Wolves vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2010

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 93-86

28-20 27-18 21-22 17-26

Position#2

Record12-10

FormWLWLW

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game80.6

Wolves 🏆

Townsville

Position#3

Record12-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game84.8

NBLRound 17

Other2009-10

Meetings · Wolves v Townsville

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wolves winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Townsville winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wolves

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

93-91

A03/12

NBL

Perth

109-84

109

+25

H12/12

NBL

Cairns

70-71

-1

A18/12

NBL

Gold Coast

84-88

-4

A20/12

NBL

Melbourne United

88-90

-2

A26/12

NBL

Adelaide

93-88

H31/12

NBL

Perth

57-91

-34

A02/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

83-78

H06/01

NBL

Melbourne United

65-84

-19

A08/01

NBL

Gold Coast

96-75

+21

H16/01

NBL

23-23

21-28

24-18

25-22

32-23

28-19

24-17

25-25

19-15

22-15

15-23

14-18

23-20

17-26

19-23

25-19

19-15

23-26

23-31

23-18

26-20

27-25

19-17

21-26

12-20

14-17

15-19

16-35

25-17

14-22

16-23

28-16

19-29

17-22

11-14

18-19

33-18

26-22

17-14

20-21

167.8Avg total

83.8Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	82.3	80.6	163.0	+1.7	55%
Season at home (11)	86.3	77.0	163.3	+9.3	91%
Season away (11)	78.4	84.3	162.6	-5.9	18%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	84.0	167.8	-0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	83.2	162.0	-4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	85.0	88.5	173.5	-3.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	83.9	81.0	164.9	+2.9	57%
vs Weaker (4)	74.0	71.5	145.5	+2.5	50%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gold Coast

77-93

-16

A13/11

NBL

Melbourne United

98-91

A14/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

73-85

-12

H20/11

NBL

Adelaide

100-88

100

+12

H27/11

NBL

Cairns

73-64

H02/12

NBL

Perth

89-94

-5

A05/12

NBL

Melbourne United

89-79

+10

H12/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

87-80

A17/12

NBL

Perth

83-74

H31/12

NBL

Gold Coast

100-89

100

+11

H08/01

NBL

19-20

19-22

14-27

25-24

28-28

21-19

22-25

27-19

25-14

12-23

20-26

16-22

18-15

28-22

27-26

27-25

20-15

24-17

11-15

18-17

19-18

26-21

16-29

28-26

17-14

24-27

26-19

22-19

24-24

17-18

20-13

26-25

20-22

19-24

16-20

28-8

22-26

23-24

27-25

28-14

170.6Avg total

86.9Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	87.0	84.8	171.8	+2.2	60%
Season at home (10)	87.1	84.1	171.2	+3.0	70%
Season away (10)	86.9	85.6	172.5	+1.3	50%
Last 10 (10)	86.9	83.7	170.6	+3.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	83.2	172.8	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	84.1	88.3	172.4	-4.2	42%
vs Weaker (8)	91.4	79.6	171.0	+11.8	88%

This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WolvesTownsville

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	23.5	17.9	41.4	+5.5	91%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.0	43.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.8	43.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.8	21.8	44.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.6	19.8	40.5	+0.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.3	21.4	41.7	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	18.5	35.2	-1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	21.8	22.1	44.0	-0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.3	23.7	46.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 30 away (10)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.3	22.4	42.8	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.0	21.8	45.8	+2.2	62%	-

WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

44-51

-7

A03/12

NBL

Perth

60-42

+18

H12/12

NBL

Cairns

41-30

+11

A18/12

NBL

Gold Coast

40-46

-6

A20/12

NBL

Melbourne United

42-41

A26/12

NBL

Adelaide

53-45

H31/12

NBL

Perth

26-37

-11

A02/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-39

H06/01

NBL

Melbourne United

36-51

-15

A08/01

NBL

Gold Coast

59-40

+19

H16/01

NBL

86.2Avg total

44.0Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	41.5	40.1	81.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	44.1	37.7	81.8	+6.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.9	42.5	81.4	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	42.2	86.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	42.4	85.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.5	42.0	86.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.0	40.9	82.9	+1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.8	35.5	72.2	+1.2	75%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gold Coast

