Zwolle vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023

Tip-off: 12:30

Final 82-101

22-32 22-21 19-22 19-26

Position#4

Record1-1

FormLWLLW

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game88.5

Zwolle

LWD Basket 🏆

Position#3

Record1-1

FormLLLWL

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game89.0

DBLDBL - Quarter-finals· Landstede Sportcentrum

Other2022-23

Meetings · Zwolle v LWD Basket

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

LWD Basket winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zwolle

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormZwolle

Date

Competition

Mechelen

62-101

101

-39

no box

A25/03

BNXT League

Oostende

66-77

-11

no box

H29/03

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

77-72

no box

H02/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

64-81

-17

no box

A08/04

BNXT League

Mechelen

84-81

no box

H14/04

BNXT League

Oostende

52-97

-45

no box

A18/04

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

97-83

+14

no box

H23/04

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

51-81

-30

no box

A28/04

BNXT League

LWD Basket

98-101

101

-3

93avg 83

H03/05

DBL

LWD Basket

80-76

74avg 83

A05/05

DBL

12-32

13-22

14-21

23-26

24-19

12-20

18-15

12-23

16-17

19-14

16-17

26-24

8-23

18-20

14-24

24-14

20-21

17-25

24-12

23-23

16-25

11-24

13-24

12-24

22-19

25-15

27-24

23-25

21-15

10-22

7-16

13-28

25-21

22-34

26-26

25-20

16-27

23-13

15-21

26-15

158.1Avg total

73.1Scored

85.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	89.0	88.5	177.5	+0.5	50%
Season at home (1)	98.0	101.0	199.0	-3.0	0%
Season away (1)	80.0	76.0	156.0	+4.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	73.1	85.0	158.1	-11.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	87.6	163.2	-12.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	72.5	83.5	156.1	-11.0	29%
vs Similar (7)	80.6	71.1	151.7	+9.4	71%
vs Weaker (4)	84.2	72.8	157.0	+11.5	75%

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LWD Basket Netherlands

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBasket

Date

Competition

Antwerp Giants

63-83

-20

no box

A25/03

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

75-88

-13

no box

H29/03

BNXT League

Mechelen

90-96

-6

no box

H02/04

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

78-83

-5

no box

A07/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

68-87

-19

no box

H14/04

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

77-96

-19

no box

A19/04

BNXT League

Oostende

78-97

-19

no box

H22/04

BNXT League

Mechelen

61-76

-15

no box

A28/04

BNXT League

Zwolle

101-98

101

96avg 83

A03/05

DBL

Zwolle

76-80

-4

70avg 83

H05/05

DBL

11-22

19-25

15-15

18-21

15-29

22-23

26-18

12-18

20-20

16-27

26-25

28-24

12-19

21-21

19-22

26-21

12-16

14-26

19-27

23-18

27-17

18-29

15-29

17-21

21-23

23-30

18-22

16-22

19-15

18-22

13-22

11-17

21-25

34-22

26-26

20-25

27-16

13-23

21-15

15-26

165.1Avg total

76.7Scored

88.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	88.5	89.0	177.5	-0.5	50%
Season at home (1)	76.0	80.0	156.0	-4.0	0%
Season away (1)	101.0	98.0	199.0	+3.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	88.4	165.1	-11.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	89.4	168.0	-10.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	75.1	88.1	163.1	-13.0	6%
vs Similar (5)	80.2	79.0	159.2	+1.2	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	86.0	74.9	160.9	+11.1	88%

This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZwolleLWD Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	20.6	39.8	-1.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	21.9	39.9	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.4	22.3	39.7	-4.9	24%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.7	17.4	41.1	+6.3	86%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.2	40.7	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.3	20.9	38.2	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.1	21.4	43.6	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.2	16.0	42.2	+10.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	20.9	39.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	24.8	44.6	-5.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	25.2	46.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.7	22.2	40.9	-3.5	19%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+2.9	71%	-

ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mechelen

25-54

-29

A25/03

BNXT League

Oostende

36-39

-3

H29/03

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

35-31

H02/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

26-43

-17

A08/04

BNXT League

Mechelen

37-46

-9

H14/04

BNXT League

Oostende

27-49

-22

A18/04

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

47-34

+13

H23/04

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

31-37

-6

A28/04

BNXT League

LWD Basket

47-55

-8

H03/05

DBL

LWD Basket

39-40

-1

A05/05

DBL

77.8Avg total

35.0Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.3	40.8	80.1	-1.5	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	38.8	80.2	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	42.7	80.1	-5.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	42.8	77.8	-7.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	43.0	81.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	34.7	43.2	77.9	-8.5	24%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.9	38.9	84.7	+7.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.5	34.0	80.5	+12.5	100%	-

This opponent (LWD Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Antwerp Giants

