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Wright State vs Northern Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 97-99 (OT)
40-33 49-56 8-10
Position#160
Record18-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#177
Record17-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wright State v Northern Kentucky
09 Mar 2026
WRIG103
NORT90
24 Jan 2026
WRIG88
NORT80
21 Feb 2025
WRIG76
NORT80
07 Mar 2024
WRIG97
NORT99
02 Mar 2024
WRIG94
NORT88
10 Feb 2023
WRIG83
NORT65
13 Feb 2022
WRIG71
NORT75
24 Jan 2020
WRIG95
NORT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wright State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wright StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IUPUI
#360
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A04/02
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H09/02
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H11/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H17/02
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
93-78
93
78
+15
A23/02
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A25/02
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
H29/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-30
40-46
46-45
31-43
41-38
44-40
50-32
42-53
24-36
36-38
53-32
48-39
43-41
50-37
37-38
59-37
34-39
40-35
45-38
49-50
165.0Avg total
85.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.180.6166.8+5.558%
Season at home (18)85.476.9162.3+8.661%
Season away (13)87.185.8172.9+1.254%
Last 10 (10)85.879.2165.0+6.670%
Last 5 (5)92.278.2170.4+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.886.5169.2-3.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.182.3166.4+1.855%
vs Weaker (14)88.377.9166.1+10.471%
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#53
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A28/01
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
99-89 OT
99
89
+10
H09/02
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A15/02
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H23/02
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H25/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A29/02
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-38
21-44
38-41
40-44
38-40
42-40
35-23
44-44
27-24
31-33
36-35
36-38
33-33
42-40
44-30
36-34
42-23
28-37
38-45
50-49
149.5Avg total
75.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.172.2146.2+1.955%
Season at home (15)80.369.4149.7+10.980%
Season away (16)68.274.8143.0-6.531%
Last 10 (10)75.174.4149.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.072.8149.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.978.2145.1-11.425%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.574.2150.8+2.346%
vs Weaker (7)75.763.6139.3+12.1100%
This opponent (Wright State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -3.3-3.3
Wright StateNorthern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wright StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IUPUI
#360
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A28/01
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A04/02
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H09/02
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H11/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H17/02
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/02
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H29/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/03
NCAA
78.5Avg total
41.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.479.5+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.535.977.4+5.667%-
Last 30 away (12)43.039.882.8+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.978.5+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.680.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.239.080.2+2.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.739.078.7+0.755%-
vs Weaker (14)43.936.780.6+7.171%-
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#53
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/02
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A15/02
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H23/02
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A29/02
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A03/03
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.566.8+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.932.969.8+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)31.632.163.7-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.269.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.271.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.036.668.6-4.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.033.567.5+0.546%-
vs Weaker (7)34.126.961.0+7.386%-
This opponent (Wright State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HNorthern Kentucky94-88
29/02/24HIPFW77-79 OT
25/02/24AOakland96-75
23/02/24ADetroit93-78
17/02/24HRobert Morris101-71
11/02/24HOakland60-74
09/02/24HDetroit92-85
04/02/24ANorthern Kentucky85-78
02/02/24HYoungstown State77-88
28/01/24AIUPUI83-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AWright State88-94
29/02/24ARobert Morris70-60
25/02/24HIUPUI80-64
23/02/24HCleveland State75-73
18/02/24AWisc. Milwaukee72-73
15/02/24AWisc. Green Bay58-57
10/02/24HDetroit79-67
09/02/24HOakland99-89 OT
04/02/24HWright State78-85
28/01/24AYoungstown State52-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wright State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWLWLW61%
AwayWWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %58%61%54%
Points / game86.185.487.1
Allowed / game80.676.985.8
Point differential+5.5+8.6+1.2
Avg total166.8162.3172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %6%6%8%
Northern Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%80%31%
Points / game74.180.368.2
Allowed / game72.269.474.8
Point differential+1.9+10.9-6.5
Avg total146.2149.7143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%60%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %10%7%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Youngstown State32221069%81.270.9+10.3
2 Oakland32211166%76.372.9+3.4
3 IPFW33211264%80.971.4+9.5
4 Cleveland State33201361%76.472.9+3.5
5 Wright State31181358%86.180.6+5.5
6 Wisc. Green Bay31181358%68.568.1+0.4
7 Wisc. Milwaukee32181456%79.078.5+0.6
8 Northern Kentucky31171455%74.172.2+1.9
9 Robert Morris32102231%72.775.8-3.1
10 IUPUI3262619%65.979.8-13.9
11 Detroit321313%66.080.2-14.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Wright State4049897
Northern Kentucky33561099
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