PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
On 9 November 2026 the William & Mary Tribe will host the Norfolk State Spartans in an NCAA game, with the model designating William & Mary as the favourite at 94% versus 6% for Norfolk State, a reflection of the Tribe's undefeated 1-0 record, 80.0 points scored and 66.0 points allowed per game, and their league position of 118, compared with the Spartans' 2-0 record, 73.0 points scored and 58.0 points allowed per game and league position of 112. William & Mary's single home game ended 80-66 over Bridgewater College (VA) on 2 November 2026, while Norfolk State's last five games included two wins, one loss, a 78-71 victory over Randolph on 4 November 2026 and a 68-45 win over Regent University on 2 November 2026, but a 82-88 loss to South Carolina St on 12 March 2026. The teams have met five times, with Norfolk State holding a 3-2 advantage and the last encounter ending 81-78 in favour of William & Mary on 8 November 2025. Pythia projects a score of 88-69, a total of 157.2 points, and a 1% chance of overtime, with the home team covering the spread. The game will conclude with William & Mary maintaining their unbeaten streak.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 92.0 | 69.5 | 161.5 | +22.5 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 92.0 | 69.5 | 161.5 | +22.5 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 84.1 | 77.5 | 161.6 | +6.6 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 75.6 | 157.8 | +6.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 82.0 | 74.0 | 156.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar (12) | 82.4 | 84.2 | 166.6 | -1.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 84.8 | 72.0 | 156.8 | +12.8 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 73.0 | 73.3 | 146.3 | -0.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 73.0 | 58.0 | 131.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 73.0 | 104.0 | 177.0 | -31.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.1 | 74.6 | 151.7 | +2.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.4 | 78.4 | 153.8 | -3.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (5) | 68.0 | 92.6 | 160.6 | -24.6 | 0% |
| vs Similar (5) | 66.2 | 76.0 | 142.2 | -9.8 | 20% |
| vs Weaker (19) | 80.1 | 70.8 | 150.9 | +9.3 | 68% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.9 | 36.5 | 77.4 | +4.3 | 73% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.7 | 35.3 | 77.0 | +6.5 | 87% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.0 | 37.8 | 77.8 | +2.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.5 | 36.8 | 78.3 | +4.7 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 37.4 | 79.4 | +4.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 41.0 | 26.0 | 67.0 | +15.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 40.5 | 41.1 | 81.6 | -0.6 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 41.4 | 34.2 | 75.6 | +7.2 | 88% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.3 | 35.9 | 71.2 | -0.7 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 38.9 | 33.9 | 72.8 | +4.9 | 64% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 32.1 | 37.7 | 69.8 | -5.6 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.9 | 34.4 | 70.3 | +1.5 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.8 | 36.2 | 71.0 | -1.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (5) | 31.8 | 45.6 | 77.4 | -13.8 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (5) | 27.4 | 37.8 | 65.2 | -10.4 | 0% | - |
| vs Weaker (19) | 38.3 | 33.0 | 71.3 | +5.3 | 68% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | William & Mary v Norfolk State | 104-73 |
| 08/11/25 | Norfolk State v William & Mary | 78-81 |
| 13/11/24 | William & Mary v Norfolk State | 84-73 |
| 29/11/23 | Norfolk State v William & Mary | 96-62 |
| 10/12/22 | William & Mary v Norfolk State | 53-67 |
| 17/11/21 | Norfolk State v William & Mary | 91-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Norfolk State | 104-73 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Bridgewater College (VA) | 80-66 |
| 09/03/26 | A | Hofstra | 61-92 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Elon | 72-62 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Hampton | 94-85 |
| 28/02/26 | A | N. Carolina A&T | 91-88 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Northeastern | 84-77 |
| 20/02/26 | A | Campbell | 83-84 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Elon | 78-81 |
| 13/02/26 | A | Northeastern | 94-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | William & Mary | 73-104 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Randolph | 78-71 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Regent University | 68-45 |
| 12/03/26 | H | South Carolina St | 82-88 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Howard | 76-84 |
| 02/03/26 | A | Morgan State | 84-90 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Coppin State | 75-69 |
| 21/02/26 | H | South Carolina St | 90-71 |
| 17/02/26 | A | Md.-East. Shore | 70-66 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Delaware State | 75-58 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 92.0 | 92.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 69.5 | 69.5 | - |
| Point differential | +22.5 | +22.5 | - |
| Avg total | 161.5 | 161.5 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWL | 67% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 73.0 | 73.0 | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 73.3 | 58.0 | 104.0 |
| Point differential | -0.3 | +15.0 | -31.0 |
| Avg total | 146.3 | 131.0 | 177.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charleston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 111.5 | 60.5 | +51.0 |
| 2 | William & Mary | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 92.0 | 69.5 | +22.5 |
| 3 |  NC Wilmington | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 89.5 | 70.0 | +19.5 |
| 4 |  Elon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 68.0 | +11.0 |
| 5 |  Hofstra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 77.5 | 55.5 | +22.0 |
| 6 |  Stony Brook | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 81.0 | 62.5 | +18.5 |
| 7 |  N. Carolina A&T | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 81.0 | 66.5 | +14.5 |
| 8 |  Drexel | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 68.5 | 81.5 | -13.0 |
| 9 |  Towson | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 63.5 | 78.0 | -14.5 |
| 10 |  Northeastern | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 78.5 | 95.0 | -16.5 |
| 11 |  Hampton | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 58.0 | 75.0 | -17.0 |
| 12 |  Campbell | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 67.5 | 85.0 | -17.5 |
| 13 |  Monmouth | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 56.7 | 82.3 | -25.7 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morgan State | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.3 | 59.0 | +31.3 |
| 2 |  South Carolina St | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 62.5 | +23.5 |
| 3 | Norfolk State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.0 | 73.3 | -0.3 |
| 4 |  Delaware State | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 73.0 | 59.0 | +14.0 |
| 5 |  Howard | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 78.0 | 77.5 | +0.5 |
| 6 |  Md.-East. Shore | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.0 | 67.0 | -3.0 |
| 7 |  Coppin State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 65.0 | 69.7 | -4.7 |
| 8 |  N. Carolina Central | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 68.5 | 79.0 | -10.5 |
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