Windsor vs Orangeville Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Apr 2015

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 123-112

21-28 26-23 39-33 37-28

Position#2

Record25-15

FormWLWLL

Points / game104.7

Allowed / game101.8

Windsor 🏆

Orangeville

Position#4

Record24-17

FormWWLWW

Points / game108.7

Allowed / game105.4

NBLNBL - Semi-finals

Other2014-15

Meetings · Windsor v Orangeville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Windsor winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Orangeville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Windsor

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mississauga

107-93

107

+14

H10/03

NBL

TMU

68-82

-14

H12/03

U Sports

Mississauga

109-116

109

116

-7

A12/03

NBL

Bishop's

#28

91-80

+11

H13/03

U Sports

Saskatchewan

94-99

-5

A14/03

U Sports

Mississauga

107-102

107

102

A17/03

NBL

Orangeville

97-99

-2

H26/03

NBL

Orangeville

105-93

105

+12

H28/03

NBL

Orangeville

103-125

103

125

-22

A01/04

NBL

Orangeville

111-119

111

119

-8

A03/04

NBL

24-21

16-27

30-23

37-22

10-19

21-23

13-23

24-17

21-30

22-27

27-25

39-34

23-18

24-21

20-20

24-21

17-14

17-32

34-25

26-28

27-30

31-15

23-26

26-31

16-19

22-26

25-32

34-22

48-28

11-21

29-28

17-16

15-37

23-32

35-32

30-24

25-26

30-24

28-30

28-39

200.0Avg total

99.2Scored

100.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	104.7	101.8	206.4	+3.0	62%
Season at home (20)	104.0	95.0	199.0	+9.1	85%
Season away (20)	105.3	108.5	213.9	-3.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	99.2	100.8	200.0	-1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	104.6	107.6	212.2	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	79.0	97.0	176.0	-18.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	102.4	103.7	206.1	-1.2	33%
vs Weaker (18)	99.6	86.9	186.5	+12.6	83%

This opponent (Orangeville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Orangeville Canada

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

112-99

112

+13

A01/03

NBL

London

105-85

105

+20

H08/03

NBL

London

91-106

106

-15

H11/03

NBL

London

105-89

105

+16

A14/03

NBL

London

98-106

106

-8

A15/03

NBL

London

102-92

102

+10

H21/03

NBL

Windsor

99-97

A26/03

NBL

Windsor

93-105

105

-12

A28/03

NBL

Windsor

125-103

125

103

+22

H01/04

NBL

Windsor

119-111

119

111

H03/04

NBL

19-23

39-25

31-23

23-28

–

21-22

22-30

25-30

23-24

32-20

23-25

25-30

25-14

16-21

26-30

28-22

28-33

18-16

30-25

22-21

32-30

19-16

26-22

32-25

22-34

28-48

21-11

28-29

16-17

37-15

32-23

32-35

24-30

26-25

24-30

30-28

39-28

204.2Avg total

104.9Scored

99.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	108.7	105.4	214.0	+3.3	59%
Season at home (21)	111.6	104.5	216.1	+7.0	71%
Season away (20)	105.6	106.2	211.8	-0.7	45%
Last 10 (10)	104.9	99.3	204.2	+5.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	107.6	101.6	209.2	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	105.2	102.7	207.9	+2.6	58%
vs Weaker (6)	113.3	101.0	214.3	+12.3	100%

This opponent (Windsor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WindsorOrangeville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.0	23.0	46.0	-0.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	23.9	46.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	24.2	46.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	28.0	54.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	25.7	41.0	-10.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.7	23.9	48.6	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.4	22.1	45.5	+1.3	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.8	23.4	47.2	+0.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.8	25.5	50.3	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	24.0	22.9	46.9	+1.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	24.0	49.6	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	24.0	23.8	47.7	+0.2	52%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.3	22.0	45.3	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.9	22.0	45.9	+1.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	22.5	46.1	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.3	21.5	45.8	+2.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	24.8	46.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	23.6	47.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.2	26.2	50.4	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.9	19.8	43.8	+4.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	27.1	25.0	52.1	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	28.4	25.9	54.2	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	26.0	24.1	50.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	27.0	24.6	51.6	+2.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	22.2	48.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	25.6	25.1	50.7	+0.5	52%	-
vs Weaker (6)	33.0	24.5	57.5	+8.5	100%	-

WindsorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mississauga

40-48

-8

H10/03

NBL

TMU

31-42

-11

H12/03

U Sports

Mississauga

43-57

-14

A12/03

NBL

Bishop's

#28

47-39

H13/03

U Sports

Saskatchewan

34-46

-12

A14/03

U Sports

Mississauga

58-45

+13

A17/03

NBL

Orangeville

38-45

-7

H26/03

NBL

Orangeville

59-49

+10

H28/03

NBL

Orangeville

38-69

-31

A01/04

NBL

Orangeville

55-50

A03/04

NBL

93.3Avg total

44.3Scored

49.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	46.9	45.1	91.9	+1.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.5	44.8	91.3	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.2	45.4	92.6	+1.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	49.0	93.3	-4.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	51.6	101.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	47.7	85.7	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	48.9	50.1	99.0	-1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (17)	47.4	41.9	89.3	+5.4	65%	-

This opponent (Orangeville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OrangevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

