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Xavier vs Cincinnati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 84-79
35-27 49-52
Position#245
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game70.6
Xavier 🏆
USA
vs
Position#134
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Xavier v Cincinnati
05 Dec 2025
XAVI79
CINC74
09 Dec 2023
XAVI84
CINC79
11 Dec 2021
XAVI83
CINC63
07 Dec 2019
XAVI73
CINC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cincinnati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#268
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A09/11
NCAA
Jacksonville
#46
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A14/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
45-76
45
76
-31
A16/11
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A18/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A20/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
100-75
100
75
+25
H24/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H01/12
NCAA
Delaware
#148
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
33-39
37-26
42-30
29-37
42-46
20-41
25-35
37-30
34-44
28-18
38-31
49-25
51-50
42-43
34-35
31-36
29-30
41-38
39-49
142.4Avg total
71.0Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.570.6142.2+0.936%
Season at home (6)78.770.8149.5+7.850%
Season away (5)63.070.4133.4-7.420%
Last 10 (10)71.071.4142.4-0.430%
Last 5 (5)76.471.0147.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.666.6138.2+5.060%
vs Similar (16)75.374.1149.4+1.250%
vs Weaker (9)78.271.9150.1+6.356%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H16/03
NIT
Hofstra
#14
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A18/03
NIT
Utah Valley State
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A23/03
NIT
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H11/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H23/11
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H03/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-33
0-0
52-39
0-0
40-37
0-0
39-28
0-0
33-39
0-0
35-35
0-0
40-30
0-0
29-28
0-0
60-27
0-0
33-34
0-0
38-30
0-0
47-43
0-0
45-31
0-0
45-35
0-0
40-32
0-0
49-22
0-0
34-29
0-0
40-45
0-0
49-26
0-0
50-36
150.5Avg total
83.9Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.365.0152.3+22.3100%
Season at home (6)87.562.3149.8+25.2100%
Season away (1)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.966.6150.5+17.390%
Last 5 (5)89.867.2157.0+22.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.772.0130.7-13.30%
vs Similar (6)73.372.2145.5+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.266.9149.2+15.385%
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +7.4+7.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +9.4+9.42nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +7.4+7.4
XavierCincinnati
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#268
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Jacksonville
#46
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A14/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A16/11
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A18/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
W
28-18
28
18
+10
A20/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H24/11
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H01/12
NCAA
Delaware
#148
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H05/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
34.3Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.433.569.9+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.133.874.9+7.375%-
Last 30 away (14)30.933.264.1-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)34.332.566.8+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.070.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.828.261.0+4.660%-
vs Similar (16)36.334.570.8+1.862%-
vs Weaker (9)38.434.873.2+3.756%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#24
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H16/03
NIT
Hofstra
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A18/03
NIT
Utah Valley State
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A23/03
NIT
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H11/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H03/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
40.8Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.531.368.8+6.273%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.430.469.8+9.076%-
Last 30 away (13)34.932.567.4+2.569%-
Last 10 (10)40.831.472.2+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.229.670.8+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.336.367.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (6)32.833.766.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.229.870.0+10.590%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Xavier wins
0
Cincinnati wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Cincinnati v Xavier77-80
12/12/21Xavier v Cincinnati83-63
06/12/20Cincinnati v Xavier69-77
07/12/19Xavier v Cincinnati73-66
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/23HDelaware80-87
01/12/23HHouston60-66
27/11/23HOakland76-78
24/11/23HBryant University100-75
20/11/23ASt. Marys (CA)66-49
18/11/23AWashington71-74
16/11/23ASouthern Miss45-76
14/11/23APurdue71-83
10/11/23HJacksonville79-56
09/11/23AAlcorn State62-70
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HFlorida Gulf Coast99-62
29/11/23AHoward86-81 OT
23/11/23HGeorgia Tech89-54
19/11/23HNorthern Kentucky90-66
12/11/23HEast. Washington85-73
11/11/23HDetroit93-61
07/11/23HIllinois (Chi.)69-58
23/03/23AUtah Valley State68-74
18/03/23AHofstra79-65
16/03/23HVirginia Tech81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL36%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game71.578.763.0
Allowed / game70.670.870.4
Point differential+0.9+7.8-7.4
Avg total142.2149.5133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cincinnati
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.387.586.0
Allowed / game65.062.381.0
Point differential+22.3+25.2+5.0
Avg total152.3149.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn109190%87.463.2+24.2
2 Creighton98189%86.863.4+23.3
3 Butler108280%83.670.1+13.5
4 Marquette97278%80.066.8+13.2
5 Providence97278%74.364.6+9.8
6 St. John's (N.Y.)86275%80.469.1+11.2
7 Seton Hall85362%75.868.1+7.6
8 Villanova106460%74.065.6+8.4
9 Georgetown95456%77.873.7+4.1
10 Xavier114736%71.570.6+0.9
11 DePaul92722%71.078.6-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brigham Young880100%91.959.0+32.9
2 Arizona880100%94.063.9+30.1
3 Houston10100100%76.449.7+26.7
4 Baylor990100%91.167.6+23.6
5 Cincinnati770100%87.365.0+22.3
6 Kansas109190%79.965.1+14.8
7 TCU87188%88.567.1+21.4
8 Kansas State108280%80.972.5+8.4
9 Iowa State97278%83.759.6+24.1
10 Colorado86275%83.869.6+14.1
11 UCF Knights86275%79.267.4+11.9
12 Utah Utes86275%81.672.4+9.2
13 Texas Tech86275%74.865.6+9.1
14 Arizona State86275%68.466.5+1.9
15 West Virginia94544%64.265.8-1.6
16 Oklahoma State83538%74.168.5+5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Xavier354984
Cincinnati275279
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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