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Xavier vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 96-50
45-23 51-27
Position#155
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game63.6
Xavier 🏆
USA
vs
Position#237
Record3-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game80.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#259
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
H10/03
NCAA
Niagara
#222
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H10/11
NCAA
Kent State
#68
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H12/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A18/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H18/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#26
W
88-48
88
48
+40
H21/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A27/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
78-45
78
45
+33
H01/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#194
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-26
19-33
29-23
34-37
31-36
42-23
28-43
44-41
35-26
36-39
45-16
43-32
39-38
31-44
35-27
24-31
41-25
37-20
35-39
42-32
136.2Avg total
72.0Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.363.6135.9+8.878%
Season at home (5)74.655.4130.0+19.2100%
Season away (4)69.573.8143.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)72.064.2136.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)74.460.8135.2+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.060.5142.5+21.5100%
vs Similar (16)72.872.2145.1+0.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)74.464.1138.5+10.367%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
100-65
100
65
+35
A03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A10/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Intl
#218
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H19/11
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A21/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H27/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#189
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-22
50-43
34-38
36-51
34-41
45-38
41-41
30-41
44-21
29-48
28-34
32-39
33-35
41-50
47-41
42-45
45-26
52-49
33-44
47-49
161.1Avg total
80.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.780.4158.1-2.743%
Season at home (3)81.376.3157.7+5.067%
Season away (4)75.083.5158.5-8.525%
Last 10 (10)80.380.8161.1-0.540%
Last 5 (5)80.082.4162.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.582.2154.7-9.815%
vs Similar (12)76.275.0151.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (5)81.266.0147.2+15.2100%
This opponent (Xavier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -4.9-4.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: -4.9-4.9
XavierBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#259
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H10/03
NCAA
Niagara
#222
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H10/11
NCAA
Kent State
#68
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H12/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A18/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#114
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H18/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#26
W
45-16
45
16
+29
H21/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#111
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A27/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H01/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#194
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/12
NCAA
65.7Avg total
35.8Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.631.866.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.929.565.4+6.468%-
Last 30 away (11)32.335.868.1-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)35.829.965.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.029.068.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.527.066.5+12.550%-
vs Similar (16)33.934.568.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.729.063.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
50-22
50
22
+28
A03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Intl
#218
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/11
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H27/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#189
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A02/12
NCAA
73.2Avg total
38.9Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.935.071.9+1.843%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.431.370.7+8.169%-
Last 30 away (17)34.937.972.8-2.924%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.373.2+4.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.073.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.637.271.8-2.515%-
vs Similar (12)38.735.874.4+2.967%-
vs Weaker (5)38.427.866.2+10.660%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Xavier wins
0
Ball State wins
No previous meetings.
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/21AOklahoma State77-71
01/12/21HCentral Michigan78-45
27/11/21AVirginia Tech59-58
25/11/21AIowa State70-82
21/11/21HNorfolk State88-48
18/11/21HOhio State71-65
18/11/21ALouisiana Lafayette72-84
12/11/21HKent State73-59
10/11/21HNiagara63-60
10/03/21HButler69-70 OT
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/21AWestern Illinois80-93
27/11/21HIndiana State97-75
21/11/21AUMass89-86
19/11/21HWeber State74-85
19/11/21AFlorida Intl60-73
13/11/21HNebraska O.73-69
10/11/21AGeorgia Southern71-82
11/03/21AToledo89-91 OT
06/03/21AToledo70-89
03/03/21AEastern Michigan100-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game72.374.669.5
Allowed / game63.655.473.8
Point differential+8.8+19.2-4.2
Avg total135.9130.0143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game77.781.375.0
Allowed / game80.476.383.5
Point differential-2.7+5.0-8.5
Avg total158.1157.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Providence109190%71.263.2+8.0
2 Uconn98189%85.962.6+23.3
3 Seton Hall87188%82.562.0+20.5
4 DePaul87188%85.269.2+16.0
5 Villanova97278%78.262.0+16.2
6 Xavier97278%72.363.6+8.8
7 Creighton97278%72.365.6+6.8
8 Marquette97278%75.970.6+5.3
9 St. John's (N.Y.)86275%85.272.9+12.4
10 Butler96367%64.858.8+6.0
11 Georgetown83538%71.674.6-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo97278%77.268.8+8.4
2 Ohio86275%74.169.0+5.1
3 Miami (Ohio)85362%79.863.5+16.2
4 Akron85362%73.959.9+14.0
5 UMass106460%82.179.7+2.4
6 Kent State74357%72.960.0+12.9
7 Buffalo74357%82.172.1+10.0
8 Bowling Green95456%77.274.7+2.6
9 Ball State73443%77.780.4-2.7
10 Eastern Michigan83538%73.179.0-5.9
11 Western Michigan83538%68.480.9-12.5
12 Northern Illinois82625%54.668.8-14.1
13 Central Michigan81712%61.485.1-23.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Xavier455196
Ball State232750
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