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UMass vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-89
41-47 45-42
Position#220
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#237
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · UMass v Ball State
02 Jan 2027
UMAS v BALL
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
UMAS79
BALL71
21 Nov 2021
UMAS86
BALL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#250
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#109
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A23/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#54
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A01/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#318
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H04/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#54
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A05/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#158
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Yale
#122
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A13/11
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A18/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
38-31
32-43
33-36
31-42
26-36
59-36
41-30
33-46
39-40
32-36
45-24
30-43
41-48
37-33
44-23
34-36
39-52
35-35
43-43
152.1Avg total
76.4Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.077.0156.0+2.060%
Season at home (2)79.058.0137.0+21.0100%
Season away (3)79.089.7168.7-10.733%
Last 10 (10)76.475.7152.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)79.077.0156.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.976.6143.5-9.621%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.670.6147.1+6.078%
vs Weaker (7)80.365.1145.4+15.186%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#88
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H20/02
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H24/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
100-65
100
65
+35
A03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A10/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Intl
#218
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
43-58
57-31
33-40
43-42
54-49
50-22
50-43
34-38
36-51
34-41
45-38
41-41
30-41
44-21
29-48
28-34
32-39
33-35
41-50
160.7Avg total
80.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.577.2146.8-7.825%
Season at home (2)73.577.0150.5-3.550%
Season away (2)65.577.5143.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)80.380.4160.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)73.480.0153.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.881.3153.2-9.517%
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.073.5145.5-1.536%
vs Weaker (7)80.964.6145.4+16.3100%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -6.4-6.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +6.5+6.52nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -6.4-6.4
UMassBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#250
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#109
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A23/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#54
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#318
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H04/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#54
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A05/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#158
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H10/11
NCAA
Yale
#122
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A13/11
NCAA
Penn State
#234
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A18/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A19/11
NCAA
74.2Avg total
36.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.834.368.1-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.932.668.5+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)31.735.967.6-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.274.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.670.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.238.668.8-8.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.032.365.3+0.756%-
vs Weaker (7)42.028.170.1+13.986%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#88
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H20/02
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H24/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
50-22
50
22
+28
A03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Intl
#218
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
40.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.433.970.3+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.131.270.3+7.869%-
Last 30 away (17)34.335.970.2-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.033.573.5+6.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.470.4+1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.836.671.3-1.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.835.572.3+1.464%-
vs Weaker (7)38.426.965.3+11.671%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
0
Ball State wins
No previous meetings.
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/21ANC Greensboro93-90 OT
18/11/21AWeber State73-88
16/11/21HPenn State81-56
13/11/21AYale71-91
10/11/21HUMBC Retrievers77-60
05/03/21ASt. Louis Billikens72-86
04/03/21HSaint Josephs Hawks100-66
01/03/21ASt. Louis Billikens57-78
23/02/21ARichmond Spiders65-79
07/02/21ARhode Island75-63
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/21HWeber State74-85
19/11/21AFlorida Intl60-73
13/11/21HNebraska O.73-69
10/11/21AGeorgia Southern71-82
11/03/21AToledo89-91 OT
06/03/21AToledo70-89
03/03/21AEastern Michigan100-65
27/02/21HCentral Michigan97-91
24/02/21HKent State90-71
20/02/21HAkron79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game79.079.079.0
Allowed / game77.058.089.7
Point differential+2.0+21.0-10.7
Avg total156.0137.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game69.573.565.5
Allowed / game77.277.077.5
Point differential-7.8-3.5-12.0
Avg total146.8150.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)440100%86.563.5+23.0
2 Ohio43175%75.871.0+4.8
3 Akron32167%89.050.3+38.7
4 Buffalo32167%77.373.0+4.3
5 Toledo32167%69.771.3-1.7
6 UMass53260%79.077.0+2.0
7 Kent State21150%71.555.5+16.0
8 Central Michigan31233%65.379.3-14.0
9 Western Michigan31233%61.776.0-14.3
10 Bowling Green41325%78.579.5-1.0
11 Eastern Michigan41325%74.280.8-6.5
12 Ball State41325%69.577.2-7.8
13 Northern Illinois41325%53.869.8-16.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass414586
Ball State474289
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