30-47

-17

A25/03

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

37-52

-15

H29/03

BNXT League

Mechelen

36-47

-11

H02/04

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

33-40

-7

A07/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

26-42

-16

H14/04

BNXT League

Limburg

#10

45-46

-1

A19/04

BNXT League

Oostende

44-53

-9

H22/04

BNXT League

Mechelen

37-37

A28/04

BNXT League

Zwolle

55-47

A03/05

DBL

Zwolle

40-39

H05/05

DBL

83.3Avg total

38.3Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.3	42.3	81.6	-3.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	41.6	82.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	43.1	80.5	-5.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	45.0	83.3	-6.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	44.4	88.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	37.1	44.8	81.9	-7.8	12%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.6	42.2	81.8	-2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	43.1	38.1	81.3	+5.0	86%	-

This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	18.6	37.0	-0.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.8	36.7	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.2	39.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	41%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	15.7	33.0	+1.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	21.2	40.8	-1.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.8	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.4	40.9	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	21.1	40.5	-1.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.4	19.0	34.4	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.3	19.3	41.6	+3.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.4	42.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.9	41%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	17.5	35.8	+0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.1	40.1	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	22.2	38.0	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.7	21.4	40.1	-2.7	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	25.2	17.8	43.0	+7.4	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.9	18.6	38.4	+1.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.3	38.1	75.4	-0.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	39.2	76.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	37.1	74.1	+0.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	42.2	80.3	-4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	44.6	82.0	-7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.8	40.3	78.1	-2.5	53%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.7	32.3	67.0	+2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.8	38.8	76.5	-1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.9	40.5	80.4	-0.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.3	40.9	80.1	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	40.2	80.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	43.4	81.8	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	45.0	79.4	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	38.0	43.2	81.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.6	36.8	77.4	+3.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.1	37.9	80.0	+4.3	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 88.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	22.5	51.1%	49.3%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	10.0	47.6%	31.6%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.0	70.3%	71.4%	13.0

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 87.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 71.9 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	22.0	62.9%	49.3%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.5	37.5%	31.6%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	18.0	12.0	66.7%	71.4%	12.0

They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 07 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Zwolle

WLLWLWLWLL

LWD Basket

LWLLLLLLLL

League position

+0.6

Net rating

-0.6

112.8

Offensive rating

112.1

Defensive rating

112.8

57.7%

Effective FG%

59.9%

Opp. effective FG%

57.7%

18.8%

Turnover %

16.5%

29.2%

Off. rebound %

15.9%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.29

47.6%

3-point %

37.5%

56.9%

Assist %

63.1%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Zwolle ■ LWD Basket

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zwolle wins

LWD Basket wins

Date	Game	Score
05/05/23	LWD Basket v Zwolle	76-80
03/05/23	Zwolle v LWD Basket	98-101
05/02/23	Zwolle v LWD Basket	93-76
26/11/22	LWD Basket v Zwolle	79-69
12/01/22	Zwolle v LWD Basket	82-75
08/12/21	LWD Basket v Zwolle	73-94
11/02/21	Zwolle v LWD Basket	86-58
29/02/20	LWD Basket v Zwolle	71-73
23/11/19	LWD Basket v Zwolle	86-99
16/10/19	Zwolle v LWD Basket	103-62

Zwollelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/05/23	A	LWD Basket	80-76
03/05/23	H	LWD Basket	98-101
28/04/23	A	Limburg	51-81
23/04/23	H	Spirou Charleroi	97-83
18/04/23	A	Oostende	52-97
14/04/23	H	Mechelen	84-81
08/04/23	A	Antwerp Giants	64-81
02/04/23	H	Limburg	77-72
29/03/23	H	Oostende	66-77
25/03/23	A	Mechelen	62-101

LWD Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/05/23	H	Zwolle	76-80
03/05/23	A	Zwolle	101-98
28/04/23	A	Mechelen	61-76
22/04/23	H	Oostende	78-97
19/04/23	A	Limburg	77-96
14/04/23	H	Antwerp Giants	68-87
07/04/23	A	Spirou Charleroi	78-83
02/04/23	H	Mechelen	90-96
29/03/23	H	Limburg	75-88
25/03/23	A	Antwerp Giants	63-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle

DBL 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	L	0%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Points / game	89.0	98.0	80.0
Allowed / game	88.5	101.0	76.0
Point differential	+0.5	-3.0	+4.0
Avg total	177.5	199.0	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

LWD Basket

DBL 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WL	50%
Home	L	0%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Points / game	88.5	76.0	101.0
Allowed / game	89.0	80.0	98.0
Point differential	-0.5	-4.0	+3.0
Avg total	177.5	156.0	199.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Donar Groningen	2	2	0	100%	82.0	68.5	+13.5
2	Zwolle	2	1	1	50%	89.0	88.5	+0.5
3	LWD Basket	2	1	1	50%	88.5	89.0	-0.5
4	QSTA Utd	2	0	2	0%	68.5	82.0	-13.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zwolle	22	22	19	19	82
LWD Basket	32	21	22	26	101

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Zwolle vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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