Xavier vs Oakland Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 76-78

42-43 34-35

Position#245

Record4-4

FormLLLWW

Points / game71.4

Allowed / game68.2

Xavier

Oakland 🏆

Position#76

Record3-3

FormLWLWW

Points / game72.7

Allowed / game71.7

NCAA

Other2023-24

Meetings · Xavier v Oakland

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Oakland winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Xavier

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pittsburgh

#72

84-73

+11

H19/03

NCAA

Texas

#34

71-83

-12

A25/03

NCAA

Robert Morris

#323

77-63

+14

H07/11

NCAA

Alcorn State

#268

62-70

-8

A09/11

NCAA

Jacksonville

#46

79-56

+23

H10/11

NCAA

Purdue

71-83

-12

A14/11

NCAA

Southern Miss

#211

45-76

-31

A16/11

NCAA

Washington

#181

71-74

-3

A18/11

NCAA

St. Marys (CA)

#24

66-49

+17

A20/11

NCAA

Bryant University

#126

100-75

100

+25

H24/11

NCAA

48-34

36-39

25-42

46-41

39-33

38-30

29-31

33-39

37-26

42-30

29-37

42-46

20-41

25-35

37-30

34-44

28-18

38-31

49-25

51-50

142.8Avg total

72.6Scored

70.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	71.4	68.2	139.6	+3.1	50%
Season at home (3)	85.3	64.7	150.0	+20.7	100%
Season away (5)	63.0	70.4	133.4	-7.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	72.6	70.2	142.8	+2.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	70.6	71.4	142.0	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.5	66.8	141.2	+7.8	75%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	76.2	74.0	150.2	+2.2	62%
vs Weaker (10)	79.2	72.7	151.9	+6.5	60%

This opponent (Oakland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Oakland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Detroit

#262

74-96

-22

H18/02

NCAA

Wright State

#160

75-68

H24/02

NCAA

Northern Kentucky

#98

69-78

-9

H25/02

NCAA

Northern Kentucky

#98

74-81

-7

A03/03

NCAA

Ohio State

#123

73-79

-6

A07/11

NCAA

Illinois

#27

53-64

-11

A11/11

NCAA

Bowling Green

#127

81-62

+19

H15/11

NCAA

Drake

#15

77-85

-8

H19/11

NCAA

Loyola Marymount

#293

74-69

A20/11

NCAA

Marshall

#289

78-71

H21/11

NCAA

34-47

40-49

30-32

45-36

38-29

31-49

32-41

42-40

35-34

38-45

27-28

26-36

38-28

43-34

36-37

41-48

44-35

30-34

30-29

48-42

148.1Avg total

72.8Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	72.7	71.7	144.3	+1.0	50%
Season at home (3)	78.7	72.7	151.3	+6.0	67%
Season away (3)	66.7	70.7	137.3	-4.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	75.3	148.1	-2.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	70.2	142.8	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	70.5	76.4	146.8	-5.9	32%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	76.0	70.0	146.0	+6.0	67%
vs Weaker (5)	77.2	68.2	145.4	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

XavierOakland

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pittsburgh

#72

48-34

+14

H19/03

NCAA

Texas

#34

25-42

-17

A25/03

NCAA

Robert Morris

#323

39-33

H07/11

NCAA

Alcorn State

#268

29-31

-2

A09/11

NCAA

Jacksonville

#46

37-26

+11

H10/11

NCAA

Purdue

29-37

-8

A14/11

NCAA

Southern Miss

#211

20-41

-21

A16/11

NCAA

Washington

#181

37-30

A18/11

NCAA

St. Marys (CA)

#24

28-18

+10

A20/11

NCAA

Bryant University

#126

49-25

+24

H24/11

NCAA

65.8Avg total

34.1Scored

31.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	33.8	70.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	34.5	76.7	+7.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	31.2	33.1	64.3	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	31.7	65.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	30.2	62.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.2	26.2	59.5	+7.0	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	36.7	35.3	72.0	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.1	34.4	72.5	+3.7	60%	-

This opponent (Oakland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OaklandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Detroit

