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Shandong vs Xinjiang Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 116-79
26-25 31-23 30-17 29-14
Position#6
Record31-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.8
Allowed / game99.0
Shandong 🏆
China
vs
Xinjiang
China
Position#5
Record30-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game101.7
ChinaCBARound 45· Shandong Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shandong v Xinjiang
02 Jan 2026
SHAN100
XINJ85
26 Mar 2025
SHAN116
XINJ79
30 Oct 2024
SHAN87
XINJ105
27 Jan 2024
SHAN98
XINJ102
07 Jan 2023
SHAN95
XINJ100
23 Oct 2022
SHAN105
XINJ92
18 Jan 2022
SHAN89
XINJ103
28 Mar 2021
SHAN112
XINJ106
28 Oct 2020
SHAN97
XINJ99
17 Jul 2020
SHAN94
XINJ107
15 Jan 2019
SHAN126
XINJ109
25 Jan 2018
SHAN116
XINJ105
03 Mar 2017
SHAN102
XINJ108
24 Feb 2017
SHAN95
XINJ78
16 Dec 2016
SHAN106
XINJ120
06 Jan 2016
SHAN110
XINJ100
07 Dec 2014
SHAN88
XINJ112
12 Feb 2014
SHAN103
XINJ93
25 Jan 2013
SHAN96
XINJ93
18 Jan 2012
SHAN104
XINJ98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Beijing
#5
L
68-88
68
88
-20
no box
H10/02
CBA Club Cup
Beijing
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
82avg 99
A05/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
118-114
118
114
+4
112avg 99
A08/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
83-102
83
102
-19
66avg 99
A10/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
119-120
119
120
-1
112avg 99
H13/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
111-100
111
100
+11
111avg 99
A15/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
106-98
106
98
+8
103avg 99
A17/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
98-77
98
77
+21
99avg 99
H19/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
102-83
102
83
+19
122avg 99
H21/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
105-80
105
80
+25
100avg 99
A24/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
17-23
18-26
14-24
35-28
18-28
23-27
18-20
26-31
38-24
27-29
27-30
28-28
19-20
16-26
20-28
26-26
26-25
35-37
32-32
30-34
32-27
22-28
27-11
24-22
27-25
39-29
16-22
19-24
34-15
21-15
24-23
27-27
35-16
15-19
25-21
18-19
24-26
32-18
31-17
196.9Avg total
100.4Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)104.899.0203.8+5.870%
Season at home (22)107.397.8205.0+9.582%
Season away (22)102.4100.3202.6+2.159%
Last 10 (10)100.496.5196.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)104.487.6192.0+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)98.7101.4200.1-2.750%
vs Weaker (16)108.393.8202.1+14.688%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
H15/02
CBA Club Cup
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
110-103
110
103
+7
98avg 104
A05/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
101-79
101
79
+22
94avg 104
A08/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
87-106
87
106
-19
76avg 104
H10/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
118-102
118
102
+16
120avg 104
H12/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
104-103
104
103
+1
103avg 104
A14/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
116-80
116
80
+36
123avg 104
A16/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
103-116
103
116
-13
97avg 104
A18/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
115-86
115
86
+29
124avg 104
H22/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
82-106
82
106
-24
72avg 104
A24/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
26-25
19-22
19-29
33-23
26-35
24-16
27-29
34-18
29-14
19-23
19-24
18-29
18-28
23-25
28-24
28-32
31-15
29-27
30-28
30-22
20-25
22-29
32-27
35-21
25-24
23-25
33-10
18-29
31-40
29-26
25-21
34-19
25-27
29-23
27-17
28-31
26-29
20-24
8-22
198.6Avg total
101.6Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)109.6101.7211.3+7.970%
Season at home (22)115.6103.5219.2+12.186%
Season away (21)103.399.9203.1+3.452%
Last 10 (10)101.697.0198.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)104.098.2202.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)103.6104.3207.9-0.650%
vs Weaker (15)110.498.1208.5+12.380%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.7+1.7
ShandongXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H10/02
CBA Club Cup
Beijing
#3
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A05/03
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A08/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A10/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H13/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A15/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A17/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H19/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H21/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A24/03
CBA
100.5Avg total
52.2Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.749.4103.1+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.845.298.0+7.673%-
