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South Florida vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-67
26-38 45-29
Position#249
Record12-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#327
Record10-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · South Florida v SMU Mustangs
25 Feb 2024
SOUT79
SMU 68
25 Feb 2023
SOUT71
SMU 67
26 Jan 2022
SOUT54
SMU 74
20 Feb 2021
SOUT v SMU
upcoming
07 Mar 2020
SOUT61
SMU 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#91
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H19/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
A26/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A29/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
81-99
81
99
-18
H09/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A12/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
96-69
96
69
+27
A16/02
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H19/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-47
40-38
38-33
47-39
34-34
36-36
33-45
47-37
44-30
27-33
35-48
46-51
38-34
27-50
50-37
46-32
31-35
35-49
48-40
34-35
156.3Avg total
77.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.372.8146.1+0.543%
Season at home (17)70.870.9141.7-0.141%
Season away (11)77.275.7152.9+1.545%
Last 10 (10)77.179.2156.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)78.082.2160.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.978.6149.5-7.725%
vs Similar (14)69.967.4137.4+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.071.5153.5+10.550%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#361
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A27/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A02/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H09/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A12/02
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H17/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
36-36
29-25
40-46
32-50
52-49
45-33
37-47
28-39
24-35
32-40
40-37
32-30
40-41
39-38
36-37
29-43
36-37
35-28
51-42
153.9Avg total
75.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.574.8145.3-4.236%
Season at home (17)72.571.5144.0+1.147%
Season away (11)67.579.8147.3-12.418%
Last 10 (10)75.078.9153.9-3.940%
Last 5 (5)76.877.8154.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.378.7147.0-10.419%
vs Similar (5)75.665.2140.8+10.460%
vs Weaker (3)75.363.3138.7+12.0100%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -1.5-1.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -1.5-1.5
South FloridaSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cincinnati
#91
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H21/01
NCAA
Temple
#210
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A26/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H02/02
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H09/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A16/02
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H19/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A23/02
NCAA
76.3Avg total
38.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.535.470.9+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.235.269.5-1.041%-
Last 30 away (13)37.235.572.7+1.654%-
Last 10 (10)38.038.376.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.879.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.937.873.7-1.833%-
vs Similar (14)33.732.466.1+1.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.538.579.0+2.050%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#361
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A19/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A27/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H17/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/02
NCAA
68.3Avg total
32.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.533.765.2-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.931.863.8+0.153%-
Last 30 away (11)30.736.967.6-6.227%-
Last 10 (10)32.935.468.3-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.869.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.335.867.1-4.538%-
vs Similar (5)32.829.662.4+3.260%-
vs Weaker (3)29.328.357.7+1.033%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
South Florida wins
4
SMU Mustangs wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23AUCF Knights82-75
19/02/23HTulane66-84
16/02/23ATulsa96-69
12/02/23ACincinnati65-84
09/02/23HMemphis81-99
02/02/23HEast Carolina71-63
29/01/23ASMU Mustangs80-82
26/01/23ATemple76-79 OT
21/01/23HUCF Knights85-72
19/01/23HCincinnati69-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23HEast Carolina86-70
17/02/23HHouston65-80
12/02/23AWichita State89-91 OT
09/02/23HTemple72-71
04/02/23AEast Carolina72-77
02/02/23ATulane52-74
29/01/23HSouth Florida82-80
27/01/23AMemphis84-99
22/01/23HWichita State69-71
19/01/23ATulsa79-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLWWLL41%
AwayLLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %43%41%45%
Points / game73.370.877.2
Allowed / game72.870.975.7
Point differential+0.5-0.1+1.5
Avg total146.1141.7152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%24%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)17% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeLWWLW47%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %36%47%18%
Points / game70.572.567.5
Allowed / game74.871.579.8
Point differential-4.2+1.1-12.4
Avg total145.3144.0147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%24%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %11%6%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic2926390%78.665.2+13.4
2 North Texas2923679%63.656.3+7.3
3 Memphis2821775%80.073.2+6.9
4 UAB2921872%82.270.7+11.5
5 Tulane2517868%81.475.8+5.5
6 Charlotte29181162%65.761.1+4.7
7 Rice29171259%77.374.8+2.4
8 Wichita State27141352%70.368.1+2.2
9 East Carolina27141352%69.570.4-0.9
10 Temple29151452%70.169.8+0.3
11 South Florida28121643%73.372.8+0.5
12 UTSA Roadrunners2982128%68.076.3-8.3
13 Tulsa2752219%66.377.9-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2721678%68.160.6+7.4
2 NC State3022873%78.770.3+8.5
3 Clemson2921872%75.768.3+7.4
4 Pittsburgh2921872%75.868.4+7.4
5 Duke2820871%71.963.9+8.0
6 North Carolina29181162%77.171.8+5.3
7 Wake Forest28171161%77.974.5+3.4
8 Miami (FL)58342459%76.873.1+3.7
9 Virginia Tech28161257%74.569.5+5.0
10 Syracuse29161355%74.172.3+1.8
11 Boston College29141548%66.269.9-3.7
12 Georgia Tech29121741%68.670.5-1.9
13 Stanford28111739%69.067.8+1.2
14 Notre Dame28101836%69.871.6-1.9
15 SMU Mustangs28101836%70.574.8-4.2
16 Florida State2992031%70.176.5-6.4
17 Louisville2942514%64.575.8-11.3
18 California2932610%58.569.7-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Florida264571
SMU Mustangs382967
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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