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LTH Castings vs Helios Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-93
17-34 20-20 18-18 19-21
Position#10
Record2-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game72.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 17· Sportna dvorana Poden
Other2024-25
Meetings · LTH Castings v Helios Domzale
30 Jan 2025
LTH 74
HDO93
12 Apr 2024
LTH 66
HDO79
26 Dec 2023
LTH 79
HDO78
27 Dec 2022
LTH 43
HDO90
31 Jan 2017
LTH 54
HDO85
10 Feb 2016
LTH 67
HDO81
05 Feb 2014
LTH 70
HDO80
20 Oct 2012
LTH 83
HDO79
16 Nov 2011
LTH 53
HDO68
08 Jan 2011
LTH 73
HDO78
28 Oct 2009
LTH 63
HDO53
25 Nov 2008
LTH 64
HDO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LTH Castings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Sencur
#11
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A12/11
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
56-94
56
94
-38
40avg 62
A16/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
74-95
74
95
-21
61avg 62
H30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
63-73
63
73
-10
46avg 62
H06/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
67avg 62
H16/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 62
A21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
75-94
75
94
-19
70avg 62
H04/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
63-86
63
86
-23
53avg 62
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
69-101
69
101
-32
52avg 62
H17/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
54-111
54
111
-57
37avg 62
A23/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
19-15
18-19
18-20
19-15
16-25
8-31
13-23
13-27
27-22
15-20
19-26
12-12
10-25
21-18
20-18
24-14
13-20
15-16
16-27
15-22
27-24
23-27
27-12
11-39
16-18
23-19
25-18
15-23
18-16
8-28
22-19
17-22
19-20
17-32
16-27
20-32
10-25
13-24
11-30
158.6Avg total
69.5Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.685.4155.0-15.812%
Season at home (8)70.883.5154.2-12.812%
Season away (8)68.587.2155.8-18.812%
Last 10 (10)69.589.1158.6-19.620%
Last 5 (5)70.695.4166.0-24.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)69.985.3155.2-15.410%
vs Similar (8)80.880.9161.6-0.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 74
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tivat
#13
L
61-65
61
65
-4
49avg 74
A17/12
ABA League 2
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
89-65
89
65
+24
84avg 74
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
74-99
74
99
-25
62avg 74
A26/12
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
95-85
95
85
+10
96avg 74
H02/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
84avg 74
A11/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
68-75
68
75
-7
58avg 74
H14/01
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
60avg 74
A18/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Bosna
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
60avg 74
H22/01
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
75avg 74
H25/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
21-18
20-23
14-13
21-16
17-12
17-24
6-13
24-17
22-19
26-10
17-19
19-24
18-23
25-26
12-26
30-26
28-12
19-23
18-24
23-14
21-15
27-26
17-27
18-22
18-21
16-16
16-16
17-14
18-27
16-21
14-20
18-22
17-11
16-19
22-24
23-10
20-15
17-23
15-21
153.6Avg total
75.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.272.2151.5+7.069%
Season at home (8)82.065.9147.9+16.188%
Season away (8)76.578.6155.1-2.150%
Last 10 (10)75.977.7153.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)73.876.8150.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.982.6158.5-6.720%
vs Similar (6)76.774.3151.0+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)77.368.7146.0+8.671%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -5.2-5.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -5.2-5.2
LTH CastingsHelios Domzale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A12/11
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A16/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H30/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H06/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H16/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A21/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H04/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H17/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A23/01
Liga Nova KBM
78.4Avg total
34.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.541.677.1-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.141.576.6-6.520%-
Last 30 away (15)36.041.777.7-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)34.743.778.4-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.648.281.8-14.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.142.375.4-9.210%-
vs Similar (8)41.941.483.2+0.538%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tivat
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A17/12
ABA League 2
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A26/12
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H02/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A11/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/01
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A18/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Bosna
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H22/01
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H25/01
Liga Nova KBM
77.2Avg total
40.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.476.9+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.277.1+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.137.576.6+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.377.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.272.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.743.082.7-3.340%-
vs Similar (6)38.837.075.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.633.573.1+6.164%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.016.7
46.4%
53.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.6
30.7%
32.6%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.614.7
71.4%
72.0%14.7
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.4
52.6%
53.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.85.5
24.1%
32.6%16.5
🏀 Free throws23.617.6
74.6%
72.0%17.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LTH Castings
LLLLWLLLLW
Helios Domzale
WLLLWWLWLL
#10
League position
#3
-27.6
Net rating
-3.3
88.0
Offensive rating
99.1
115.6
Defensive rating
102.4
46.3%
Effective FG%
46.5%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
26.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.7%
3-point %
24.1%
60.1%
Assist %
69.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 99.1Defence115.6 · 102.4Shooting46.3% · 46.5%3-point %30.7% · 24.1%Ball care26.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds26.0% · 26.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ LTH Castings   ■ Helios Domzale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LTH Castings wins
9
Helios Domzale wins
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25AKK Krka Novo mesto54-111
17/01/25HKK Triglav Kranj69-101
13/01/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek63-86
04/01/25HSencur75-94
21/12/24ARogaska92-85
16/12/24HTajfun Sentjur68-77
06/12/24HZlatorog Lasko63-73
30/11/24HPerspektiva Ilirija74-95
16/11/24AHelios Domzale56-94
12/11/24ASencur81-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HZlatorog Lasko75-69
22/01/25HKK Bosna73-76
18/01/25APerspektiva Ilirija65-82
14/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto68-75
11/01/25ATajfun Sentjur88-82
02/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto95-85
26/12/24AKK Krka Novo mesto74-99
22/12/24AKK Triglav Kranj89-65
17/12/24ATivat61-65
13/12/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek71-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %12%12%12%
Points / game69.670.868.5
Allowed / game85.483.587.2
Point differential-15.8-12.8-18.8
Avg total155.0154.2155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game79.282.076.5
Allowed / game72.265.978.6
Point differential+7.0+16.1-2.1
Avg total151.5147.9155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1613381%89.674.7+14.9
2 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1612475%78.977.2+1.7
3 Perspektiva Ilirija1611569%85.177.3+7.8
4 Helios Domzale1611569%79.272.2+7.0
5 Sencur168850%77.076.3+0.7
6 Rogaska178947%76.980.2-3.3
7 KK Triglav Kranj157847%77.976.0+1.9
8 Tajfun Sentjur1651131%73.379.8-6.4
9 Zlatorog Lasko1631319%72.180.3-8.2
10 LTH Castings1621412%69.685.4-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LTH Castings1720181974
Helios Domzale3420182193
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