Aalborg vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Nov 2011

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 78-72

21-12 18-22 25-12 14-26

Position#9

Record3-8

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game83.4

Aalborg 🏆

Herlev Wolfpack

Position#10

Record3-9

FormLLLLW

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game83.6

Basketligaen

Other2011-12

Meetings · Aalborg v Herlev Wolfpack

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Herlev Wolfpack winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

88-90

-2

H01/10

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

62-70

-8

H05/10

Denmark Cup

Team FOG Naestved

72-69

H08/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

90-109

109

-19

A13/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

63-82

-19

H19/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

76-93

-17

A22/10

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

84-85

-1

A29/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

70-69

H03/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

80-70

+10

A08/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

83-91

-8

H12/11

Basketligaen

24-29

27-17

17-23

20-21

–

17-21

20-24

13-12

22-12

24-27

23-23

13-31

30-28

14-25

15-19

14-27

20-11

21-29

16-20

15-16

24-28

24-27

18-25

27-17

15-16

17-22

19-16

22-17

12-14

23-19

27-24

16-14

14-13

17-18

15-21

20-24

31-28

159.6Avg total

76.8Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	76.5	83.4	159.9	-6.8	27%
Season at home (6)	74.3	79.0	153.3	-4.7	33%
Season away (5)	79.2	88.6	167.8	-9.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	82.8	159.6	-6.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	81.6	160.2	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	73.2	84.7	157.9	-11.5	12%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	79.3	77.8	157.1	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (3)	93.3	58.0	151.3	+35.3	100%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aabyhoj

88-99

-11

H13/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

73-91

-18

A20/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

73-97

-24

H22/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

80-82 OT

-2

H27/10

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

#13

86-54

+32

A28/10

Denmark Cup

Aalborg

69-70

-1

A03/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

65-86

-21

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

62-74

-12

H12/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

83-94

-11

H17/11

Denmark Cup

Horsens

89-83

H19/11

Basketligaen

25-20

21-17

20-24

22-38

26-29

15-23

15-17

17-22

18-22

19-36

26-22

10-17

16-16

16-15

28-26

9-12

–

22-17

16-19

17-22

14-12

16-25

9-24

22-15

18-22

17-12

16-27

10-12

19-23

–

24-23

22-15

14-18

29-27

159.8Avg total

76.8Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	76.2	83.6	159.8	-7.3	25%
Season at home (7)	77.3	83.4	160.7	-6.1	29%
Season away (5)	74.8	83.8	158.6	-9.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	83.0	159.8	-6.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	81.4	155.0	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.2	90.5	165.8	-15.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	76.8	80.1	156.9	-3.4	38%
vs Weaker (3)	75.3	72.0	147.3	+3.3	33%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AalborgHerlev Wolfpack

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.5	21.6	41.1	-2.1	29%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.7	21.2	39.9	-2.6	22%	-
Last 30 away (8)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.1	24.1	44.2	-4.0	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.0	43.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.9	22.7	42.6	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.8	21.8	39.7	-4.0	17%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	9.0	34.0	+16.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	19.7	19.2	38.8	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	19.6	17.9	37.4	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (6)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	24.5	42.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.9	17.6	38.5	+3.2	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	29%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.3	18.3	37.7	+1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.8	23.8	41.5	-6.0	12%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	4.0	26.0	+18.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (6)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	17%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.0	35.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	25.8	43.8	-7.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

51-46

H01/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

37-45

-8

H08/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

47-50

-3

A13/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

29-44

-15

H19/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

37-49

-12

A22/10

Basketligaen

Aabyhoj

42-52

-10

A29/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

#10

36-38

-2

H03/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

50-43

A08/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

32-39

-7

H12/11

Basketligaen

85.2Avg total

40.1Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	38.1	42.5	80.5	-4.4	18%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	38.0	39.6	77.6	-1.6	22%	-
Last 30 away (8)	38.1	45.8	83.9	-7.6	12%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.1	45.1	85.2	-5.0	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	44.2	83.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.6	45.2	83.8	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	35.7	42.8	78.5	-7.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	13.0	60.0	+34.0	100%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aabyhoj

