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Worcester Wolves vs Durham Wildcats Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2014
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-66
15-15 29-19 23-13 21-19
Position#2
Record21-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#8
Record12-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.4
United KingdomSLBRound 27
Other2013-14
Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Durham Wildcats
13 Mar 2015
WORC89
DURH73
04 Apr 2014
WORC88
DURH66
10 Jan 2014
WORC90
DURH66
22 Sep 2012
WORC76
DURH82
14 Jan 2012
WORC86
DURH72
12 Nov 2011
WORC65
DURH64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Durham Wildcats winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester WolvesUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#5
W
105-94
105
94
+11
A09/02
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H14/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A21/02
SLB Trophy
Birmingham K.
#12
W
117-60
117
60
+57
A22/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H28/02
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#6
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A07/03
SLB Trophy
Sheffield Sharks
#6
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H12/03
SLB Trophy
Plymouth Raiders
#7
W
96-86
96
86
+10
H21/03
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H28/03
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#3
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H30/03
SLB Trophy
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
24-25
30-25
31-31
28-18
23-30
17-15
21-19
30-20
17-20
9-20
30-13
29-11
26-11
31-16
31-22
18-31
20-17
19-17
21-21
21-13
22-12
16-21
3-14
26-16
20-18
16-22
22-14
15-23
33-18
31-19
17-26
17-17
17-25
27-20
12-20
15-25
23-19
20-11
25-21
164.2Avg total
87.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.875.8165.7+14.081%
Season at home (13)89.879.2168.9+10.677%
Season away (13)89.972.5162.5+17.485%
Last 10 (10)87.376.9164.2+10.480%
Last 5 (5)79.674.8154.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.074.0136.0-12.00%
vs Similar (6)78.375.7154.0+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.876.9168.7+15.086%
This opponent (Durham Wildcats) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Durham WildcatsUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Giants
#9
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A02/02
SLB
London Lions
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A06/02
SLB
Birmingham K.
#12
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H09/02
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H16/02
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#7
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H23/02
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
105-111
105
111
-6
H28/02
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#10
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A02/03
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H09/03
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A23/03
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H30/03
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
15-26
18-16
23-21
22-24
17-14
13-29
24-22
25-16
26-16
29-16
23-22
18-17
11-28
19-18
26-21
22-23
20-19
16-12
31-12
34-27
22-23
19-26
30-35
21-17
21-14
11-19
26-17
16-18
17-16
17-19
15-24
17-28
13-19
15-17
33-26
21-27
26-22
20-23
28-27
167.7Avg total
83.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.080.4162.4+1.641%
Season at home (15)86.380.5166.8+5.947%
Season away (14)77.480.4157.8-2.936%
Last 10 (10)83.684.1167.7-0.530%
Last 5 (5)84.488.8173.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.984.5158.4-10.610%
vs Similar (13)79.881.3161.2-1.538%
vs Weaker (5)99.868.4168.2+31.4100%
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
Worcester WolvesDurham Wildcats
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/02
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#10
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H14/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/02
SLB Trophy
Birmingham K.
#12
W
55-22
55
22
+33
A22/02
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H28/02
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A07/03
SLB Trophy
Sheffield Sharks
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H12/03
SLB Trophy
Plymouth Raiders
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/03
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H28/03
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/03
SLB Trophy
82.6Avg total
44.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.037.682.7+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.639.186.7+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)42.536.178.6+6.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.282.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.279.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (6)37.340.878.2-3.517%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.236.884.0+10.486%-
This opponent (Durham Wildcats) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Durham WildcatsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Giants
#9
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A02/02
SLB
London Lions
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/02
SLB
Birmingham K.
#12
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H09/02
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H16/02
SLB
Plymouth Raiders
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/02
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H28/02
SLB
Glasgow Rocks
#10
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A02/03
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/03
SLB
Manchester Giants
#9
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/03
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#1
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H30/03
SLB
81.9Avg total
40.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.778.6-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.940.182.1+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)35.939.375.2-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.981.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.283.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.639.774.3-5.120%-
vs Similar (13)37.941.379.2-3.438%-
vs Weaker (5)49.233.883.0+15.480%-
This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/14HGlasgow Rocks83-76
28/03/14HSheffield Sharks73-82
21/03/14HPlymouth Raiders96-86
12/03/14HSheffield Sharks84-70
07/03/14ASheffield Sharks62-60
28/02/14HNewcastle Eagles78-86
22/02/14ABirmingham K.117-60
21/02/14ANewcastle Eagles86-73
14/02/14HGlasgow Rocks89-82
09/02/14ACheshire Phoenix105-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/14HNewcastle Eagles95-99
23/03/14AManchester Giants78-90
09/03/14HSheffield Sharks65-77
02/03/14AGlasgow Rocks79-67
28/02/14HManchester Giants105-111
23/02/14HPlymouth Raiders89-66
16/02/14HSheffield Sharks74-84
09/02/14HBirmingham K.103-70
06/02/14ALondon Lions76-89
02/02/14AManchester Giants72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves
SLB 2013-14
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL81%
HomeWWLWL77%
AwayWWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %81%77%85%
Points / game89.889.889.9
Allowed / game75.879.272.5
Point differential+14.0+10.6+17.4
Avg total165.7168.9162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%54%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %15%15%15%
Durham Wildcats
SLB 2013-14
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLWLLL47%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%47%36%
Points / game82.086.377.4
Allowed / game80.480.580.4
Point differential+1.6+5.9-2.9
Avg total162.4166.8157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Eagles3025583%92.978.7+14.3
2 Worcester Wolves2621581%89.875.8+14.0
3 Sheffield Sharks2621581%79.372.0+7.3
4 Leicester Riders2921872%83.668.3+15.3
5 London Lions28161257%83.180.0+3.1
6 Cheshire Phoenix28151354%85.483.9+1.5
7 Durham Wildcats29121741%82.080.4+1.6
8 Plymouth Raiders29121741%83.284.0-0.8
9 Manchester Giants29121741%88.590.0-1.5
10 Glasgow Rocks27101737%79.481.5-2.1
11 Surrey Scorchers2842414%71.495.9-24.5
12 Birmingham K.290290%73.1100.5-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Worcester Wolves1529232188
Durham Wildcats1519131966
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