#262

34-47

-13

H18/02

NCAA

Wright State

#160

30-32

-2

H24/02

NCAA

Northern Kentucky

#98

38-29

H25/02

NCAA

Northern Kentucky

#98

32-41

-9

A03/03

NCAA

Ohio State

#123

35-34

A07/11

NCAA

Illinois

#27

27-28

-1

A11/11

NCAA

Bowling Green

#127

38-28

+10

H15/11

NCAA

Drake

#15

36-37

-1

H19/11

NCAA

Loyola Marymount

#293

44-35

A20/11

NCAA

Marshall

#289

30-29

H21/11

NCAA

68.4Avg total

34.4Scored

34.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.7	34.6	68.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.5	35.2	69.8	-0.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.0	34.1	67.1	-1.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	34.0	68.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	31.4	66.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	32.5	36.0	68.5	-3.4	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	39.0	32.3	71.3	+6.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (5)	35.4	30.0	65.4	+5.4	100%	-

This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	38.6	78.5	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	36.7	77.3	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	40.5	79.7	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	38.5	77.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.2	79.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.2	40.5	81.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.9	38.2	77.2	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.1	38.3	79.4	+2.8	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	38.8	76.3	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.1	40.2	82.3	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.0	37.7	71.7	-3.7	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	41.3	79.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	38.8	76.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	37.3	39.5	76.8	-2.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	37.0	37.7	74.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.8	36.4	75.2	+2.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Xavier wins

Oakland wins

Date	Game	Score
25/11/20	Xavier v Oakland	101-49

Xavierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/23	H	Bryant University	100-75
20/11/23	A	St. Marys (CA)	66-49
18/11/23	A	Washington	71-74
16/11/23	A	Southern Miss	45-76
14/11/23	A	Purdue	71-83
10/11/23	H	Jacksonville	79-56
09/11/23	A	Alcorn State	62-70
07/11/23	H	Robert Morris	77-63
25/03/23	A	Texas	71-83
19/03/23	H	Pittsburgh	84-73

Oaklandlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/11/23	H	Marshall	78-71
20/11/23	A	Loyola Marymount	74-69
19/11/23	H	Drake	77-85
15/11/23	H	Bowling Green	81-62
11/11/23	A	Illinois	53-64
07/11/23	A	Ohio State	73-79
03/03/23	A	Northern Kentucky	74-81
25/02/23	H	Northern Kentucky	69-78
24/02/23	H	Wright State	75-68
18/02/23	H	Detroit	74-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier

NCAA 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	50%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	50%	100%	20%
Points / game	71.4	85.3	63.0
Allowed / game	68.2	64.7	70.4
Point differential	+3.1	+20.7	-7.4
Avg total	139.6	150.0	133.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Oakland

NCAA 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	50%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	72.7	78.7	66.7
Allowed / game	71.7	72.7	70.7
Point differential	+1.0	+6.0	-4.0
Avg total	144.3	151.3	137.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Uconn	6	6	0	100%	89.5	60.0	+29.5
2	Villanova	7	6	1	86%	78.4	64.1	+14.3
3	Creighton	6	5	1	83%	84.0	63.7	+20.3
4	Marquette	6	5	1	83%	79.5	67.5	+12.0
5	Providence	6	5	1	83%	74.7	64.7	+10.0
6	Butler	7	5	2	71%	80.6	65.3	+15.3
7	Seton Hall	6	4	2	67%	76.3	65.3	+11.0
8	St. John's (N.Y.)	6	4	2	67%	79.8	71.7	+8.2
9	Georgetown	6	4	2	67%	80.0	72.0	+8.0
10	Xavier	8	4	4	50%	71.4	68.2	+3.1
11	DePaul	6	1	5	17%	70.0	75.2	-5.2

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Horizon League conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	IPFW	7	6	1	86%	89.0	65.7	+23.3
2	Cleveland State	7	5	2	71%	78.9	65.3	+13.6
3	Youngstown State	6	3	3	50%	74.3	72.8	+1.5
4	Oakland	6	3	3	50%	72.7	71.7	+1.0
5	Northern Kentucky	6	3	3	50%	72.5	74.0	-1.5
6	Wisc. Green Bay	6	3	3	50%	60.2	63.8	-3.7
7	Wisc. Milwaukee	7	3	4	43%	76.6	78.3	-1.7
8	IUPUI	7	3	4	43%	66.4	74.1	-7.7
9	Robert Morris	6	2	4	33%	70.2	72.8	-2.7
10	Wright State	6	2	4	33%	79.2	81.8	-2.7
11	Detroit	6	0	6	0%	63.5	80.8	-17.3