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Western Illinois vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 93-80
44-33 49-47
Position#189
Record5-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#237
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#114
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#114
L
59-95
59
95
-36
A28/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#141
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A07/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A10/11
NCAA
Culver-Stockton
#420
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H13/11
NCAA
Iowa Wesleyan
#441
W
97-71
97
71
+26
H17/11
NCAA
DePaul
#210
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A21/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#115
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A24/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-44
37-41
31-54
28-41
30-43
39-43
33-32
42-42
39-31
52-38
53-32
44-39
36-36
44-48
23-37
46-30
27-25
41-47
36-28
43-39
153.8Avg total
76.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.972.0151.9+7.971%
Season at home (3)89.069.0158.0+20.0100%
Season away (4)73.074.2147.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)76.877.0153.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)78.672.2150.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.781.8147.4-16.10%
vs Similar (10)78.878.4157.2+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)77.369.0146.3+8.383%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#296
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
100-65
100
65
+35
A03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A10/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Intl
#218
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H19/11
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A21/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-42
54-49
50-22
50-43
34-38
36-51
34-41
45-38
41-41
30-41
44-21
29-48
28-34
32-39
33-35
41-50
47-41
42-45
45-26
52-49
162.6Avg total
82.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.378.3155.7-1.050%
Season at home (3)81.376.3157.7+5.067%
Season away (3)73.380.3153.7-7.033%
Last 10 (10)82.080.6162.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)78.677.6156.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.881.3153.2-9.517%
vs Similar (12)76.275.0151.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (6)80.264.0144.2+16.2100%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -4.2-4.2
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +5.8+5.82nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -4.2-4.2
Western IllinoisBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#114
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#114
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A28/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#141
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#314
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A10/11
NCAA
Culver-Stockton
#420
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H13/11
NCAA
Iowa Wesleyan
#441
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H17/11
NCAA
DePaul
#210
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A21/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#115
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A23/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H27/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
35.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.435.669.0-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.932.467.3+2.564%-
Last 30 away (19)32.537.570.1-5.037%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.271.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.666.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.940.170.0-10.217%-
vs Similar (10)32.835.368.1-2.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.228.765.8+8.5100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#296
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
50-22
50
22
+28
A03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Intl
#218
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/11
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H27/11
NCAA
74.0Avg total
39.9Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.034.471.3+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.431.370.7+8.169%-
Last 30 away (17)35.136.771.8-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.934.174.0+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.470.8+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.836.671.3-1.817%-
vs Similar (12)38.735.874.4+2.967%-
vs Weaker (6)38.027.265.2+10.867%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Western Illinois wins
0
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
26/11/19Ball State v Western Illinois62-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/21HMiami (Ohio)79-67
24/11/21AEastern Michigan68-72
23/11/21ANorthern Kentucky69-67
21/11/21ADePaul80-84
17/11/21HIowa Wesleyan97-71
13/11/21HCulver-Stockton91-69
10/11/21ANebraska75-74
07/03/21ASouth Dakota Coyotes69-86
28/02/21AOral Roberts59-95
27/02/21AOral Roberts81-85
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/21HIndiana State97-75
21/11/21AUMass89-86
19/11/21HWeber State74-85
19/11/21AFlorida Intl60-73
13/11/21HNebraska O.73-69
10/11/21AGeorgia Southern71-82
11/03/21AToledo89-91 OT
06/03/21AToledo70-89
03/03/21AEastern Michigan100-65
27/02/21HCentral Michigan97-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game79.989.073.0
Allowed / game72.069.074.2
Point differential+7.9+20.0-1.2
Avg total151.9158.0147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game77.381.373.3
Allowed / game78.376.380.3
Point differential-1.0+5.0-7.0
Avg total155.7157.7153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Illinois75271%79.972.0+7.9
2 UALR74357%75.367.6+7.7
3 Morehead State74357%68.965.3+3.6
4 UT Martin73443%76.672.4+4.1
5 Southeast Missouri State73443%74.978.7-3.9
6 Siu Edwardsville83538%68.868.6+0.1
7 Tennessee Tech72529%73.375.1-1.9
8 Tennessee State61517%77.074.7+2.3
9 Eastern Illinois71614%59.472.6-13.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo76186%80.067.6+12.4
2 Miami (Ohio)65183%85.363.3+22.0
3 Ohio65183%77.368.5+8.8
4 Kent State64267%75.357.8+17.5
5 Buffalo64267%85.072.8+12.2
6 UMass85362%82.279.8+2.5
7 Akron63350%70.755.2+15.5
8 Ball State63350%77.378.3-1.0
9 Bowling Green73443%77.775.7+2.0
10 Western Michigan73443%69.682.3-12.7
11 Eastern Michigan62433%72.082.0-10.0
12 Northern Illinois61517%56.871.0-14.2
13 Central Michigan71614%60.183.4-23.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Illinois444993
Ball State334780
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