Torun vs Zielona Gora Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 15:45

Final 83-74

14-22 19-25 22-9 28-18

Position#3

Record22-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.4

Allowed / game75.9

Torun 🏆

Zielona Gora

Position#4

Record21-10

FormLWWLW

Points / game85.9

Allowed / game78.1

Energa Basket LigaRound 30

Other2017-18

Meetings · Torun v Zielona Gora

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zielona Gora winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Torun

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Czarni Slupsk

#17

20-0

+20

H04/03

Energa Basket Liga

Legia

#16

98-59

+39

H09/03

Energa Basket Liga

Rosa Radom

72-78

-6

H14/03

Energa Basket Liga

Lublin

63-77

-14

A17/03

Energa Basket Liga

Ostrow Wielkopolski

65-83

-18

H22/03

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#14

117-65

117

+52

H25/03

Energa Basket Liga

Szczecin

#10

89-77

+12

A28/03

Energa Basket Liga

Anwil Wloclawek

89-80

H02/04

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

87-69

+18

A08/04

Energa Basket Liga

Trefl Sopot

105-75

105

+30

H18/04

Energa Basket Liga

–

30-13

26-19

26-13

16-14

23-15

11-26

21-18

17-19

19-14

12-19

11-27

21-17

18-15

19-22

17-24

11-22

21-14

29-17

30-19

37-15

20-24

22-15

17-13

30-25

15-15

18-19

25-26

31-20

21-16

18-21

21-16

27-16

22-18

28-20

33-19

146.8Avg total

80.5Scored

66.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	85.4	75.9	161.3	+9.5	71%
Season at home (15)	88.7	73.4	162.1	+15.3	87%
Season away (16)	82.3	78.2	160.6	+4.1	56%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	66.3	146.8	+14.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	97.4	73.2	170.6	+24.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	88.0	80.0	168.0	+8.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	74.8	84.0	158.8	-9.2	20%
vs Weaker (23)	87.3	73.9	161.1	+13.4	83%

This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zielona Gora Poland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Czarni Slupsk

#17

20-0

+20

H18/03

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#14

88-65

+23

A18/03

Energa Basket Liga

Legia

#16

100-89

100

+11

H22/03

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

86-93

-7

H25/03

Energa Basket Liga

Lublin

94-72

+22

H31/03

Energa Basket Liga

Ostrow Wielkopolski

70-78

-8

A07/04

Energa Basket Liga

Krosno

#15

97-95

A09/04

Energa Basket Liga

Szczecin

#10

103-100

103

100

H11/04

Energa Basket Liga

Turow Zgorzelec

#11

104-106

104

106

-2

A14/04

Energa Basket Liga

Anwil Wloclawek

70-57

+13

A19/04

Energa Basket Liga

–

21-19

21-14

25-22

21-10

19-25

26-26

29-20

26-18

25-23

19-20

20-30

22-20

20-22

25-15

28-16

21-19

26-10

15-22

9-25

20-21

33-23

21-26

22-23

21-23

20-24

30-24

30-30

23-22

32-22

23-22

22-32

27-30

20-13

15-20

14-18

21-6

158.7Avg total

83.2Scored

75.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	85.9	78.1	164.1	+7.8	68%
Season at home (16)	90.2	78.0	168.2	+12.2	81%
Season away (15)	81.4	78.3	159.7	+3.1	53%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	75.5	158.7	+7.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	87.2	176.0	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.7	82.2	158.8	-5.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	84.3	76.9	161.2	+7.4	60%
vs Weaker (13)	86.8	80.6	167.5	+6.2	69%

This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TorunZielona Gora

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.2	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	27.0	15.0	42.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.3	18.9	41.1	+3.4	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	20.7	42.4	+1.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.8	18.8	40.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	24.0	20.1	44.1	+3.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	18.4	44.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.3	23.8	47.1	-0.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.5	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	19.0	42.1	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.7	19.6	39.2	+0.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	15.4	21.2	36.6	-5.8	0%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.7	18.7	40.4	+3.0	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.6	20.4	45.0	+4.3	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.8	22.5	40.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.5	21.4	43.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.5	20.8	43.2	+1.8	50%	-

TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Legia

#16

56-32

+24

H09/03

Energa Basket Liga

Rosa Radom

34-41

-7

H14/03

Energa Basket Liga

Lublin

31-33

-2

A17/03

Energa Basket Liga

Ostrow Wielkopolski

37-37

H22/03

Energa Basket Liga

GTK Gliwice

#14

50-31

+19

H25/03

Energa Basket Liga

Szczecin

#10

42-39

A28/03

Energa Basket Liga

Anwil Wloclawek

33-34

-1

H02/04

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

39-37

A08/04

Energa Basket Liga

Trefl Sopot

44-36

H18/04

Energa Basket Liga

76.2Avg total

40.7Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.2	37.5	79.7	+4.8	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.4	36.0	81.4	+9.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	38.9	78.2	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.7	35.6	76.2	+5.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	35.4	77.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	51.0	31.0	82.0	+20.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	34.0	40.0	74.0	-6.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (22)	44.0	37.5	81.5	+6.5	73%	-

