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Academic Plovdiv vs Beroe Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-80
21-15 26-21 20-33 19-11
Position#8
Record4-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game83.9
Academic Plovdiv 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Beroe
Bulgaria
Position#12
Record7-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.9
BulgariaNBLRound 17· Sila Sport Complex
Other2023-24
Meetings · Academic Plovdiv v Beroe
19 Oct 2025
ACAD67
BERO86
23 Dec 2024
ACAD79
BERO77
23 Apr 2024
ACAD125
BERO92
17 Jan 2024
ACAD86
BERO80
21 Dec 2022
ACAD92
BERO72
20 Oct 2021
ACAD74
BERO68
18 Oct 2021
ACAD84
BERO78
28 Jan 2021
ACAD89
BERO88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academic Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
69-65
69
65
+4
63avg 67
H20/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
73avg 67
A25/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
66-79
66
79
-13
48avg 67
H29/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
87-93
87
93
-6
74avg 67
A03/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
58avg 67
H09/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 67
H18/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
74-93
74
93
-19
73avg 67
A22/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
83-91
83
91
-8
84avg 67
A29/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
79avg 67
H06/01
NBL
Levski
#7
L
62-72
62
72
-10
54avg 67
A13/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
13-16
16-15
23-19
19-19
20-20
24-25
20-29
18-22
19-14
16-21
13-22
19-32
17-30
25-16
26-15
20-15
17-30
16-20
22-8
17-23
19-20
18-20
12-22
25-19
21-29
10-22
18-23
24-22
19-23
21-21
19-25
27-16
16-17
20-28
21-15
17-20
15-12
13-23
17-17
156.9Avg total
74.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.383.9160.2-7.625%
Season at home (8)74.479.9154.2-5.538%
Season away (8)78.288.0166.2-9.812%
Last 10 (10)74.982.0156.9-7.130%
Last 5 (5)73.883.4157.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.784.7159.4-9.933%
vs Similar (11)79.585.4164.9-5.827%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.084.2170.2+1.850%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Minyor
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
69avg 72
A19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
64avg 72
A25/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
75-74
75
74
+1
31avg 72
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
77avg 72
H02/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
86-99
86
99
-13
74avg 72
A09/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 72
A16/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 72
H23/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 72
A28/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
104-80
104
80
+24
112avg 72
H10/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
57avg 72
H13/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
20-27
16-21
12-26
26-27
6-29
26-21
18-17
21-15
20-15
14-24
20-20
17-21
19-19
22-23
21-18
20-27
25-29
23-16
18-27
18-23
17-23
17-17
22-23
23-22
20-19
19-23
28-21
17-17
14-17
19-11
18-22
27-30
24-17
30-12
23-21
16-19
23-27
12-23
19-13
164.1Avg total
80.1Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.983.9165.8-2.144%
Season at home (8)81.982.5164.4-0.650%
Season away (8)81.985.4167.2-3.538%
Last 10 (10)80.184.0164.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)81.280.0161.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.984.9163.8-6.040%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)79.265.2144.5+14.075%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Academic PlovdivBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H20/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/11
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H09/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A22/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/01
NBL
Levski
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A13/01
NBL
79.3Avg total
37.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.879.9-3.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.477.7-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.944.182.1-6.213%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.479.3-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.280.2-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.740.377.9-2.627%-
vs Similar (11)39.442.181.5-2.727%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.246.582.8-10.225%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A19/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A25/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H02/12
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H23/12
NBL
Levski
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H13/01
NBL
84.5Avg total
40.4Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)40.945.085.8-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.243.185.3-0.850%-
Last 30 away (15)39.746.586.2-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.184.5-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.882.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.945.185.0-5.233%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)56.043.599.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.2
51.1%
54.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.2
27.3%
31.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws18.813.3
70.7%
71.1%13.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.6
53.3%
54.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.7
32.6%
31.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.313.5
78.0%
71.1%13.5
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academic Plovdiv
LWLLLWLLLW
Beroe
LWWWLLLWLL
#8
League position
#12
-9.2
Net rating
-7.1
99.4
Offensive rating
104.4
108.6
Defensive rating
111.5
47.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.0%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.3%
3-point %
32.6%
59.5%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 104.4Defence108.6 · 111.5Shooting47.5% · 51.5%3-point %27.3% · 32.6%Ball care16.1% · 20.0%Off. rebounds26.3% · 30.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Academic Plovdiv   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Academic Plovdiv wins
6
Beroe wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Beroe v Academic Plovdiv87-86
05/03/23Beroe v Academic Plovdiv90-84
21/12/22Academic Plovdiv v Beroe92-72
10/10/22Beroe v Academic Plovdiv94-86
14/03/22Beroe v Academic Plovdiv95-87
13/01/22Beroe v Academic Plovdiv98-91
05/01/22Beroe v Academic Plovdiv91-87
20/10/21Academic Plovdiv v Beroe74-68
18/10/21Academic Plovdiv v Beroe84-78
27/04/21Beroe v Academic Plovdiv62-66
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ALevski62-72
06/01/24HShumen84-76
29/12/23AYambol83-91
22/12/23ACSKA Sofia74-93
18/12/23HSpartak Pleven66-85
09/12/23HBalkan75-73
03/12/23ACherno More87-93
29/11/23HChernomorets66-79
25/11/23AMinyor83-93
20/11/23HRilski Sportist69-65
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HRilski Sportist70-82
10/01/24HYambol104-80
28/12/23ALevski68-67
23/12/23HShumen90-85
16/12/23AChernomorets74-86
09/12/23ACSKA Sofia86-99
02/12/23HSpartak Pleven79-81
29/11/23HBalkan75-74
25/11/23ACherno More76-94
19/11/23AMinyor79-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLWLW38%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game76.374.478.2
Allowed / game83.979.988.0
Point differential-7.6-5.5-9.8
Avg total160.2154.2166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beroe
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL44%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game81.981.981.9
Allowed / game83.982.585.4
Point differential-2.1-0.6-3.5
Avg total165.8164.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1614288%85.272.3+12.9
2 CSKA Sofia1612475%86.677.1+9.6
3 Rilski Sportist1611569%81.174.1+7.0
4 Spartak Pleven1611569%85.979.6+6.4
5 Balkan168850%80.479.6+0.8
6 Beroe167944%81.983.9-2.1
7 Cherno More167944%80.784.9-4.2
8 Yambol1661038%79.887.4-7.6
9 Minyor1661038%75.184.4-9.2
10 Shumen1761135%81.983.9-2.0
11 Levski1751229%73.877.2-3.5
12 Academic Plovdiv1641225%76.383.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academic Plovdiv2126201986
Beroe1521331180
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