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Xavier vs Cincinnati Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 79-74
37-37 42-37
Position#248
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game72.8
Xavier 🏆
USA
vs
Position#161
Record6-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Xavier v Cincinnati
05 Dec 2025
XAVI79
CINC74
09 Dec 2023
XAVI84
CINC79
11 Dec 2021
XAVI83
CINC63
07 Dec 2019
XAVI73
CINC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cincinnati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A22/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H04/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
68-87
68
87
-19
H11/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A15/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H22/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H28/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-40
38-46
29-19
37-43
43-36
31-33
20-39
48-48
29-45
33-36
51-29
48-40
41-53
36-25
36-28
42-40
43-33
45-34
44-33
52-41
152.2Avg total
78.1Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.772.8151.4+5.967%
Season at home (8)80.871.8152.5+9.075%
Season away (1)62.081.0143.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)78.174.1152.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)87.671.2158.8+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.875.5148.2-2.838%
vs Similar (13)76.073.1149.1+2.962%
vs Weaker (9)84.370.4154.8+13.9100%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#233
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
56-76
56
76
-20
A12/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H16/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H21/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-26
49-42
24-33
32-43
49-28
45-35
39-30
35-34
33-26
41-36
30-36
42-19
32-28
32-46
42-28
52-39
23-36
33-28
31-29
45-29
139.8Avg total
74.7Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.563.4138.9+12.175%
Season at home (8)75.563.4138.9+12.175%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.765.1139.8+9.670%
Last 5 (5)72.463.6136.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.075.4141.4-9.412%
vs Similar (10)60.764.4125.1-3.730%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.965.4142.3+11.583%
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +5.5+5.5
XavierCincinnati
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A22/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
29-19
29
19
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H11/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A15/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H22/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H28/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H02/12
NCAA
72.6Avg total
37.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.471.2+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.833.272.1+5.672%-
Last 30 away (12)36.433.670.0+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.572.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.278.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.436.070.4-1.650%-
vs Similar (13)36.733.970.6+2.846%-
vs Weaker (9)42.730.272.9+12.4100%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#233
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A11/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H16/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H21/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H25/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H02/12
NCAA
64.1Avg total
34.1Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.532.164.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.631.064.6+2.667%-
Last 30 away (12)30.833.864.5-3.025%-
Last 10 (10)34.130.064.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.463.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.836.066.8-5.212%-
vs Similar (10)29.930.960.8-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)35.830.566.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Xavier wins
1
Cincinnati wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Cincinnati v Xavier68-65
09/12/23Xavier v Cincinnati84-79
10/12/22Cincinnati v Xavier77-80
12/12/21Xavier v Cincinnati83-63
06/12/20Cincinnati v Xavier69-77
07/12/19Xavier v Cincinnati73-66
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25HSt. Francis (PA)96-74
28/11/25HTexas A&M-CC88-67
23/11/25HWest Virginia78-68
22/11/25HGeorgia77-78
19/11/25HOld Dominion99-69
15/11/25AIowa62-81
11/11/25HSanta Clara68-87
07/11/25HLe Moyne74-69
04/11/25HMarist66-62
22/03/25AIllinois73-86
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/25HTarleton76-58
27/11/25HEastern Michigan56-64
25/11/25HNJIT94-67
21/11/25HLouisville64-74
16/11/25HMount St. Mary's72-55
12/11/25HDayton74-62
08/11/25HGeorgia State74-64
04/11/25HWestern Carolina94-63
12/03/25AIowa State56-76
11/03/25AOklahoma State87-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %67%75%0%
Points / game78.780.862.0
Allowed / game72.871.881.0
Point differential+5.9+9.0-19.0
Avg total151.4152.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cincinnati
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWLWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games88-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game75.575.5-
Allowed / game63.463.4-
Point differential+12.1+12.1-
Avg total138.9138.9-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Seton Hall98189%75.961.3+14.6
2 Uconn87188%79.860.6+19.1
3 Butler87188%90.071.6+18.4
4 Villanova76186%82.066.9+15.1
5 Georgetown86275%80.674.0+6.6
6 Xavier96367%78.772.8+5.9
7 DePaul85362%77.870.9+6.9
8 Creighton85362%77.571.5+6.0
9 St. John's (N.Y.)74357%92.376.4+15.9
10 Marquette95456%81.474.2+7.2
11 Providence95456%90.483.7+6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona770100%87.367.0+20.3
2 Oklahoma State880100%92.276.2+16.0
3 Colorado880100%88.876.9+11.9
4 Iowa State87188%94.267.4+26.9
5 Brigham Young87188%85.268.0+17.2
6 Houston87188%74.959.1+15.8
7 UCF Knights87188%88.276.9+11.4
8 Baylor76186%90.181.4+8.7
9 West Virginia97278%73.356.6+16.8
10 Cincinnati86275%75.563.4+12.1
11 Texas Tech86275%81.471.5+9.9
12 Arizona State86275%80.976.6+4.2
13 TCU75271%79.765.9+13.9
14 Kansas96367%74.064.1+9.9
15 Utah Utes96367%80.378.0+2.3
16 Kansas State85362%86.580.6+5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Xavier374279
Cincinnati373774
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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