This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

GTK Gliwice

#14

42-33

A18/03

Energa Basket Liga

Legia

#16

45-51

-6

H22/03

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

44-43

H25/03

Energa Basket Liga

Lublin

45-37

H31/03

Energa Basket Liga

Ostrow Wielkopolski

41-32

A07/04

Energa Basket Liga

Krosno

#15

54-49

A09/04

Energa Basket Liga

Szczecin

#10

50-48

H11/04

Energa Basket Liga

Turow Zgorzelec

#11

55-44

+11

A14/04

Energa Basket Liga

Anwil Wloclawek

35-33

A19/04

Energa Basket Liga

86.8Avg total

45.7Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.4	41.7	85.2	+1.7	66%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.4	42.4	88.7	+4.0	76%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.3	40.8	80.2	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	45.7	41.1	86.8	+4.6	89%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	41.2	88.2	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.3	41.8	80.2	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.6	39.5	82.1	+3.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	45.8	44.5	90.3	+1.3	67%	-

This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	20.6	42.1	+1.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	22.2	45.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.8	19.6	41.3	+2.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	18.8	43.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.2	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.0	20.4	42.3	+1.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.1	19.6	43.8	+4.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.1	24.0	46.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	25.6	45.0	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	18.8	37.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	24.6	22.8	47.3	+1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.5	20.2	43.7	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	20.2	44.4	+3.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	24.8	18.6	43.3	+6.2	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	19.0	50.6	+12.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	29.0	45.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	20.2	23.0	43.2	-2.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (22)	24.6	19.2	43.8	+5.4	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.7	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	45.1	40.8	85.9	+4.3	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.6	42.4	90.1	+5.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	39.3	81.9	+3.4	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	46.6	38.1	84.7	+8.4	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.8	37.8	93.6	+18.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	49.0	86.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	40.8	44.0	84.8	-3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (22)	46.3	39.7	86.0	+6.6	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.5	40.1	83.6	+3.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	47.3	41.3	88.6	+6.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.1	38.4	76.5	-0.3	42%	-
Last 10 (9)	44.6	42.8	87.3	+1.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	46.0	87.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.3	40.3	78.7	-2.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.7	37.4	79.1	+4.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (12)	46.6	42.8	89.4	+3.8	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Torun wins

Zielona Gora wins

Date	Game	Score
18/02/18	Torun v Zielona Gora	88-80
07/01/18	Zielona Gora v Torun	100-76
10/06/17	Zielona Gora v Torun	88-82
08/06/17	Torun v Zielona Gora	78-81
06/06/17	Torun v Zielona Gora	84-74
03/06/17	Zielona Gora v Torun	87-66
01/06/17	Zielona Gora v Torun	88-69
16/02/17	Torun v Zielona Gora	55-79
05/02/17	Torun v Zielona Gora	81-69
08/01/17	Zielona Gora v Torun	83-67

Torunlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/18	H	Trefl Sopot	105-75
08/04/18	A	Gdynia	87-69
02/04/18	H	Anwil Wloclawek	89-80
28/03/18	A	Szczecin	89-77
25/03/18	H	GTK Gliwice	117-65
22/03/18	H	Ostrow Wielkopolski	65-83
17/03/18	A	Lublin	63-77
14/03/18	H	Rosa Radom	72-78
09/03/18	H	Legia	98-59
04/03/18	H	Czarni Slupsk	20-0

Zielona Goralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/18	A	Anwil Wloclawek	70-57
14/04/18	A	Turow Zgorzelec	104-106
11/04/18	H	Szczecin	103-100
09/04/18	A	Krosno	97-95
07/04/18	A	Ostrow Wielkopolski	70-78
31/03/18	H	Lublin	94-72
25/03/18	H	Gdynia	86-93
22/03/18	H	Legia	100-89
18/03/18	A	GTK Gliwice	88-65
18/03/18	H	Czarni Slupsk	20-0

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun

Energa Basket Liga 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	71%
Home	LLWWW	87%
Away	WLLWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	71%	87%	56%
Points / game	85.4	88.7	82.3
Allowed / game	75.9	73.4	78.2
Point differential	+9.5	+15.3	+4.1
Avg total	161.3	162.1	160.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	60%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Zielona Gora

Energa Basket Liga 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	68%
Home	WWLWW	81%
Away	WLWLW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	68%	81%	53%
Points / game	85.9	90.2	81.4
Allowed / game	78.1	78.0	78.3
Point differential	+7.8	+12.2	+3.1
Avg total	164.1	168.2	159.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	62%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	50% (4)	29% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Anwil Wloclawek	31	23	8	74%	84.7	74.5	+10.2
2	Torun	31	22	9	71%	85.4	75.9	+9.5
3	Ostrow Wielkopolski	31	22	9	71%	80.5	73.6	+6.9
4	Zielona Gora	31	21	10	68%	85.9	78.1	+7.8
5	Dabrowa Gornicza	31	19	12	61%	81.8	77.2	+4.6
6	Rosa Radom	31	19	12	61%	82.9	79.3	+3.6
7	Szczecin	31	17	14	55%	83.2	81.3	+2.0
8	Trefl Sopot	31	17	14	55%	80.8	78.8	+2.0
9	Turow Zgorzelec	31	17	14	55%	84.4	84.6	-0.2
10	Gdynia	31	17	14	55%	81.7	82.6	-0.9
11	Lublin	31	16	15	52%	82.1	81.5	+0.6
12	Polpharma Starogard	31	15	16	48%	79.6	79.6	+0.0
13	Koszalin	31	11	20	35%	78.6	85.9	-7.3
14	GTK Gliwice	31	10	21	32%	79.5	85.5	-6.0
15	Krosno	31	8	23	26%	78.0	85.0	-7.0
16	Legia	31	5	26	16%	76.3	87.7	-11.4
17	Czarni Slupsk	32	5	27	16%	45.7	59.6	-13.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Torun	14	19	22	28	83
Zielona Gora	22	25	9	18	74

← all games of the day

Torun vs Zielona Gora Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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