38-42

-4

A13/11

NBL

Melbourne United

49-47

A14/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

37-37

H20/11

NBL

Adelaide

46-37

H27/11

NBL

Cairns

44-32

+12

H02/12

NBL

Perth

45-39

A05/12

NBL

Melbourne United

41-41

H12/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-42

-1

A17/12

NBL

Perth

39-46

-7

H31/12

NBL

Gold Coast

45-50

-5

H08/01

NBL

83.8Avg total

42.5Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	43.0	43.0	86.0	-0.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	44.4	43.3	87.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (10)	41.5	42.7	84.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	41.3	83.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	43.6	85.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	41.7	44.3	86.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.9	41.0	85.9	+3.9	62%	-

This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.3	19.1	38.5	+0.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	17.4	33.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.2	23.7	42.9	-4.4	17%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.6	18.2	41.9	+5.4	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.5	21.4	42.9	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.7	21.3	44.0	+1.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.3	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	26.0	46.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.2	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	19.5	40.8	+1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	23.1	20.4	43.4	+2.7	75%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	24.6	21.3	45.9	+3.3	90%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	19.9	44.4	+4.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	18.4	44.8	+8.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.9	20.4	43.2	+2.5	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	40.8	40.5	81.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	42.2	39.3	81.5	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (11)	39.5	41.8	81.3	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	41.8	81.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	40.8	77.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.5	46.5	87.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.9	40.1	82.1	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.2	36.0	73.2	+1.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	44.0	41.9	85.9	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	42.7	40.8	83.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	45.4	42.9	88.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	42.4	86.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	39.6	87.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (12)	42.4	44.0	86.4	-1.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (8)	46.5	38.6	85.1	+7.9	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Wolves wins

Townsville wins

Date	Game	Score
07/11/09	Townsville v Wolves	69-93
24/10/09	Wolves v Townsville	99-77

Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/01/10	H	Gold Coast	96-75
08/01/10	A	Melbourne United	65-84
06/01/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	83-78
02/01/10	A	Perth	57-91
31/12/09	H	Adelaide	93-88
26/12/09	A	Melbourne United	88-90
20/12/09	A	Gold Coast	84-88
18/12/09	A	Cairns	70-71
12/12/09	H	Perth	109-84
03/12/09	A	New Zealand Breakers	93-91

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/10	H	Gold Coast	100-89
31/12/09	H	Perth	83-74
17/12/09	A	New Zealand Breakers	87-80
12/12/09	H	Melbourne United	89-79
05/12/09	A	Perth	89-94
02/12/09	H	Cairns	73-64
27/11/09	H	Adelaide	100-88
20/11/09	H	New Zealand Breakers	73-85
14/11/09	A	Melbourne United	98-91
13/11/09	A	Gold Coast	77-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wolves

NBL 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	55%
Home	LWWWW	91%
Away	LLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	55%	91%	18%
Points / game	82.3	86.3	78.4
Allowed / game	80.6	77.0	84.3
Point differential	+1.7	+9.3	-5.9
Avg total	163.0	163.3	162.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	64%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	100% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Townsville

NBL 2009-10

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	60%
Home	WWWWW	70%
Away	WLWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	60%	70%	50%
Points / game	87.0	87.1	86.9
Allowed / game	84.8	84.1	85.6
Point differential	+2.1	+3.0	+1.3
Avg total	171.8	171.2	172.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	40%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	22	14	8	64%	85.7	81.4	+4.3
2	Townsville	20	12	8	60%	87.0	84.8	+2.1
3	Gold Coast	22	13	9	59%	85.0	83.4	+1.6
4	Wolves	22	12	10	55%	82.3	80.6	+1.7
5	Adelaide	23	10	13	43%	83.7	84.5	-0.8
6	Melbourne United	21	9	12	43%	82.9	85.2	-2.3
7	New Zealand Breakers	22	9	13	41%	83.9	84.1	-0.3
8	Cairns	24	9	15	38%	73.8	79.5	-5.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Wolves	28	27	21	17	93
Townsville	20	18	22	26	86

← all games of the day

Wolves vs Townsville Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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