Aalborg vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 89-60

7-15 21-16 22-19 39-10

Position#9

Record8-13

FormLWLLL

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game89.8

Aalborg 🏆

Herlev Wolfpack

Position#8

Record7-15

FormWLWLL

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game81.5

BasketligaenRound 23

Other2013-14

Meetings · Aalborg v Herlev Wolfpack

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aalborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Herlev Wolfpack winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

95-104

104

-9

A15/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

104-101 OT

104

101

H04/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

86-103

103

-17

H12/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

110-99

110

+11

A15/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

96-92 OT

A18/01

Basketligaen

Randers

93-97

-4

H25/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

96-87

A02/02

Basketligaen

Randers

75-88

-13

A06/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

85-98

-13

H12/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

66-78

-12

A16/02

Basketligaen

20-23

19-23

31-20

25-38

20-26

24-19

28-24

22-25

17-18

33-20

8-29

28-36

25-17

35-34

26-26

24-22

26-25

15-21

25-20

17-17

31-30

20-25

20-21

22-21

27-22

16-21

19-21

34-23

11-23

21-22

23-22

20-21

21-23

18-24

25-29

21-22

14-10

10-24

16-28

26-16

185.3Avg total

90.6Scored

94.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	83.6	89.8	173.4	-6.2	38%
Season at home (10)	84.2	91.0	175.2	-6.8	30%
Season away (11)	83.1	88.7	171.8	-5.6	45%
Last 10 (10)	90.6	94.7	185.3	-4.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	89.6	172.6	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	78.3	88.1	166.4	-9.7	27%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	86.3	88.4	174.6	-2.1	45%
vs Weaker (3)	82.0	77.3	159.3	+4.7	100%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

57-79

-22

H19/12

Basketligaen

Randers

73-80

-7

H04/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

65-92

-27

A11/01

Basketligaen

Aalborg

92-96 OT

-4

H18/01

Basketligaen

Sisu

80-75

H30/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

72-70

H01/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

83-103

103

-20

A03/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

71-70

A06/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

86-96

-10

H13/02

Basketligaen

Sisu

69-90

-21

A16/02

Basketligaen

10-20

14-25

13-22

20-12

25-21

16-17

20-16

12-26

16-14

15-29

16-21

18-28

25-26

21-15

20-25

17-17

24-23

12-18

24-18

20-16

14-31

18-7

21-13

19-19

16-24

23-21

22-25

22-33

21-21

8-14

22-20

20-15

23-18

19-31

23-17

21-30

14-23

18-16

11-22

26-29

159.9Avg total

74.8Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	75.7	81.5	157.2	-5.7	32%
Season at home (11)	79.3	80.9	160.2	-1.6	36%
Season away (11)	72.2	82.0	154.2	-9.8	27%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	85.1	159.9	-10.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	85.8	162.0	-9.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	71.4	86.4	157.8	-15.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	77.6	81.6	159.2	-3.9	35%
vs Weaker (2)	89.5	71.5	161.0	+18.0	100%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AalborgHerlev Wolfpack

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	21.2	41.7	-0.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	21.2	40.8	-1.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.1	40.9	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	23.4	41.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.8	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	22.2	40.5	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	23.3	44.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	23.2	40.2	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.1	21.7	41.9	-1.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	15.0	31.0	+1.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.1	20.8	35.8	-5.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	19.3	35.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.0	22.3	39.3	-5.3	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.8	41%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	15.5	37.5	+6.5	100%	-

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

39-46

-7

A15/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

44-45

-1

H04/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

50-38

+12

H12/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

60-51

A15/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

41-46

-5

A18/01

Basketligaen

Randers

51-55

-4

H25/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

43-43

A02/02

Basketligaen

Randers

32-45

-13

A06/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

39-47

-8

H12/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

24-34

-10

A16/02

Basketligaen

87.3Avg total

42.3Scored

45.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.8	41.3	81.0	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.2	39.5	81.8	+2.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	42.7	80.4	-4.9	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	45.0	87.3	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	44.8	82.6	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.9	42.6	82.5	-2.7	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.8	41.3	81.1	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	34.7	73.3	+4.0	33%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