46-37

H13/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

41-52

-11

A20/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-58

-21

H22/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

32-31

H27/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

38-36

A03/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

25-49

-24

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

33-39

-6

H12/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

46-38

H19/11

Basketligaen

79.8Avg total

37.2Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	38.2	40.5	78.7	-2.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	38.1	38.6	76.7	-0.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (6)	38.3	42.7	81.0	-4.3	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	37.2	42.5	79.8	-5.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	38.6	73.4	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.0	50.2	86.2	-14.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.8	37.6	76.4	+1.1	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.4	19.8	38.1	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.4	20.1	37.6	-2.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.8	20.7	37.5	-3.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	9.0	35.0	+17.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	19.8	19.5	39.3	+0.4	46%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (6)	20.7	19.7	40.3	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.8	19.5	37.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.3	18.3	37.7	+1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	19.0	44.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.3	22.3	39.6	-5.0	14%	-
Last 30 away (6)	19.7	18.7	38.3	+1.0	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.2	21.6	38.9	-4.4	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	19.2	35.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.9	21.4	40.2	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	38.9	38.4	77.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	38.6	35.8	74.3	+2.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (8)	39.2	41.2	80.5	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.3	39.1	77.4	-0.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.4	76.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.9	40.7	78.6	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	38.5	36.2	74.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	51.0	28.0	79.0	+23.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (13)	38.2	40.1	78.3	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	36.4	41.6	78.0	-5.1	14%	-
Last 30 away (6)	40.3	38.3	78.7	+2.0	67%	-
Last 10 (8)	36.2	41.1	77.4	-4.9	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	37.8	73.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	37.8	75.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.6	40.9	77.5	-4.2	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aalborg wins

Herlev Wolfpack wins

Date	Game	Score
03/11/11	Aalborg v Herlev Wolfpack	70-69

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/11	H	Svendborg	83-91
08/11/11	A	Sisu	80-70
03/11/11	H	Herlev Wolfpack	70-69
29/10/11	A	Aabyhoj	84-85
22/10/11	A	Horsholm	76-93
19/10/11	H	Bakken Bears	63-82
13/10/11	A	Horsens	90-109
08/10/11	H	Team FOG Naestved	72-69
05/10/11	H	Aabyhoj	62-70
01/10/11	H	Sisu	88-90

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/11/11	H	Horsens	89-83
17/11/11	H	Horsholm	83-94
12/11/11	H	Vaerlose	62-74
10/11/11	A	Team FOG Naestved	65-86
03/11/11	A	Aalborg	69-70
28/10/11	A	Stevnsgade	86-54
27/10/11	H	Sisu	80-82 OT
22/10/11	H	Bakken Bears	73-97
20/10/11	A	Horsens	73-91
13/10/11	H	Aabyhoj	88-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	27%
Home	LWLWL	33%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	27%	33%	20%
Points / game	76.5	74.3	79.2
Allowed / game	83.4	79.0	88.6
Point differential	-6.8	-4.7	-9.4
Avg total	159.9	153.3	167.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2011-12

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	25%
Home	LLLLW	29%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	25%	29%	20%
Points / game	76.2	77.3	74.8
Allowed / game	83.6	83.4	83.8
Point differential	-7.3	-6.1	-9.0
Avg total	159.8	160.7	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	17%	29%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Svendborg	13	13	0	100%	83.3	70.3	+13.0
2	Bakken Bears	12	11	1	92%	76.8	61.6	+15.2
3	Team FOG Naestved	13	8	5	62%	81.2	74.6	+6.6
4	Aabyhoj	13	6	7	46%	74.8	82.2	-7.3
5	Horsholm	12	5	7	42%	76.2	78.6	-2.4
6	Sisu	12	5	7	42%	77.8	80.5	-2.8
7	Vaerlose	12	4	8	33%	74.8	79.9	-5.1
8	Aalborg	11	3	8	27%	76.5	83.4	-6.8
9	Horsens	12	3	9	25%	81.7	86.4	-4.8
10	Herlev Wolfpack	12	3	9	25%	76.2	83.6	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aalborg	21	18	25	14	78
Herlev Wolfpack	12	22	12	26	72

← all games of the day

Aalborg vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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