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Xinjiang vs Shandong Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#15
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game96.5
ChinaCBARound 24· Hongshan Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Xinjiang v Shandong
09 Jan 2027
XINJ v SHAN
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
XINJ82
SHAN102
01 Jan 2025
XINJ107
SHAN111
20 Dec 2024
XINJ126
SHAN123
07 Mar 2024
XINJ130
SHAN121
24 Dec 2023
XINJ99
SHAN89
21 Dec 2022
XINJ81
SHAN110
30 Oct 2021
XINJ96
SHAN106
18 Apr 2021
XINJ101
SHAN105
11 Apr 2021
XINJ98
SHAN114
02 Dec 2020
XINJ111
SHAN94
15 Dec 2019
XINJ107
SHAN116
06 Nov 2018
XINJ118
SHAN111
05 Dec 2017
XINJ114
SHAN111
01 Mar 2017
XINJ102
SHAN93
26 Feb 2017
XINJ119
SHAN104
17 Feb 2017
XINJ118
SHAN85
29 Nov 2015
XINJ103
SHAN81
25 Jan 2015
XINJ150
SHAN119
20 Dec 2013
XINJ85
SHAN82
16 Dec 2012
XINJ97
SHAN86
09 Dec 2011
XINJ92
SHAN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xinjiang win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shandong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Xinjiang
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.9
87.2▲ 1.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.9
88.6▲ 2.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
58%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.4
22.6▲ 2.2
🔥 Form · Shandong
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 91.5
93.6▲ 2.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 90.2
96.8▲ 6.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
59%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.9
17.8▼ 2.1
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H15/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
86-111
86
111
-25
H17/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
109-75
109
75
+34
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
107-92
107
92
+15
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-33
13-25
22-21
22-25
20-26
18-22
23-28
25-35
32-19
28-17
31-24
18-15
26-29
18-22
12-27
28-16
29-24
21-23
19-24
13-9
26-29
28-25
21-16
32-22
18-21
21-28
20-29
24-11
25-30
25-25
22-22
15-21
19-22
17-22
24-18
15-19
36-20
14-27
19-17
15-19
180.0Avg total
89.3Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.387.2173.5-0.850%
Season at home (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Season away (2)85.093.5178.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)89.390.7180.0-1.440%
Last 5 (5)87.288.6175.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.195.7178.8-12.69%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.986.9174.8+0.943%
vs Weaker (5)89.279.8169.0+9.460%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#9
W
102-86
102
86
+16
A01/05
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H03/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
106-97
106
97
+9
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
105-93
105
93
+12
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
90-102
90
102
-12
A29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
29-28
20-13
24-24
28-22
27-22
26-6
17-32
25-30
20-19
17-17
17-18
12-29
20-29
17-20
19-18
13-27
31-26
23-21
17-21
20-28
13-16
12-26
30-19
22-25
26-23
26-17
32-32
31-25
22-19
20-25
32-24
15-25
22-30
34-26
21-22
26-22
29-29
19-26
16-25
182.6Avg total
89.9Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.096.5188.5-4.533%
Season at home (3)93.797.0190.7-3.333%
Season away (3)90.396.0186.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)89.992.7182.6-2.840%
Last 5 (5)93.696.8190.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.597.0181.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.488.5175.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (8)105.892.5198.2+13.288%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
XinjiangShandong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H15/04
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H17/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#9
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/10
CBA
96.2Avg total
47.3Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.648.292.8-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.347.993.2-2.633%-
Last 30 away (12)43.648.692.2-5.017%-
Last 10 (10)47.348.996.2-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.849.895.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.051.294.2-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.947.592.4-2.643%-
vs Weaker (5)47.443.490.8+4.040%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#9
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A01/05
CBA
Liaoning
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H03/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A29/10
CBA
95.5Avg total
46.0Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.249.696.8-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.749.095.7-2.344%-
Last 30 away (14)47.850.298.0-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)46.049.595.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.248.493.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.852.995.7-10.110%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.548.896.2-1.242%-
vs Weaker (8)52.246.698.9+5.675%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.9
57.4%
53.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.6
34.4%
34.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.414.7
72.1%
74.8%14.7
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.9
52.8%
53.6%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
74.8%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Xinjiang
WLLLWWLWLL
Shandong
LLWWLLLLWW
#11
League position
#15
-1.6
Net rating
-2.8
101.7
Offensive rating
96.8
103.3
Defensive rating
99.6
55.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
11.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
33.9%
67.4%
Assist %
58.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 96.8Defence103.3 · 99.6Shooting55.0% · 52.1%3-point %34.4% · 33.9%Ball care11.4% · 14.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Xinjiang   ■ Shandong
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Xinjiang wins
4
Shandong wins
DateGameScore
25/03/26Xinjiang v Shandong82-102
02/01/26Shandong v Xinjiang100-85
26/03/25Shandong v Xinjiang116-79
01/01/25Xinjiang v Shandong107-111
20/12/24Xinjiang v Shandong126-123
30/10/24Shandong v Xinjiang87-105
07/03/24Xinjiang v Shandong130-121
27/01/24Shandong v Xinjiang98-102
24/12/23Xinjiang v Shandong99-89
07/01/23Shandong v Xinjiang95-100
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HNanjing Tongxi84-83
27/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou75-81
25/10/26ALiaoning87-98
22/10/26AJilin83-89
20/10/26HTianjin107-92
17/10/26HQingdao82-80
24/04/26AQingdao84-94
19/04/26HNanjing Tongxi109-75
17/04/26HShanghai86-111
15/04/26HShenzhen96-104
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AFujian90-102
27/10/26HBeijing92-103
25/10/26HTianjin105-93
23/10/26ANanjing Tongxi106-97
21/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou75-89
18/10/26HLiaoning84-95
09/05/26HShanghai68-96
06/05/26AShanghai79-84
03/05/26HLiaoning98-82
01/05/26ALiaoning102-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xinjiang
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game86.387.085.0
Allowed / game87.284.093.5
Point differential-0.8+3.0-8.5
Avg total173.5171.0178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shandong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game92.093.790.3
Allowed / game96.597.096.0
Point differential-4.5-3.3-5.7
Avg total188.5190.7186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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