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Wisconsin vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 69-61
24-32 45-29
Position#117
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#99
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wisconsin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H15/03
NIT
Liberty
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H19/03
NIT
Oregon
#5
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A22/03
NIT
North Texas
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A28/03
NIT
Arkansas State
#186
W
105-76
105
76
+29
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Providence
#114
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A14/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H18/11
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
65-41
65
41
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
18-36
0-0
39-29
0-0
40-35
0-0
41-27
0-0
37-34
0-0
38-37
0-0
27-26
0-0
34-32
0-0
41-29
0-0
13-27
0-0
56-41
0-0
49-35
0-0
35-43
0-0
35-37
0-0
21-37
0-0
38-35
0-0
37-35
0-0
41-33
0-0
28-18
0-0
37-23
135.4Avg total
70.5Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.467.4142.8+8.060%
Season at home (4)79.566.2145.8+13.275%
Season away (1)59.072.0131.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)70.564.9135.4+5.660%
Last 5 (5)75.467.4142.8+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)58.764.3123.0-5.620%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.465.1133.5+3.250%
vs Weaker (5)72.666.4139.0+6.2100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#220
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H19/02
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H03/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
74-97
74
97
-23
A05/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A09/03
NCAA
SAGU
#433
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H09/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H15/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
51-42
38-26
29-45
37-50
25-31
34-51
40-46
36-28
34-48
43-39
39-24
48-22
42-31
31-19
47-48
32-39
34-40
25-36
45-22
146.0Avg total
74.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.264.0141.2+13.280%
Season at home (4)79.065.5144.5+13.575%
Season away (1)70.058.0128.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.571.5146.0+3.050%
Last 5 (5)77.264.0141.2+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)69.279.2148.4-10.120%
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.070.8146.8+5.250%
vs Weaker (6)79.866.0145.8+13.883%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +0.9+0.9
WisconsinSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
L
18-36
18
36
-18
H08/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/03
NIT
Liberty
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/03
NIT
Oregon
#5
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A22/03
NIT
North Texas
#1
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/03
NIT
Arkansas State
#186
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H11/11
NCAA
Providence
#114
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A14/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/11
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H20/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.0Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.730.861.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.231.562.7-0.344%-
Last 30 away (12)29.929.859.8+0.142%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.467.4+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.870.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.229.457.6-1.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.131.362.4-0.236%-
vs Weaker (5)32.831.664.4+1.280%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#220
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/02
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A26/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H03/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A05/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A09/03
NCAA
SAGU
#433
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H09/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/11
NCAA
69.7Avg total
35.9Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.434.567.9-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.833.167.9+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)31.636.468.0-4.838%-
Last 10 (10)35.933.869.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.831.066.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)32.936.068.8-3.145%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)31.529.260.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (6)36.533.369.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wisconsin wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
No previous meetings.
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23HVirginia65-41
18/11/23HRobert Morris78-68
14/11/23AProvidence59-72
11/11/23HTennessee70-80
07/11/23HArkansas State105-76
28/03/23ANorth Texas54-56
22/03/23AOregon61-58
19/03/23HLiberty75-71
15/03/23HBradley81-62
08/03/23HOhio State57-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23AWest Virginia70-58
15/11/23HTexas A&M66-79
10/11/23HLamar78-67
09/11/23HWestern Illinois90-53
07/11/23HSAGU82-63
09/03/23AUCF Knights70-76
05/03/23ACincinnati74-97
03/03/23HMemphis62-81
26/02/23ASouth Florida67-71
19/02/23HEast Carolina86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wisconsin
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game75.479.559.0
Allowed / game67.466.272.0
Point differential+8.0+13.2-13.0
Avg total142.8145.8131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%75%100%
Points / game77.279.070.0
Allowed / game64.065.558.0
Point differential+13.2+13.5+12.0
Avg total141.2144.5128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penn State440100%77.553.5+24.0
2 Nebraska660100%81.060.2+20.8
3 Purdue660100%81.763.0+18.7
4 Oregon440100%79.063.2+15.8
5 UCLA54180%73.254.2+19.0
6 Illinois54180%76.660.0+16.6
7 Minnesota54180%80.665.2+15.4
8 Rutgers54180%70.458.6+11.8
9 Northwestern54180%67.062.6+4.4
10 Indiana54180%72.270.0+2.2
11 Iowa43175%95.075.2+19.8
12 Ohio State43175%73.563.5+10.0
13 USC43175%77.067.0+10.0
14 Michigan State53260%74.061.4+12.6
15 Michigan53260%86.674.8+11.8
16 Wisconsin53260%75.467.4+8.0
17 Washington53260%82.675.6+7.0
18 Maryland52340%64.861.6+3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh440100%95.560.5+35.0
2 NC State330100%81.058.7+22.3
3 North Carolina440100%86.064.8+21.2
4 Clemson440100%77.066.2+10.8
5 Miami (FL)65183%84.872.5+12.3
6 Virginia65183%65.353.8+11.5
7 Duke54180%84.864.6+20.2
8 SMU Mustangs54180%77.264.0+13.2
9 Florida State54180%83.273.8+9.4
10 Boston College54180%75.870.4+5.4
11 Virginia Tech43175%83.863.5+20.2
12 Stanford53260%85.077.6+7.4
13 Notre Dame53260%66.267.2-1.0
14 Syracuse53260%72.874.6-1.8
15 Georgia Tech42250%74.277.5-3.2
16 Wake Forest52340%79.876.4+3.4
17 California52340%73.070.8+2.2
18 Louisville52340%74.474.0+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wisconsin244569
SMU Mustangs322961
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