Waverley WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#15
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H18/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
88-59
88
59
+29
A24/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
84-50
84
50
+34
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
97-63
97
63
+34
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
66-75 OT
66
75
-9
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A22/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H30/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
13-20
15-11
25-11
18-15
25-11
20-16
25-17
23-15
27-21
21-19
18-15
25-19
29-12
22-9
8-10
22-19
21-12
16-23
14-24
26-15
22-16
29-15
20-17
24-20
16-21
13-20
18-16
14-12
14-16
20-17
17-20
16-16
14-26
16-19
18-14
20-16
22-10
12-16
26-15
144.1Avg total
77.9Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.171.2151.3+8.971%
Season at home (12)77.266.9144.2+10.375%
Season away (12)82.975.5158.4+7.467%
Last 10 (10)77.966.2144.1+11.760%
Last 5 (5)75.669.4145.0+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.881.0145.8-16.220%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.278.7158.8+1.550%
vs Weaker (19)82.866.9149.7+15.889%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
Geelong WWaverley W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H17/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A23/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H25/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A21/07
NBL1 South Women
79.2Avg total
42.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.176.7+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.084.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)37.232.269.4+5.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.079.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.073.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.043.584.5-2.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.642.180.8-3.538%-
vs Weaker (20)41.433.074.3+8.480%-
This opponent (Waverley W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Waverley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers W
#15
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H18/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A24/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H02/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A22/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H30/07
NBL1 South Women
73.3Avg total
40.5Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.477.4+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.435.473.8+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)43.437.280.6+6.175%-
Last 10 (10)40.532.873.3+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.671.2+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.043.477.4-9.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.738.779.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (19)43.033.876.8+9.274%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Geelong W wins
1
Waverley W wins
DateGameScore
16/07/23Waverley W v Geelong W66-75 OT
09/07/22Geelong W v Waverley W109-90
09/05/21Waverley W v Geelong W64-61
01/05/21Geelong W v Waverley W92-49
05/05/19Waverley W v Geelong W54-83
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/07/23AMt. Gambier W86-76
16/07/23AWaverley W75-66 OT
15/07/23HKeilor Thunder W76-72
08/07/23HBallarat W84-79
07/07/23ARingwood W71-72
01/07/23AFrankston W78-69
30/06/23HMelbourne Tigers W84-56
25/06/23HEltham W103-64
23/06/23AMt. Gambier W59-94
17/06/23HDandenong Rangers W92-84
Waverley Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/23HEltham W80-57
22/07/23ABendigo W64-75
16/07/23HGeelong W66-75 OT
15/07/23HMt. Gambier W71-77
08/07/23ADandenong Rangers W97-63
05/07/23ARingwood W73-78
02/07/23HMelbourne Tigers W84-50
30/06/23AEltham W89-70
24/06/23ACasey Cavaliers W88-59
18/06/23HHobart Chargers W67-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%82%67%
Points / game80.085.375.2
Allowed / game71.972.970.9
Point differential+8.1+12.4+4.2
Avg total151.9158.2146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Waverley W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW71%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game80.177.282.9
Allowed / game71.266.975.5
Point differential+8.9+10.3+7.4
Avg total151.3144.2158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%42%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W24240100%89.169.0+20.0
2 Geelong W2317674%80.071.9+8.1
3 Mt. Gambier W2518772%85.174.6+10.5
4 Waverley W2417771%80.171.2+8.9
5 Frankston W2315865%75.373.2+2.2
6 Ringwood W24141058%76.074.4+1.6
7 Sandringham W23131057%81.176.3+4.7
8 Eltham W24131154%74.673.7+0.9
9 Diamond Valley W22111150%76.876.2+0.6
10 Dandenong Rangers W22111150%75.577.1-1.6
11 Kilsyth W22101245%68.672.1-3.5
12 Knox W2291341%73.571.9+1.5
13 Nunawading W2291341%75.677.5-1.9
14 Launceston W2291341%73.778.4-4.7
15 Hobart Chargers W2281436%73.879.5-5.7
16 Keilor Thunder W2271532%67.577.5-10.0
17 Melbourne Tigers W2251723%65.779.0-13.3
18 Casey Cavaliers W2231914%74.284.4-10.1
19 Ballarat W2231914%66.479.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong W1521191974
Waverley W1724232185
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