58-48

+10

A01/03

NBL

London

43-52

-9

H11/03

NBL

London

55-45

+10

A14/03

NBL

London

42-51

-9

A15/03

NBL

London

48-41

H21/03

NBL

Windsor

45-38

A26/03

NBL

Windsor

49-59

-10

A28/03

NBL

Windsor

69-38

+31

H01/04

NBL

Windsor

50-55

-5

H03/04

NBL

98.4Avg total

51.0Scored

47.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	51.0	48.4	99.3	+2.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	51.1	47.1	98.2	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	50.8	49.6	100.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	51.0	47.4	98.4	+3.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.2	46.2	98.4	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	49.6	48.9	98.4	+0.7	48%	-
vs Weaker (6)	56.3	46.5	102.8	+9.8	83%	-

This opponent (Windsor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	26.4	24.8	51.2	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	23.7	47.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	29.0	26.1	55.1	+2.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	26.4	52.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	29.6	57.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	24.0	43.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	26.8	27.8	54.6	-1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (17)	27.4	23.4	50.8	+4.0	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	29.1	28.7	57.8	+0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	29.6	29.3	58.9	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	28.7	28.2	56.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	28.1	27.0	55.1	+1.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	27.6	56.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	28.7	28.3	57.0	+0.4	52%	-
vs Weaker (6)	30.5	30.3	60.8	+0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	25.3	23.7	49.0	+1.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.2	21.1	46.3	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.4	26.4	51.8	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.5	25.4	53.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	26.4	53.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	25.3	46.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	26.8	25.8	52.6	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (17)	25.2	22.2	47.5	+3.0	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	26.9	25.8	52.7	+1.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	29.4	26.4	55.9	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	25.3	49.7	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	25.8	26.4	52.2	-0.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	27.8	54.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	27.0	26.3	53.2	+0.7	52%	-
vs Weaker (6)	26.5	24.2	50.7	+2.3	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	51.7	48.5	100.2	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.2	44.8	94.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	54.4	52.4	106.9	+2.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.9	51.8	106.7	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.0	56.0	111.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.0	49.3	90.3	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	53.6	53.6	107.1	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (17)	52.6	45.6	98.3	+7.0	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	56.0	54.6	110.5	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	59.0	55.7	114.7	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	53.1	53.5	106.6	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	53.9	53.4	107.3	+0.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.4	55.4	110.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (23)	55.7	54.6	110.3	+1.1	61%	-
vs Weaker (6)	57.0	54.5	111.5	+2.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Windsor wins

Orangeville wins

Date	Game	Score
03/04/15	Orangeville v Windsor	119-111
01/04/15	Orangeville v Windsor	125-103
28/03/15	Windsor v Orangeville	105-93
26/03/15	Windsor v Orangeville	97-99
01/03/15	Windsor v Orangeville	99-112
22/02/15	Orangeville v Windsor	99-91
14/01/15	Orangeville v Windsor	113-109
09/01/15	Windsor v Orangeville	104-90
02/01/15	Windsor v Orangeville	103-96
20/12/14	Orangeville v Windsor	109-104

Windsorlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/04/15	A	Orangeville	111-119
01/04/15	A	Orangeville	103-125
28/03/15	H	Orangeville	105-93
26/03/15	H	Orangeville	97-99
17/03/15	A	Mississauga	107-102
14/03/15	A	Saskatchewan	94-99
13/03/15	H	Bishop's	91-80
12/03/15	A	Mississauga	109-116
12/03/15	H	TMU	68-82
10/03/15	H	Mississauga	107-93

Orangevillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/04/15	H	Windsor	119-111
01/04/15	H	Windsor	125-103
28/03/15	A	Windsor	93-105
26/03/15	A	Windsor	99-97
21/03/15	H	London	102-92
15/03/15	A	London	98-106
14/03/15	A	London	105-89
11/03/15	H	London	91-106
08/03/15	H	London	105-85
01/03/15	A	Windsor	112-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Windsor

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	62%
Home	LWWLW	85%
Away	LLWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	20	20
Win %	62%	85%	40%
Points / game	104.7	104.0	105.3
Allowed / game	101.8	95.0	108.5
Point differential	+3.0	+9.1	-3.2
Avg total	206.4	199.0	213.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	60%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (15)	60% (5)	50% (10)
Overtime %	8%	0%	15%

Orangeville

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	59%
Home	WLWWW	71%
Away	WWLWL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	21	20
Win %	59%	71%	45%
Points / game	108.7	111.6	105.6
Allowed / game	105.4	104.5	106.2
Point differential	+3.3	+7.0	-0.7
Avg total	214.0	216.1	211.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	48%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	54% (13)	50% (6)	57% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Halifax	41	27	14	66%	108.4	102.5	+5.9
2	Windsor	40	25	15	62%	104.7	101.8	+3.0
3	Orangeville	41	24	17	59%	108.7	105.4	+3.3
4	Island Storm	42	23	19	55%	106.9	107.3	-0.4
5	London	37	20	17	54%	106.8	104.4	+2.4
6	Saint John Riptide	37	19	18	51%	111.5	110.4	+1.1
7	Moncton	36	9	27	25%	103.4	114.7	-11.3
8	Mississauga	36	8	28	22%	102.8	108.4	-5.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Windsor	21	26	39	37	123
Orangeville	28	23	33	28	112

← all games of the day

Windsor vs Orangeville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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