24-45

-21

H19/12

Basketligaen

Randers

41-38

H04/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

31-43

-12

A11/01

Basketligaen

Aalborg

46-41

H18/01

Basketligaen

Sisu

36-41

-5

H30/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

32-38

-6

H01/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

39-45

-6

A03/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

29-35

-6

A06/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-49

-7

H13/02

Basketligaen

Sisu

32-39

-7

A16/02

Basketligaen

76.6Avg total

35.2Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.8	40.6	77.4	-3.8	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.2	41.2	75.4	-6.9	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	41.4	76.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	41.2	76.0	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.3	43.3	77.6	-9.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	37.5	40.0	77.5	-2.5	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	32.0	76.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.5	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-3.9	23%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	24.0	46.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.2	44.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.4	23.0	45.4	-0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	23.3	42.3	-4.3	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.7	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.4	19.9	39.2	-0.5	59%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	16.0	37.5	+5.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.6	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	21.2	41.3	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	24.1	48.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.6	45.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.4	22.5	40.9	-4.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	19.3	43.7	+5.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.9	19.2	38.2	-0.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.5	42.0	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	25.2	46.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.2	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	23.5	47.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.5	44.9	85.4	-4.3	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.3	45.8	85.2	-6.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	44.1	85.6	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	48.1	94.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	44.8	90.0	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	37.1	44.7	81.9	-7.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	44.4	45.6	90.0	-1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	42.7	86.0	+0.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.4	40.5	79.0	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.0	39.2	77.2	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	41.6	80.4	-2.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	42.4	81.1	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	44.6	86.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.1	43.1	80.2	-6.0	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.4	39.1	77.5	-0.7	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.5	39.5	85.0	+6.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aalborg wins

Herlev Wolfpack wins

Date	Game	Score
18/01/14	Herlev Wolfpack v Aalborg	92-96 OT
11/11/13	Aalborg v Herlev Wolfpack	81-70
07/11/13	Herlev Wolfpack v Aalborg	76-82
14/01/12	Herlev Wolfpack v Aalborg	90-72
26/11/11	Aalborg v Herlev Wolfpack	78-72
03/11/11	Aalborg v Herlev Wolfpack	70-69

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/14	A	Team FOG Naestved	66-78
12/02/14	H	Svendborg	85-98
06/02/14	A	Randers	75-88
02/02/14	A	Vaerlose	96-87
25/01/14	H	Randers	93-97
18/01/14	A	Herlev Wolfpack	96-92 OT
15/01/14	A	Svendborg	110-99
12/01/14	H	Horsens	86-103
04/01/14	H	Horsholm	104-101 OT
15/12/13	A	Svendborg	95-104

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/14	A	Sisu	69-90
13/02/14	H	Bakken Bears	86-96
06/02/14	A	Team FOG Naestved	71-70
03/02/14	A	Bakken Bears	83-103
01/02/14	H	Horsholm	72-70
30/01/14	H	Sisu	80-75
18/01/14	H	Aalborg	92-96 OT
11/01/14	A	Svendborg	65-92
04/01/14	H	Randers	73-80
19/12/13	H	Horsens	57-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	38%
Home	WWLLL	30%
Away	WWWLL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	38%	30%	45%
Points / game	83.6	84.2	83.1
Allowed / game	89.8	91.0	88.7
Point differential	-6.2	-6.8	-5.6
Avg total	173.4	175.2	171.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	0%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	10%	10%	9%

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	32%
Home	LLWWL	36%
Away	WLLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	32%	36%	27%
Points / game	75.7	79.3	72.2
Allowed / game	81.5	80.9	82.0
Point differential	-5.7	-1.6	-9.8
Avg total	157.2	160.2	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	18%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	40% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	9%	18%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	21	18	3	86%	91.2	74.7	+16.5
2	Randers	22	17	5	77%	89.5	82.1	+7.4
3	Svendborg	22	16	6	73%	85.5	78.5	+7.0
4	Horsens	22	11	11	50%	81.2	78.9	+2.3
5	Sisu	22	10	12	45%	84.5	84.5	-0.0
6	Team FOG Naestved	23	10	13	43%	77.5	81.0	-3.4
7	Horsholm	22	9	13	41%	79.0	81.3	-2.3
8	Aalborg	21	8	13	38%	83.6	89.8	-6.2
9	Herlev Wolfpack	22	7	15	32%	75.7	81.5	-5.7
10	Vaerlose	23	4	19	17%	77.6	91.8	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aalborg	7	21	22	39	89
Herlev Wolfpack	15	16	19	10	60

← all games of the day

Aalborg vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature