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Zielona Gora vs Rosa Radom Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 15:45
Final 86-94 (OT)
17-20 28-19 15-26 19-14 7-15
Position#4
Record22-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#5
Record20-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.8
PolandEnerga Basket LigaEnerga Basket Liga - Quarter-finals
Other2017-18
Meetings · Zielona Gora v Rosa Radom
28 Apr 2018
ZGO86
ROSA94
26 Apr 2018
ZGO104
ROSA97
09 Mar 2018
ZGO88
ROSA91
30 Apr 2017
ZGO85
ROSA86
28 May 2016
ZGO70
ROSA51
26 May 2016
ZGO86
ROSA80
10 Apr 2016
ZGO88
ROSA64
17 May 2015
ZGO75
ROSA67
15 May 2015
ZGO79
ROSA64
28 Dec 2014
ZGO73
ROSA59
27 Apr 2014
ZGO101
ROSA82
25 Jan 2014
ZGO91
ROSA89
02 Mar 2013
ZGO96
ROSA100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rosa Radom winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#16
W
100-89
100
89
+11
H22/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H25/03
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#8
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H31/03
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#15
W
97-95
97
95
+2
A09/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#10
W
103-100
103
100
+3
H11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Turow Zgorzelec
#11
L
104-106
104
106
-2
A14/04
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A19/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A22/04
Energa Basket Liga
Rosa Radom
#5
W
104-97
104
97
+7
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
26-26
29-20
26-18
25-23
19-20
20-30
22-20
20-22
25-15
28-16
21-19
26-10
15-22
9-25
20-21
33-23
21-26
22-23
21-23
20-24
30-24
30-30
23-22
32-22
23-22
22-32
27-30
20-13
15-20
14-18
21-6
22-14
25-19
9-22
18-28
24-25
22-21
25-21
33-30
177.2Avg total
90.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.178.8165.0+7.367%
Season at home (17)91.079.1170.1+11.982%
Season away (16)80.978.6159.5+2.450%
Last 10 (10)90.287.0177.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)91.088.6179.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.782.2158.8-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.179.7166.8+7.460%
vs Weaker (13)86.880.6167.5+6.269%
This opponent (Rosa Radom) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rosa RadomPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#6
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H18/03
Energa Basket Liga
Koszalin
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A21/03
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#15
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H25/03
Energa Basket Liga
Polpharma Starogard
#12
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H28/03
Energa Basket Liga
Turow Zgorzelec
#11
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#17
W
20-0
20
0
+20
A14/04
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#16
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#9
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H22/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#4
L
97-104
97
104
-7
A26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
27-17
20-17
19-15
23-23
20-23
28-22
21-17
25-19
30-15
23-30
14-16
19-20
35-8
10-18
19-16
20-16
17-20
26-21
17-26
–
–
–
–
20-20
19-18
9-19
24-13
23-24
30-29
17-14
28-22
18-12
19-27
19-16
33-19
25-24
21-22
21-25
30-33
154.1Avg total
81.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.579.8163.4+3.761%
Season at home (16)84.676.3160.9+8.375%
Season away (17)82.583.2165.6-0.747%
Last 10 (10)81.872.3154.1+9.580%
Last 5 (5)75.267.4142.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.575.5147.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.785.4173.1+2.353%
vs Weaker (13)81.875.8157.5+6.069%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
Zielona GoraRosa Radom
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H25/03
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H31/03
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#15
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A09/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Turow Zgorzelec
#11
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A14/04
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A19/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#3
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A22/04
Energa Basket Liga
Rosa Radom
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
87.8Avg total
46.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.041.785.7+2.366%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.442.488.8+3.971%-
Last 30 away (12)40.740.881.4-0.158%-
Last 10 (10)46.241.687.8+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.887.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.341.880.2-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.239.583.7+4.770%-
vs Weaker (12)45.844.590.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Rosa Radom) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rosa RadomLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#6
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H18/03
Energa Basket Liga
Koszalin
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A21/03
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#15
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H25/03
Energa Basket Liga
Polpharma Starogard
#12
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H28/03
Energa Basket Liga
Turow Zgorzelec
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A07/04
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#16
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A26/04
Energa Basket Liga
87.1Avg total
46.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.641.485.0+2.252%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.339.784.0+4.657%-
Last 30 away (15)43.042.985.9+0.147%-
Last 10 (9)46.740.487.1+6.256%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.484.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.535.567.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.942.787.5+2.253%-
vs Weaker (12)44.140.884.8+3.350%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zielona Gora wins
2
Rosa Radom wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/18HRosa Radom104-97
22/04/18ATorun74-83
19/04/18AAnwil Wloclawek70-57
14/04/18ATurow Zgorzelec104-106
11/04/18HSzczecin103-100
09/04/18AKrosno97-95
07/04/18AOstrow Wielkopolski70-78
31/03/18HLublin94-72
25/03/18HGdynia86-93
22/03/18HLegia100-89
Rosa Radomlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/18AZielona Gora97-104
22/04/18HGdynia89-74
18/04/18ALegia98-89
15/04/18HLublin72-70
14/04/18ACzarni Slupsk20-0
07/04/18ATurow Zgorzelec80-83
28/03/18HPolpharma Starogard83-62
25/03/18HKrosno92-80
21/03/18AKoszalin92-85
18/03/18HDabrowa Gornicza95-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game86.191.080.9
Allowed / game78.879.178.6
Point differential+7.3+11.9+2.4
Avg total165.0170.1159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%59%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (4)29% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Rosa Radom
Energa Basket Liga 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %61%75%47%
Points / game83.584.682.5
Allowed / game79.876.383.2
Point differential+3.7+8.3-0.7
Avg total163.4160.9165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%62%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek3325876%85.474.0+11.4
2 Torun3324973%85.275.7+9.5
3 Ostrow Wielkopolski3324973%80.773.4+7.4
4 Zielona Gora33221167%86.178.8+7.3
5 Dabrowa Gornicza33201361%82.277.6+4.7
6 Rosa Radom33201361%83.579.8+3.7
7 Szczecin33181555%82.680.6+2.0
8 Turow Zgorzelec33181555%84.884.6+0.2
9 Trefl Sopot32171553%80.278.7+1.5
10 Lublin32171553%81.880.9+1.0
11 Gdynia32171553%81.582.8-1.3
12 Polpharma Starogard32151747%78.980.5-1.6
13 Koszalin32112134%78.386.1-7.8
14 GTK Gliwice32102231%79.686.1-6.5
15 Krosno3282425%77.584.7-7.2
16 Legia3252716%76.588.2-11.7
17 Czarni Slupsk3252716%45.759.6-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Zielona Gora17281519786
Rosa Radom201926141594
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