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William & Mary vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 96-81
41-42 55-39
Position#326
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#312
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

William & Mary winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

William & MaryUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#349
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H24/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H25/02
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H04/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
L
46-94
46
94
-48
A05/03
NCAA
Regent University
#620
W
84-29
84
29
+55
H07/11
NCAA
American University
#203
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H10/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H17/11
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
71-80 OT
71
80
-9
A17/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
35-30
39-38
35-24
34-27
39-24
14-51
32-43
48-14
36-15
35-24
40-32
42-43
47-52
40-35
43-54
27-33
35-29
24-38
36-33
141.5Avg total
72.8Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.070.0147.0+7.033%
Season at home (4)75.561.2136.8+14.250%
Season away (2)80.087.5167.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)72.868.7141.5+4.150%
Last 5 (5)75.678.2153.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)60.675.7136.3-15.120%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.672.8143.4-2.136%
vs Weaker (5)71.257.8129.0+13.460%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire
#211
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A18/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H22/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
70-67 OT
70
67
+3
A01/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A07/11
NCAA
Marist
#143
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#416
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H14/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#354
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H19/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
36-41
32-47
38-28
23-24
39-38
30-28
35-39
48-40
45-54
22-36
37-29
32-24
52-41
44-35
41-45
35-37
59-42
24-57
44-35
151.3Avg total
75.4Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.579.2159.7+1.350%
Season at home (4)80.572.2152.8+8.275%
Season away (2)80.593.0173.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)75.475.9151.3-0.540%
Last 5 (5)78.076.2154.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.176.3145.4-7.222%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.472.9148.3+2.671%
vs Weaker (13)77.270.5147.8+6.769%
This opponent (William & Mary) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +3.4+3.4
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +3.4+3.4
William & MaryUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
William & MaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#349
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H24/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#358
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#48
L
14-51
14
51
-37
A05/03
NCAA
Regent University
#620
W
48-14
48
14
+34
H07/11
NCAA
American University
#203
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H10/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A17/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H19/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.334.167.4-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.830.967.8+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)29.437.767.1-8.47%-
Last 10 (10)34.133.367.4+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.668.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.938.768.6-8.810%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.132.966.1+0.243%-
vs Weaker (5)37.029.666.6+7.480%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire
#211
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H22/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Marist
#143
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H11/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#416
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#354
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
24-57
24
57
-33
A22/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
32.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.369.3+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.633.269.9+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)33.035.668.6-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)32.036.268.2-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.437.869.2-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.038.469.4-7.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.333.071.3+5.357%-
vs Weaker (13)36.133.069.1+3.146%-
This opponent (William & Mary) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
William & Mary wins
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateGameScore
18/12/22UMBC Retrievers v William & Mary78-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HLindenwood60-71
17/11/23AAir Force71-80 OT
17/11/23HNebraska O.83-89
11/11/23AGeorge Washington89-95
10/11/23HAmerican University75-56
07/11/23HRegent University84-29
05/03/23AHofstra46-94
04/03/23HElon73-51
25/02/23HMonmouth74-62
24/02/23HElon73-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23AMaryland68-92
19/11/23HLoyola Maryland94-79
17/11/23HSacred Heart85-80
14/11/23HPenn State-York84-65
11/11/23HMarist59-65
07/11/23ALouisville93-94
05/03/23HBinghamton65-67
01/03/23ABinghamton70-67 OT
22/02/23HUMass Lowell70-75
18/02/23ANew Hampshire66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

William & Mary
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.075.580.0
Allowed / game70.061.287.5
Point differential+7.0+14.2-7.5
Avg total147.0136.8167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%50%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game80.580.580.5
Allowed / game79.272.293.0
Point differential+1.3+8.2-12.5
Avg total159.7152.8173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC Wilmington54180%88.675.8+12.8
2 Hofstra64267%85.371.5+13.8
3 Drexel53260%65.260.8+4.4
4 Northeastern63350%74.874.7+0.2
5 Elon63350%77.380.2-2.8
6 Monmouth63350%69.578.8-9.3
7 Stony Brook52340%69.271.4-2.2
8 Charleston52340%69.474.2-4.8
9 William & Mary62433%77.070.0+7.0
10 Hampton62433%77.278.2-1.0
11 Campbell62433%60.265.0-4.8
12 Towson62433%57.064.5-7.5
13 N. Carolina A&T5050%65.491.6-26.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont65183%79.559.3+20.2
2 UMass Lowell54180%77.860.4+17.4
3 New Hampshire64267%82.269.2+13.0
4 Binghamton63350%74.269.3+4.8
5 UMBC Retrievers63350%80.579.2+1.3
6 Bryant University73443%76.973.4+3.4
7 Albany52340%72.881.4-8.6
8 Maine Black Bears83538%69.568.1+1.4
9 NJIT51420%62.679.8-17.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
William & Mary415596
UMBC Retrievers423981
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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