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Zlin vs Chomutov Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-75
22-22 31-11 15-23 28-19
Position#16
Record8-17
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game91.2
Zlin 🏆
Czech Republic
vs
Position#15
Record9-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game83.6
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 8· Mestska SH Zelene
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chomutov winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZlinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlin
Date
Competition
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
L
94-103
94
103
-9
92avg 70
A21/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
124-91
124
91
+33
130avg 70
H23/01
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
no box
H26/01
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
W
94-71
94
71
+23
102avg 70
H09/02
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
L
85-139
85
139
-54
69avg 70
A18/02
1. Liga
Chomutov
#15
L
72-95
72
95
-23
66avg 70
A01/03
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
L
66-67
66
67
-1
58avg 70
A10/03
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
L
55-79
55
79
-24
38avg 70
H14/03
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
W
92-91
92
91
+1
88avg 70
H17/03
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
W
84-80
84
80
+4
79avg 70
A22/03
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
20-23
25-34
31-30
26-25
37-23
28-24
33-19
20-31
25-19
21-24
24-16
22-19
27-16
19-14
26-22
18-35
28-31
12-43
27-30
29-24
9-24
14-20
20-27
18-18
14-19
17-13
17-17
19-19
10-27
15-15
11-18
23-22
23-29
22-25
24-15
32-27
22-19
18-16
12-18
178.5Avg total
86.4Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)83.191.2174.3-8.032%
Season at home (12)88.686.9175.5+1.750%
Season away (13)78.195.1173.2-17.015%
Last 10 (10)86.492.1178.5-5.740%
Last 5 (5)73.882.4156.2-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)81.195.5176.6-14.530%
vs Similar ◀ (4)71.286.2157.5-15.025%
vs Weaker (6)95.887.3183.2+8.533%
This opponent (Chomutov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChomutovCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChomutov
Date
Competition
Radotin
#12
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 70
A14/01
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
W
76-68
76
68
+8
69avg 70
H19/01
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
L
67-105
67
105
-38
55avg 70
A26/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
130-88
130
88
+42
144avg 70
H09/02
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
L
64-72
64
72
-8
57avg 70
A16/02
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#18
W
101-80
101
80
+21
104avg 70
H23/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#16
W
95-72
95
72
+23
90avg 70
H01/03
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
L
73-83
73
83
-10
72avg 70
A08/03
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
W
82-66
82
66
+16
81avg 70
H17/03
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#18
L
76-98
76
98
-22
62avg 70
A24/03
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
8-14
25-17
21-22
19-15
15-24
25-12
17-17
17-25
20-30
17-27
13-23
31-23
33-29
30-18
36-18
25-23
16-13
17-11
6-25
25-19
27-22
21-20
28-19
24-29
24-9
20-14
27-20
25-16
19-26
11-19
18-22
23-18
20-19
24-13
15-16
16-34
17-29
24-21
19-14
163.7Avg total
82.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.083.6163.6-3.636%
Season at home (13)86.280.0166.2+6.254%
Season away (12)73.387.5160.8-14.217%
Last 10 (10)82.880.9163.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)85.479.8165.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.289.8168.9-10.623%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.077.2157.2+2.850%
vs Weaker (7)89.480.1169.6+9.357%
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
ZlinChomutov
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A21/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H23/01
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H26/01
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H09/02
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A18/02
1. Liga
Chomutov
#15
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A01/03
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A10/03
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H14/03
1. Liga
Polabi
#14
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H17/03
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A22/03
1. Liga
90.6Avg total
44.0Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.646.689.2-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.543.187.6+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.049.690.6-8.619%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.690.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.685.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)42.048.190.1-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.845.885.5-6.025%-
vs Weaker (6)46.842.088.8+4.850%-
This opponent (Chomutov) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChomutovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radotin
#12
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A14/01
1. Liga
SP Basket
#17
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H19/01
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#13
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A26/01
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H09/02
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A16/02
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H23/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H01/03
1. Liga
Basketbal Olomouc
#20
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/03
1. Liga
Prostejov
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H17/03
1. Liga
Snakes Ostrava
#18
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A24/03
1. Liga
85.5Avg total
41.4Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.384.2-2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.241.486.6+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)36.045.581.5-9.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.185.5-2.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.288.2-0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.044.184.1-4.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.842.280.0-4.440%-
vs Weaker (7)47.043.690.6+3.486%-
This opponent (Zlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlin: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.3
52.5%
50.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
29.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.117.5
75.8%
64.9%17.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chomutovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chomutov: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.224.8
56.1%
50.8%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.5
27.8%
29.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.112.9
64.2%
64.9%12.9
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zlin
WWLLLLWLWL
Chomutov
LWLWWLWLWL
#16
League position
#15
-7.0
Net rating
+2.0
103.0
Offensive rating
100.0
110.0
Defensive rating
98.1
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
22.8%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
27.8%
60.6%
Assist %
58.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 100.0Defence110.0 · 98.1Shooting51.3% · 51.1%3-point %33.1% · 27.8%Ball care18.7% · 22.8%Off. rebounds24.2% · 33.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Zlin   ■ Chomutov
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zlin wins
1
Chomutov wins
DateGameScore
01/03/24Chomutov v Zlin95-72
Zlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24ASP Basket84-80
17/03/24HPolabi92-91
14/03/24HSP Basket55-79
10/03/24AUSK Prague B66-67
01/03/24AChomutov72-95
18/02/24APolabi85-139
09/02/24HUSK Prague B94-71
26/01/24HProstejov98-105 OT
23/01/24HBasketbal Olomouc124-91
21/01/24ABasketbal Olomouc94-103
Chomutovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24ASnakes Ostrava76-98
17/03/24HProstejov82-66
08/03/24ABasketbal Olomouc73-83
01/03/24HZlin95-72
23/02/24HSnakes Ostrava101-80
16/02/24AProstejov64-72
09/02/24HBasketbal Olomouc130-88
26/01/24AUSK Prague B67-105
19/01/24HSP Basket76-68
14/01/24ARadotin64-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlin
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW32%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %32%50%15%
Points / game83.188.678.1
Allowed / game91.286.995.1
Point differential-8.0+1.7-17.0
Avg total174.3175.5173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Chomutov
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL36%
HomeWWWWW54%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%54%17%
Points / game80.086.273.3
Allowed / game83.680.087.5
Point differential-3.6+6.2-14.2
Avg total163.6166.2160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jindrichuv Hradec2722581%91.975.2+16.7
2 Hradec Kralove2621581%94.376.0+18.3
3 Litomerice2619773%81.374.9+6.3
4 Svitavy2618869%85.475.2+10.2
5 Brno U232617965%82.471.2+11.2
6 Sokol Prazsky26151158%79.380.9-1.6
7 Pardubice 227141352%77.079.0-2.0
8 Plzen24121250%75.572.6+2.9
9 Novy Jicin24121250%82.880.2+2.7
10 Liberecko24121250%77.877.7+0.1
11 Opava 226131350%78.580.0-1.5
12 Radotin24121250%71.177.4-6.3
13 USK Prague B25121348%75.775.0+0.7
14 Polabi2591636%90.287.3+2.9
15 Chomutov2591636%80.083.6-3.6
16 SP Basket2581732%71.477.8-6.4
17 Zlin2581732%83.191.2-8.0
18 Snakes Ostrava2571828%74.389.3-15.0
19 Basketbal Olomouc2571828%77.393.7-16.4
20 Prostejov2561924%73.687.6-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zlin2231152896
Chomutov2211231975
← all games of the day
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