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Yambol vs Academic Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-77
27-17 20-22 16-16 22-22
Position#9
Record10-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game84.2
Yambol 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Academic Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Position#8
Record8-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.9
BulgariaNBLRound 3· Diana
Other2023-24
Meetings · Yambol v Academic Plovdiv
09 Mar 2024
YAMB85
ACAD77
29 Dec 2023
YAMB91
ACAD83
15 Mar 2023
YAMB85
ACAD90
24 Oct 2022
YAMB87
ACAD83
12 Dec 2021
YAMB72
ACAD93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Yambol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academic Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

YambolBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormYambol
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
L
80-104
80
104
-24
67avg 72
A10/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
66-100
66
100
-34
44avg 72
H14/01
NBL
Levski
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 72
H20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
67-80
67
80
-13
54avg 72
A24/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
67avg 72
H27/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
67-76
67
76
-9
54avg 72
A07/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 72
H10/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 72
A16/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
101-84
101
84
+17
106avg 72
H02/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 72
H06/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-27
17-24
12-30
21-23
23-26
12-20
13-36
18-18
24-14
17-25
20-15
20-19
18-15
19-25
21-22
9-18
24-16
20-15
13-29
15-15
16-30
20-11
13-18
18-17
26-26
14-19
19-26
16-16
19-27
20-23
14-19
27-10
27-28
23-17
24-16
27-23
24-17
21-14
18-20
18-17
159.6Avg total
77.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.284.2163.4-5.042%
Season at home (13)81.782.8164.5-1.154%
Season away (11)76.385.9162.2-9.627%
Last 10 (10)77.082.6159.6-5.640%
Last 5 (5)80.878.8159.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.584.9159.5-10.424%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.979.3164.2+5.678%
vs Weaker (4)86.092.2178.2-6.225%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
79avg 72
H06/01
NBL
Levski
#7
L
62-72
62
72
-10
54avg 72
A13/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
83avg 72
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
58avg 72
A20/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
90-72
90
72
+18
88avg 72
H27/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 72
A03/02
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
108-97
108
97
+11
102avg 72
H10/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
85-86
85
86
-1
78avg 72
A16/02
NBL
Levski
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
73avg 72
H02/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
89-85
89
85
+4
77avg 72
H06/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
16-17
20-28
21-15
17-20
15-12
13-23
17-17
21-15
26-21
20-33
19-11
13-23
16-25
21-18
13-24
24-15
26-17
25-20
15-20
26-23
17-23
22-27
20-20
32-23
24-32
39-24
13-18
22-26
24-23
24-20
15-17
22-21
25-25
20-24
15-21
25-21
13-24
28-12
23-28
167.6Avg total
83.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.584.9164.4-5.333%
Season at home (13)80.881.8162.6-1.154%
Season away (11)78.188.5166.5-10.49%
Last 10 (10)83.484.2167.6-0.850%
Last 5 (5)89.890.4180.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.483.6158.9-8.229%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.284.3164.5-4.233%
vs Weaker (4)91.889.2181.0+2.550%
This opponent (Yambol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
YambolAcademic Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
YambolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A10/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H14/01
NBL
Levski
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A24/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H27/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/02
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A16/02
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H02/03
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H06/03
NBL
83.3Avg total
41.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.285.2-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.242.885.0-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)39.645.885.4-6.221%-
Last 10 (10)41.441.983.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.484.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.845.584.2-6.724%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.740.182.8+2.656%-
vs Weaker (4)46.548.094.5-1.525%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/01
NBL
Levski
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A13/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H17/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A20/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H27/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A03/02
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H10/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A16/02
NBL
Levski
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H02/03
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H06/03
NBL
85.3Avg total
43.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.382.1-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.840.481.1+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)38.644.683.2-5.914%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.285.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.294.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.442.180.5-3.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.740.781.3+0.042%-
vs Weaker (4)42.048.090.0-6.050%-
This opponent (Yambol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Yamboltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Yambol: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.0
51.2%
54.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
31.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws14.110.5
74.5%
71.1%10.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.0
54.8%
54.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.9
35.7%
31.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.216.1
79.7%
71.1%16.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Yambol
WWWLLLLWLL
Academic Plovdiv
WLLWLWLWLW
#9
League position
#8
-6.3
Net rating
-0.5
97.8
Offensive rating
106.4
104.1
Defensive rating
106.9
49.5%
Effective FG%
54.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.0%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.2%
3-point %
35.7%
52.9%
Assist %
55.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 106.4Defence104.1 · 106.9Shooting49.5% · 54.3%3-point %31.2% · 35.7%Ball care18.5% · 19.0%Off. rebounds24.7% · 22.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Yambol   ■ Academic Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Yambol wins
5
Academic Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
29/12/23Yambol v Academic Plovdiv91-83
20/10/23Academic Plovdiv v Yambol89-96
15/03/23Yambol v Academic Plovdiv85-90
07/01/23Academic Plovdiv v Yambol79-71
24/10/22Yambol v Academic Plovdiv87-83
16/04/22Academic Plovdiv v Yambol113-88
29/01/22Academic Plovdiv v Yambol106-80
12/12/21Yambol v Academic Plovdiv72-93
Yambollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HMinyor81-68
02/03/24HBeroe101-84
16/02/24AShumen80-79
10/02/24HRilski Sportist75-87
07/02/24AMinyor67-76
27/01/24HBalkan72-75
24/01/24ASpartak Pleven67-80
20/01/24HLevski81-73
14/01/24HChernomorets66-100
10/01/24ABeroe80-104
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HShumen89-85
02/03/24HLevski82-91
16/02/24ABalkan85-86
10/02/24HCherno More108-97
03/02/24AChernomorets85-93
27/01/24HMinyor90-72
20/01/24ARilski Sportist63-90
17/01/24HBeroe86-80
13/01/24ALevski62-72
06/01/24HShumen84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Yambol
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW42%
HomeWLLWW54%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %42%54%27%
Points / game79.281.776.3
Allowed / game84.282.885.9
Point differential-5.0-1.1-9.6
Avg total163.4164.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeWWWLW54%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %33%54%9%
Points / game79.580.878.1
Allowed / game84.981.888.5
Point differential-5.3-1.1-10.4
Avg total164.4162.6166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2520580%84.575.2+9.3
2 Rilski Sportist2419579%83.675.1+8.5
3 Spartak Pleven2418675%88.378.8+9.5
4 Balkan2314961%81.978.4+3.5
5 CSKA Sofia24131154%84.880.0+4.9
6 Cherno More24111346%82.887.0-4.2
7 Yambol24101442%79.284.2-5.0
8 Shumen2481633%82.083.8-1.7
9 Levski2481633%74.277.4-3.2
10 Academic Plovdiv2481633%79.584.9-5.3
11 Beroe2481633%80.887.8-7.0
12 Minyor2471729%73.082.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Yambol2720162285
Academic Plovdiv1722162277
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