Last 30 away (15)54.653.7108.3+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)52.248.3100.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)54.047.0101.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)50.351.9102.2-1.643%-
vs Weaker (16)56.747.2103.9+9.488%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/02
CBA Club Cup
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A05/03
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
63-32
63
32
+31
A08/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
36-57
36
57
-21
H10/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H12/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A14/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A16/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A18/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H22/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A24/03
CBA
103.0Avg total
53.1Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.651.9107.5+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.351.3106.7+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)55.952.4108.3+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)53.149.9103.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)54.453.4107.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.455.5109.9-1.136%-
vs Weaker (15)57.749.4107.1+8.387%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 102.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.226.6
49.1%
52.6%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.0
34.9%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws28.822.4
77.8%
76.3%22.4
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 102.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.927.8
54.6%
52.6%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.8
32.2%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.617.7
78.3%
76.3%17.7
They take 81.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
WWWWWLLWLL
Xinjiang
LWLWWWLWWL
#6
League position
#5
+5.3
Net rating
+4.1
108.9
Offensive rating
113.1
103.5
Defensive rating
109.0
50.1%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.9%
3-point %
32.2%
67.4%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 113.1Defence103.5 · 109.0Shooting50.1% · 52.3%3-point %34.9% · 32.2%Ball care17.4% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.2% · 31.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Shandong   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shandong wins
7
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
01/01/25Xinjiang v Shandong107-111
20/12/24Xinjiang v Shandong126-123
30/10/24Shandong v Xinjiang87-105
07/03/24Xinjiang v Shandong130-121
27/01/24Shandong v Xinjiang98-102
24/12/23Xinjiang v Shandong99-89
07/01/23Shandong v Xinjiang95-100
21/12/22Xinjiang v Shandong81-110
23/10/22Shandong v Xinjiang105-92
18/01/22Shandong v Xinjiang89-103
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/25ASichuan105-80
21/03/25HJiangsu Dragons102-83
19/03/25HGuangzhou98-77
17/03/25AJiangsu Dragons106-98
15/03/25AShenzhen111-100
13/03/25HShanxi Zhongyu119-120
10/03/25AShanghai83-102
08/03/25ABeijing Royal Fighters118-114
05/03/25ABeijing94-103
10/02/25HBeijing68-88
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/25AQingdao82-106
22/03/25HSichuan115-86
18/03/25AZhejiang Chouzhou103-116
16/03/25AGuangzhou116-80
14/03/25AFujian104-103
12/03/25HShenzhen118-102
10/03/25HGuangdong87-106
08/03/25AJiangsu Dragons101-79
05/03/25ANingbo Rockets110-103
15/02/25HShanghai80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayWLWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %70%82%59%
Points / game104.8107.3102.4
Allowed / game99.097.8100.3
Point differential+5.8+9.5+2.1
Avg total203.8205.0202.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)67% (3)75% (8)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %70%86%52%
Points / game109.6115.6103.3
Allowed / game101.7103.599.9
Point differential+7.9+12.1+3.4
Avg total211.3219.2203.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%59%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha4437784%103.893.2+10.6
2 Shanxi Zhongyu44321273%114.5108.7+5.8
3 Beijing44311370%103.596.6+6.9
4 Shandong44311370%104.899.0+5.8
5 Xinjiang43301370%109.6101.7+7.9
6 Liaoning44301468%106.699.8+6.9
7 Guangdong44291566%104.497.3+7.1
8 Qingdao44291566%105.2100.1+5.1
9 Zhejiang Chouzhou44281664%112.1104.8+7.3
10 Shanghai43271663%110.6103.1+7.5
11 Beijing Royal Fighters43261760%106.7102.3+4.4
12 Nanjing Tongxi44222250%106.6107.3-0.7
13 Shenzhen44162836%104.4107.3-3.0
14 Jilin44133130%102.5112.2-9.7
15 Tianjin44123227%102.3110.9-8.5
16 Guangzhou44113325%96.2106.9-10.6
17 Ningbo Rockets44103423%102.9114.0-11.1
18 Fujian4393421%105.0115.4-10.5
19 Sichuan4493520%99.1109.9-10.8
20 Jiangsu Dragons4463814%93.1103.1-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shandong26313029116
Xinjiang2523171479
← all games of the day
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