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Zlatibor vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-88
23-16 23-23 28-29 24-20
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeABA League 2Round 4· Cajetina Sports Hall
Other2024
Meetings · Zlatibor v Helios Domzale
11 Mar 2025
ZLA98
HDO88
09 Feb 2022
ZLA69
HDO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlatibor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helios Domzale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZlatiborLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlatibor
Date
Competition
KK Metalac
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
77avg 78
H17/01
First League
Podgorica
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A22/01
ABA League 2
Sloga
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
67avg 78
A26/01
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
L
81-84
81
84
-3
65avg 78
H31/01
First League
KK Bosna
#1
W
94-89
94
89
+5
86avg 78
H04/02
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 78
A08/02
First League
Vrsac
#1
W
107-74
107
74
+33
110avg 78
H22/02
First League
Radnicki
#8
W
84-81
84
81
+3
80avg 78
A01/03
First League
Helios Domzale
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 78
A05/03
ABA League 2
Joker
#6
L
94-103
94
103
-9
87avg 78
H08/03
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
17-21
21-14
29-21
24-24
19-12
15-18
14-16
24-21
15-13
16-19
20-23
21-17
19-15
24-21
17-31
26-29
20-24
29-20
19-16
21-15
21-26
29-17
16-17
35-20
27-14
23-11
22-29
19-19
19-22
22-17
24-23
19-18
21-12
16-15
16-20
23-21
31-29
25-32
15-21
165.1Avg total
85.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.378.0159.3+3.378%
Season at home (4)91.586.2177.8+5.275%
Season away (5)73.271.4144.6+1.880%
Last 10 (10)85.979.2165.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)88.879.6168.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.580.0161.5+1.575%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.182.9169.0+3.245%
vs Weaker (15)86.576.8163.3+9.780%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
95-85
95
85
+10
96avg 73
H02/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
84avg 73
A11/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
68-75
68
75
-7
58avg 73
H14/01
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
60avg 73
A18/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Bosna
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
60avg 73
H22/01
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
75avg 73
H25/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
W
93-74
93
74
+19
85avg 73
A30/01
Liga Nova KBM
Podgorica
#8
W
83-59
83
59
+24
78avg 73
A04/02
ABA League 2
Rogaska
#7
W
79-63
79
63
+16
69avg 73
H08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
54avg 73
H05/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
28-12
19-23
18-24
23-14
21-15
27-26
17-27
18-22
18-21
16-16
16-16
17-14
18-27
16-21
14-20
18-22
17-11
16-19
22-24
23-10
20-15
17-23
15-21
34-17
20-20
18-18
21-19
19-12
11-23
27-19
26-5
28-13
21-18
17-14
13-18
18-19
12-21
15-16
20-16
152.1Avg total
78.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.970.0142.9+2.956%
Season at home (5)70.671.4142.0-0.840%
Season away (4)75.868.2144.0+7.575%
Last 10 (10)78.473.7152.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)79.067.4146.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.785.3161.0-9.717%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.072.1148.1+3.962%
vs Weaker (16)78.468.7147.1+9.775%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
ZlatiborHelios Domzale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Metalac
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/01
First League
Podgorica
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/01
ABA League 2
Sloga
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/01
First League
BKK Radnicki
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H31/01
First League
KK Bosna
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H04/02
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A08/02
First League
Vrsac
#1
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H22/02
First League
Radnicki
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
First League
Helios Domzale
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A05/03
ABA League 2
Joker
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H08/03
First League
83.8Avg total
44.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.683.3+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.241.888.0+4.473%-
Last 30 away (15)41.237.578.7+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)44.739.183.8+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.239.286.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.242.082.2-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.041.584.5+1.564%-
vs Weaker (15)45.137.782.8+7.580%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H02/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A11/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/01
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A18/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Bosna
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H22/01
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H25/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A30/01
Liga Nova KBM
Podgorica
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A04/02
ABA League 2
Rogaska
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H05/03
ABA League 2
76.6Avg total
41.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.576.3+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.635.975.6+3.762%-
Last 30 away (14)40.037.277.2+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.276.6+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.674.8+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.543.784.2-3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.637.173.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker (16)41.133.674.7+7.669%-
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.0
51.2%
52.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.9
35.6%
31.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.318.3
78.5%
72.5%18.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.7
54.7%
52.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.6%
31.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.816.3
78.4%
72.5%16.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zlatibor
LWWWWWLLWW
Helios Domzale
LWWWWLLLWW
#4
League position
#10
+7.6
Net rating
+6.2
111.8
Offensive rating
104.2
104.2
Defensive rating
98.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.6%
3-point %
28.6%
56.6%
Assist %
72.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 104.2Defence104.2 · 98.0Shooting52.3% · 49.8%3-point %35.6% · 28.6%Ball care15.4% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Zlatibor   ■ Helios Domzale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zlatibor wins
2
Helios Domzale wins
Zlatiborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HJoker94-103
05/03/25AHelios Domzale72-65
01/03/25ARadnicki84-81
22/02/25HVrsac107-74
08/02/25AVojvodina Novi Sad87-75
04/02/25HKK Bosna94-89
31/01/25HBKK Radnicki81-84
26/01/25ASloga75-76
22/01/25APodgorica72-70
17/01/25HKK Metalac93-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HZlatibor65-72
08/02/25HRogaska79-63
04/02/25APodgorica83-59
30/01/25ALTH Castings93-74
25/01/25HZlatorog Lasko75-69
22/01/25HKK Bosna73-76
18/01/25APerspektiva Ilirija65-82
14/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto68-75
11/01/25ATajfun Sentjur88-82
02/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto95-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlatibor
ABA League 2 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game81.391.573.2
Allowed / game78.086.271.4
Point differential+3.3+5.2+1.8
Avg total159.3177.8144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %22%25%20%
Helios Domzale
ABA League 2 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL56%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%40%75%
Points / game72.970.675.8
Allowed / game70.071.468.2
Point differential+2.9-0.8+7.5
Avg total142.9142.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vojvodina Novi Sad109190%84.171.2+12.9
2 Zlatibor97278%81.378.0+3.3
3 Perspektiva Ilirija96367%80.674.4+6.1
4 KK Bosna96367%77.873.6+4.2
5 Podgorica95456%63.059.2+3.8
6 Helios Domzale95456%72.970.0+2.9
7 MZT Skopje63350%72.869.0+3.8
8 Sutjeska63350%82.078.3+3.7
9 Cedevita Junior105550%79.379.3+0.0
10 Borac Banja Luka63350%78.578.8-0.3
11 Pelister63350%56.758.0-1.3
12 Siroki Brijeg94544%61.657.0+4.6
13 Tivat61517%62.274.2-12.0
14 GKK Sibenka61517%66.079.0-13.0
15 Rabotnicki6060%66.285.8-19.7
16 Joker6060%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zlatibor2323282498
Helios Domzale1623292088
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